Thursday, September 24, 2026

Long Opportunities In Semiconductor Capital Equipment Part I - ASML, AMAT, LRCX

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste: Quant Ratings Say Sell, But The Underlying Moat Says Strong Buy

ASR’s $992 million Motiva acquisition broadens its South American airport network after a 25% YTD decline, while its 8.5% FCF yield and…

ASR $6.4B

SA C Jessen Sep 24 3 clicks

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

Turning Point Brands: The Market Is Now Overly Concerned (Rating Upgrade)

Turning Point Brands reaffirmed 2026 guidance after a CEO change, while ALP and FRE expansion has compressed margins through marketing and…

TPB $1.1B

SA Caffital Research Sep 23 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

New Era Energy & Digital: 207 MW Deal Could Unlock 1.4 GW AI Giant

New Era Energy & Digital secured a 20-year Vistra power deal for 200 to 207 MW, reducing Phase 1 risk for its planned 1.4 GW West Texas AI…

NUAI $670M

SA Ryan Canady Sep 23

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

CoreWeave, Inc (CRWV)

CoreWeave funds GPU data-center expansion with debt backed by $104 billion in contracted revenue, while GPU cloud rentals generate roughly…

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

TVAGF · long

Tva Group INC -cl B

TVA Group, a C$61 million market-cap Quebec French-language media company, is presented as a highly asymmetric long opportunity for…

Acuren Q2 Earnings review

Acuren's Q2 revenue rose 1.5% to $313.9 million before its NV5 merger; post-close selling drove TIC down 21% as management targets $20…

[P] UNH: Itemized Governance Signals

UnitedHealth Group's governance disclosures are assessed for investment signals.

[P] NSP: Inspirational or Attainable Goals?

Insperity's special equity awards raise questions about the goals and incentives behind the grants.

[P] TENB: Tenable Reasons to Sell

Tenable Holdings faces a potential sale, with attention on M&A signals around the cybersecurity software company.

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust ($PEB) One Hour Analysis: Trophy Assets at Fire-Sale Prices – A Compelling Value Opportunity Hidden in Plain Sight for Preferred Stock Investors.

Pebblebrook Hotel Trust preferreds yield 8.2% to 8.4%, supported by a hotel portfolio trading at a claimed 40% to 55% NAV discount and…

Earnings: Hyperscalers, AMD, ALAB, ANET

DDI Double Down Interactive (Brief writeup)

DoubleDown Interactive trades near its $485 million cash balance while generating $150 million of annual free cash flow, with acquisitions…

Net Lease Office Properties: Office Basket, REIT Spin/Liquidation

Net Lease Office Properties is a REIT office basket pursuing a spin-off and liquidation.

Global Spirits Part III: Distilling Value - to Age or Not to Age?

Campari and Diageo outperformed spirits peers by turning working capital faster, while Rémy Cointreau's aged-cognac inventory constrained…