Friday, September 25, 2026

Reddit: DCF Valuation

Reddit’s DCF values shares at $225, driven by international ARPU expansion from $2.2 to $8.3 by 2035 and 38% operating margins.

RDDT $28B

Hated Moats Sep 25 7 clicks

Sep 25 RL $21B

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)

TSOH Investment Research 5 clicks

Sep 25 RKT $33B

Single Stock Spotlight #15: Rocket Companies (RKT)

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter 6 clicks

From X

@leevalueroach Sep 25 5 clicks

Lee Roach on X

$CXW got a new President/CEO today. https://t.co/7WpulDuHkg

@ACapitalLP Sep 25 8 clicks

A Capital on X

@srg444 Me looking at $MGM trading at $32 when Osaka asset is worth 💰 https://t.co/jvVZZ37LP0

@KEDM_COM Sep 25 3 clicks

KEDM.com on X

Buckley Capital @buckleycapital exited Dave after a 100%+ rally from its average cost — on valuation, despite calling it a great business — and substantially cut Root. The proceeds went to Celsius $CELH and Light & Wonder $LNW.AU, where the Fund calls the street's disbelief in management's $2.0bn 2028 adjusted EBITDA target irrational, implying 150%+ upside.

@Fierce__beast Sep 25 6 clicks

Fierce_beast on X

@WaterworldCapi1 $fds decent short, very big and liquid, not showing deterioration yet, still an opportunity to short into earnings revisions (if they happen)

@ACapitalLP Sep 25 1 click

A Capital on X

What are the most interesting “rumored deal” or “strategic alternatives” trades today? I’ll start: $FUN - 9/22, Jana pushing for sale $ONT - 8/5, strategic review $VITL - 9/17, rumored take private $CGX.CN - 9/23, strategic review/advisors hired $NFG - 9/16, strategic review (Seneca E&P assets)

@ACapitalLP Sep 25 3 clicks

A Capital on X

@WaterworldCapi1 @madthunderdome $TLN - Josh Shapiro will privatize it.

@blondesnmoney Sep 25 2 clicks

Cluseau Investments on X

Blackjack 21 Index (favorite collection of global banks and insurers) jumps to +38%, 36% ahead of $XLF Notable ATH's: Juroku Financial, Mebuki Financial https://t.co/HIBUQ57PBF

@negligible_cap Sep 25 3 clicks

Negligible Capital on X

There was a small part of me that thought $CROX was going to rip yesterday after Alex Wang wore them at Meta Connect. Didn't happen. Makes me feel a little better about market froth levels https://t.co/YicRcUsEcM

Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…

OUST $2.9B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 25 7 clicks

Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)

AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…

AAON $6.8B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 25 8 clicks

Vista Energy: The Cash Engine Is On

Vista Energy's Q2 2026 production rose 32% and revenue 89% as Vaca Muerta acquisitions expand its Argentine export platform and cash…

VIST $7.1B

Alan Galecki Sep 25 5 clicks

Ciena & Fabrinet: The Road Ahead for Optics

Ciena and Fabrinet benefit as AI clusters require high-speed optics within and between data centers, through networking systems and…

FN $16BCIEN $55B

Aurelion Research Sep 24 4 clicks

Honeywell: Post-Spin Growth Story Is Just Getting Started

Honeywell is refocusing on automation after its Aerospace and Advanced Materials spinoffs, with a 1.1x book-to-bill ratio, raised guidance…

HON $67B

Gen Alpha Sep 24 1 click

Formula 1: Liberty Media’s Drive for Success

Liberty Media bought Formula 1 for $4.4 billion in 2017 and monetizes its exclusive commercial rights through racing, media and sponsorship.

FWONK $23B

Open Insights Sep 24 6 clicks

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 24 16 clicks

Atlassian: A $140 Billion Market Growing At 14% Annually Creates A Massive Opportunity

Atlassian targets a $140 billion market growing 14% annually, with Rovo reaching 5 million monthly active users and assisted actions rising…

TEAM $48B

Muhammad Cheema Sep 24

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

ZIM $3.5B

Calvin Blissett Sep 23 15 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

ONDS $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 23 4 clicks

SLS · short

Sellas Life Sciences Group I

SELLAS Life Sciences Group faces a short case arguing that even a strong clinical outcome does not support its current valuation.

SLS $2.3B

Value Investors Club May 25

Why Nike ($NKE) Won't Make It Into the Bearhold Universe

Nike is excluded from Bearhold’s universe because cultural relevance and consumer taste drive demand, leaving its revenue model less…

NKE $53B

Bearhold Research Apr 5 1 click

Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)

Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…

CPRT $25B

Bearhold Research Apr 3 1 click

AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics

AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.

AXTI $5.1B

Maius Partners Apr 2 7 clicks

It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)

First Strike Research’s ML and social-sentiment system correctly called 14 of 16 Nike Q3 Kalshi contracts, reporting 208¢ net P&L.

NKE $53B

First Strike Research Apr 1

Alta Fox PBH CN Presentation

Premium Brands Holdings faces margin expansion and free-cash-flow growth as a six-year investment cycle ends, while Alta Fox says its…

PBH $2.2B

Research - Alta Fox Capital Apr 1

Notes On Next PLC FY26 Results

Next reported FY26 EPS growth of 17% and free-cash-flow growth of 11%, with international expansion, third-party commissions and online…

NXT $12B

Sector Stories Mar 30

Nike Earnings Mentions Contracts: Our Analysis, and Fair Value Pricing Model.

First Strike prices Nike’s Q3 “Express Lane” mention at 20-25¢ versus Kalshi’s 66¢, citing the retired Mark Parker-era supply-chain program…

NKE $53B

First Strike Research Mar 29

Water and Power: The Dual Engines Driving LandBridge’s Explosive Growth

LandBridge outlined $300 million in pore-space free cash flow within five years; its Permian data-center project remains proof of concept.

LB $6.4B

310 Value’s Newsletter Mar 26 4 clicks

Global Spirits: Q425 Earnings Update

Campari posts three consecutive quarters of accelerating organic sales growth while Diageo and Pernod face deleveraging pressure, with…

DVCMY $8.2B

Sector Stories Mar 26

Friday, September 25, 2026

Lee Roach on X

A Capital on X

KEDM.com on X

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A Capital on X

A Capital on X

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Negligible Capital on X

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