Ciena & Fabrinet: The Road Ahead for Optics
Ciena and Fabrinet benefit as AI clusters require high-speed optics within and between data centers, through networking systems and contract manufacturing respectively.
Thursday, September 24, 2026
Back to today 
From X
AltayCap on X
@rubicon59 Problem is $APP is in the "this might be a total scam" bucket. If it's not, yeah it's cheap. I'm not so sure. Could be wrong, but it never smelled right to me.
Lee Roach on X
You guys are sleeping on $GME https://t.co/i9EzDPRTz1
Barbarian Capital on X
GoDaddy receives takeover offer from maker of Norton antivirus software $GDDY https://t.co/mVxICV9LMa
Barbarian Capital on X
Darden Restaurants Posts Sales Gains but Profit Slips on Higher Expenses $DRI https://t.co/gf0C60Y1T6
Barbarian Capital on X
Anthropic to Pay Akamai Technologies $11.6 Billion Over Seven Years for Cloud Services $AKAM https://t.co/6XA7oSbTvM
Barbarian Capital on X
"an unusual turn of events that comes just after People withdrew its own bid to buy the casino and resort company" MGM Resorts Eyeing Bid for Barry Diller’s People Incorporated $MGM https://t.co/FjkNJ0r1PJ
SG on X
$DUOL as if the prior insider sales this month were not enough, Luis von Ahn just filed a form 144 revealing another $6.8m in sales. https://t.co/OMjQfsw4qd
A Capital on X
@AncientSion Rates bro, rates. The irony is that $FSLR gets lumped into the generic “rates up = solar down” trade, even though $FSLR itself is not a levered solar-project owner/developer...
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 NXT $12BTKOMY $98B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 ALM $3.8BJXN $8.8B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 UNVGY $26B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 AUTO $4.6BGNRC $12B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.3BLDNXF $52B
- Protean Funds July 2026 EVGGF $15B
A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t
ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…
Research Roundup Vol. LIII
Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…
SiTime: Wall Street May Be Underestimating Its Growth
SiTime’s MEMS timing portfolio, Renesas acquisition and 1.6T transition are positioned to drive growth and margin expansion as supply…
Gil Rotstein 2 clicks
$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital
Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…
CoreWeave, Inc (CRWV)
CoreWeave funds GPU data-center expansion with debt backed by $104 billion in contracted revenue, while GPU cloud rentals generate roughly…
Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH
Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII
Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…
Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead
Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…
Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata
Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…
Reddit's Valuation Is A Compelling Opportunity: Upgrading To Strong Buy
Reddit’s subreddit-driven communities support targeted advertising, and its 0.3 PEG ratio makes RDDT undervalued, according to the upgrade…
Fountainhead 4 clicks
DASH · long Doordash INC
DoorDash holds roughly 60% U.S. market share in on-demand restaurant logistics, underpinning a long thesis on its defensible delivery…
Adobe Stock Breakdown (Five Minute Money)
Adobe trades at 14x free cash flow after a 60% decline despite growth, with AI, its business-model transition and creative-software…
After Trade Review, and Earnings Mention Market Thoughts
SNAP Family Center was omitted from Snap’s earnings call, validating a 50-cent Kalshi NO contract and informing a machine-learning model…
Ferrari Exploratory Report
Ferrari sells about 13,000 vehicles annually, generating €7 billion of revenue and 28% operating margins; its shares trade at 32 times…
Carvana, DriveTime, Hindenburg and Gotham City
Carvana’s DriveTime disclosures do not prove loan-loss shifting, but related-party dealings and gains on loan sales remain central concerns.
FDA vs. HIMS: Why the Oral “Wegovy Copy” Crackdown Changes the GLP-1 Game
FDA’s crackdown on HIMS’s $49 compounded oral Wegovy copy reshapes GLP-1 competition after Novo Nordisk forecast 2026 sales and profit…
Evolution: 4Q25 Business Update
Evolution's fourth-quarter revenue fell 4% as Asia cyber disruption and European channelization outweighed U.S.
Adobe Inc (ADBE): slowly, then all at once
Adobe’s sub-20x forward GAAP P/E reflects AI disruption fears, with the investment case hinging on whether Digital Media’s creative…
My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure
A former value-investor darling, down 50%, pairs a monopoly with a recurring-revenue razor-and-blade business; debt paydown, margin…
Mispriced Kalshi Contract: Snapchat Family Center
Kalshi’s 87% odds of “Family Center” on Snap’s earnings call far exceed its 2.9% historical mention rate and a 15–20% street-adjusted…
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