Thursday, September 24, 2026

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for Blue Ghost, Elytra and Eclipse.

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 24 16 clicks

Sep 23 ZIM $3.5B

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

Calvin Blissett 15 clicks

Sep 23 ONDS $4.3B

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Monte Independent Investment Research 4 clicks

From X

@BarbarianCap Sep 24

Barbarian Capital on X

"an unusual turn of events that comes just after People withdrew its own bid to buy the casino and resort company" MGM Resorts Eyeing Bid for Barry Diller’s People Incorporated $MGM https://t.co/FjkNJ0r1PJ

@stockgutter Sep 24

SG on X

$DUOL as if the prior insider sales this month were not enough, Luis von Ahn just filed a form 144 revealing another $6.8m in sales. https://t.co/OMjQfsw4qd

@ActAccordingly Sep 24 2 clicks

PAA Research on X

All trading below their 200-day moving averages right now: - Dow transports ($DJT) - Industrials $XLI - Retail $XRT - $GS Right at the 200-day MA - $KRE. $RUT seems destined to test the 200-day. Normal late September action, but it doesn't feel good. I guess we're setting the state for some golden crosses come late October/November or we're going lower. $MAGS carrying the day like 2024 when we dreamed of lower deficits and lower rates....

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats fair point - the difference however is that my statement is provably correct (even you agree that low band makes mid worth more), & we know that FCC supports $NN b/c of the draft NPRM. ipso facto there is in fact a readthrough for $NN, despite your declaration otherwise.

@valuedontlie Sep 24

Colin King on X

$PPLI withdraws bid for $MGM Shares of MGM down 11% today (essentially back to where they were before PPLI buyout proposal) Stock trades at less than 10x FCF and PPLI still owns ~27% https://t.co/I9RiOvWkri

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 7/x $NN) happy to have flaws in my logic exposed, but the real point is that the nuance is such that making declarative statements without working through the logic chain is IMHO not additive to the debate.

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 6/x $NN) thus, as you agreed, mid-band is more valuable if it has low-band to support it. Thus, the FCC is incentivized to support $NN, which we know they are doing b/c they issued a draft NPRM, which is admittedly stuck in OIRA review. For now.

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 5/x $NN) This is what customers actually care about. You can get around this by building more towers and hanging more radios and using midband for control, but that is less efficient and more expensive.

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services: Strategic Crossroads - Acquisition Or Dividend Bonanza Ahead

ZIM faces Israeli review of Hapag-Lloyd’s $35-per-share bid, with $2.46 billion cash and elevated transpacific rates supporting potential…

ZIM $3.5B

Melissa Tucker Sep 23

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 22 21 clicks

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

VSH $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 22 6 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII

Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead

Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…

CLBT $2.8B

Aurelion Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata

Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…

INOD $2.4B

Hunterbrook Sep 22 12 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Rithm Capital, Sterling Infrastructure, Corning And More

Undercovered Dozen spotlights 12 lesser-covered stocks, including Rithm Capital, Sterling Infrastructure and Corning.

RITM $5B

The Undercovered Dozen Sep 22

Emeth Value Capital’s Andrew Carreon on Shift4 ($FOUR)

Shift4 trades at 6.5 times EBITDA despite 11% organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases reaching a $400 million run rate as…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 22 4 clicks

Quick Value #331 - Corteva / Vylor Spin-Off

Corteva will spin off its Pioneer seed business, Vylor, on October 1, leaving crop protection RemainCo that could trade at 6.5-8.5x 2026…

CTVA $8.4B

Value Don't Lie Sep 21 5 clicks

[CoStar] Homes are different

CoStar spent more than $1 billion building Homes.com to challenge Zillow, betting seller-agent leads, proprietary listing content and…

ZG $6.2B

scuttleblurb Sep 21 4 clicks

SPSC · long

Sps Commerce INC

SPS Commerce, SPSC, runs a network software platform that lets retailers, suppliers and 3PLs exchange supply-chain and trading information.

SPSC $3B

Value Investors Club Jun 8

Emergency Press Conference: FRMI & GRPN

Groupon reported accelerating organic revenue and record July traffic, while Fermi signed a $6.5 billion, 222 MW TensorWave data-center…

FRMI $2.6B

Mispriced Assets Aug 11

Peloton: Subscriber Squeeze

Peloton’s improved balance sheet has not stopped weak subscription trends or sharp volatility, prompting purchases near $3.70, a later…

PTON $2.2B

TSOH Investment Research Aug 10 1 click

WD #353: Colombia, Earnings (INTR, BRKR, TEAM)

Colombia’s Abelardo de la Espriella signals tax cuts and an Ecopetrol revival, while Inter & Co.

INTR $2.4BBRKR $9.4B

Ian’s Insider Corner Aug 9

CBRS Update, WOLF/NVTS Lawsuit, HBF Spec Analysis, Aeva WTF, Taalas/AMD, AAOI, TSEM, uLED Jihad

Cerebras’s upcoming WSE 3.5 targets power delivery and clock speeds; the analysis argues parametric yield, not defect routing, is key to…

NVTS $3.1B

Irrational Analysis Aug 9

The Last Bidder

Aquarian won Brighthouse Financial despite a lower bid after higher offers failed to secure reinsurance for its legacy liabilities and thin…

BHF $2.9B

Mispriced Assets Aug 9

2026 Q2 Earnings Updates: WeightWatchers, Shift4, Bumble

Bumble fell, Shift4 dropped 23% and WeightWatchers rose 18% after earnings, prompting added Shift4 exposure and a sharp WeightWatchers…

FOUR $2.9B

Modern Value Investing Aug 9

$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove

Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…

HIMS $7.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 7 9 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (08/07/2026)

TSOH’s weekly roundup covers Crocs’ $218.6 million Malta tax savings, Roblox’s forecast bookings decline and Lululemon’s CEO change amid…

CROX $5.7B

TSOH Investment Research Aug 7

A merciless market (and the reason behind the drop?)

Shift4 fell 19% after cutting FX-neutral guidance by 100 basis points, despite Q2 revenue, EPS and EBITDA beats.

FOUR $2.9B

Best Anchor Stocks Aug 7

Thursday, September 24, 2026

Barbarian Capital on X

SG on X

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Laughing Water Capital on X

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