Thursday, September 24, 2026

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for Blue Ghost, Elytra and Eclipse.

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 24 16 clicks

Sep 23 ZIM $3.5B

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

Calvin Blissett 15 clicks

Sep 23 ONDS $4.3B

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Monte Independent Investment Research 4 clicks

From X

@petition Jul 28

💥PETITION💥 on X

We know there's a lot of talk about AI disrupting white collar jobs. But, for now, the growth over at $PJT, as just one example of an investment bank, has been impressive. https://t.co/3WUXRgdPXg

@RagingVentures Jul 28

Raging Capital Ventures on X

$AGYS does not see negative impact of AI on enterprise software companies, argues that they are "seeing the opposite effect." Also notes the cost/benefit analysis favors software subscriptions vs. investing in expensive AI development. https://t.co/W4qnsF26r4

@convequity Jul 28

Convequity on X

The complacency is the point. Gas-directed rigs are still only in the low-to-mid 120s and the trend remains essentially flat. Turbine lead times run 3–5 years and the major OEMs are already sold out into 2029–31. Data-center announcements are loud today, but the actual incremental gas draw from behind-the-meter and new generation does not hit the system until the turbines arrive and the sites come online. That lag is why the market can keep treating gas as abundant through 2026–27 even as the structural deficit builds. When the convexity shows up, it will likely arrive later and harder than most are pricing. $EQT, $AR, $CRK

@mavix_leon Jul 28 2 clicks

mavix on X

Shelly Group $SLYG has exercised a Call Option for the acquisition of the remaining stake of 24 % of the share capital in its Slovenian IoT subsidiary Shelly Tech. The total purchase price for the 24%-stake under the exercised Call Option is EUR 0.9 million. https://t.co/qlSBzPVtnU

@cfrischer1 Jul 27

Charles Frischer on X

$NN An investor bought 5,000 Sept $15 option contracts today for $1.40. Assuming shares were $25 post NPRM, these have a 7x return or an implied 15% chance of happening. I think at $1.40, these options were priced far below intrinsic value. I like this trade very much. Very smart

@TheBenSchmark Jul 27 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Hmmm so what happens to China WFE and local semicap? $ACMR https://t.co/zCLlueeF3O

@irbezek Jul 25

Ian Bezek on X

@TidefallCapital I think macro beer is still deeply challenged, though I own a little bit of $TAP and $ABEV. I'm much more confident spirits will recover.

@TheBenSchmark Jul 25

JabroniCoin.USD on X

“Huawei’s report on its progress gave Ding leeway to be more aggressive. He delivered a blunt warning to China’s largest AI users, according to people familiar with the message: Anyone who resisted employing domestic chips was a traitor.” $ACMR https://t.co/2DDOgMTQEW

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services: Strategic Crossroads - Acquisition Or Dividend Bonanza Ahead

ZIM faces Israeli review of Hapag-Lloyd’s $35-per-share bid, with $2.46 billion cash and elevated transpacific rates supporting potential…

ZIM $3.5B

Melissa Tucker Sep 23

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 22 21 clicks

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

VSH $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 22 6 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII

Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead

Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…

CLBT $2.8B

Aurelion Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata

Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…

INOD $2.4B

Hunterbrook Sep 22 12 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Rithm Capital, Sterling Infrastructure, Corning And More

Undercovered Dozen spotlights 12 lesser-covered stocks, including Rithm Capital, Sterling Infrastructure and Corning.

RITM $5B

The Undercovered Dozen Sep 22

Emeth Value Capital’s Andrew Carreon on Shift4 ($FOUR)

Shift4 trades at 6.5 times EBITDA despite 11% organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases reaching a $400 million run rate as…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 22 4 clicks

Quick Value #331 - Corteva / Vylor Spin-Off

Corteva will spin off its Pioneer seed business, Vylor, on October 1, leaving crop protection RemainCo that could trade at 6.5-8.5x 2026…

CTVA $8.4B

Value Don't Lie Sep 21 5 clicks

[CoStar] Homes are different

CoStar spent more than $1 billion building Homes.com to challenge Zillow, betting seller-agent leads, proprietary listing content and…

ZG $6.2B

scuttleblurb Sep 21 4 clicks

MBGL · long

Mobility Global INC -spn

Mobility Global Inc. will become a standalone public company through S&P Global’s spin-off of its Mobility division.

MBGL $5.1B

Value Investors Club Jun 25 2 clicks

I Tested Three Cannibals Against Dillard’s. I Bought Two. (CROX, CNX, GPI)

Crocs, CNX and Group 1 are tested against Dillard’s buyback-driven share-count reduction, with Group 1 leading and CNX’s convertible notes…

CROX $5.7BCNX $4.7B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 20 2 clicks

Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO

Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.

MTN $5.1BGEO $4B

Ian’s Insider Corner Sep 20 9 clicks

Who Really Runs Crocs? The Autopsy.

Crocs CEO Andrew Rees turned around the core brand, then borrowed $2 billion for HEYDUDE, whose $737 million write-down followed wholesale…

CROX $5.7B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 19 5 clicks

Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop

Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…

KRMN $4.3B

Dhierin Bechai Sep 19 1 click

Research & Analysis: Ultra Clean Holdings (NASDAQ: UCTT)

Ultra Clean Holdings targets a $4 billion annualized revenue run rate by H2 2027 through manufacturing expansion and a broader…

UCTT $3.5B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 18 2 clicks

Power Semiconductors: The Follow-Up

STMicroelectronics, Navitas and Wolfspeed offer contrasting power-semiconductor cases tied to NVIDIA’s 800V AI data-center architecture,…

NVTS $3.1B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 17 4 clicks

The Offshore Message From Oslo

Offshore drillers have secured 105 rig-years by September, 42% above all of 2025, as national oil companies lock up long-term capacity.

RIG $5.8B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 17 1 click

Problems at Jackson Financial ($JXN)

Jackson Financial administers $287 billion in retirement accounts while a report says its captive, hedge-loss installment plan and…

JXN $8.8B

Hunterbrook Sep 17 4 clicks

Figure Technology (FIGR): The "Hypoport of America" Growing 100% With 55% EBITDA Margins – and Priced Like the Story Is Broken

Figure Technology's HELOC platform grew Q2 2026 revenue 113% with a 54.6% adjusted EBITDA margin, while shares trade 57% below January's…

FIGR $6.2B

Substack von Philipp Sep 17 7 clicks

Thursday, September 24, 2026

💥PETITION💥 on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Convequity on X

mavix on X

Charles Frischer on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Ian Bezek on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

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