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Tuesday, September 22, 2026

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@BrokenMoats 7 clicks

Broken Moats on X

Anyone have any suggestions how Muse and Grokbot and more versions to come of agent personal assistants is bullish of communication stocks like $RNG and $FIVN? Took out some of the intermediary businesses like $EVER and some pressure on $EXPE earlier in the day but seems next level is EXPE, some of the insurance brokers, and then phone communication systems seem at the top of losers from changing engagement and channels for B2C and B2B comms
@majgeoinvesting

Maj Soueidan on X

Absolutely right. And here’s why I like the CEO of $RFIL. He’s not touting “hypescalers” in his major TAM. He thinks some benefit will partly arise from the need for edge solutions because of data centers. He’s very quick to say that the opportunities are big in other areas. In my interview with him at the @MSmicrocaps 2026 virtual, I made sure to ask him how penetrated the telecom DAC opportunity was. He said barely. Will be interesting to fact check that, but that means the opportunity is pretty big and wide open. Back on the subject of data centers, I’m also hearing that modular data centers are finally gaining momentum. So, even though RFIL would not have a solution for hyperscalers, I’d presume they can have some presence in the modular business.
@BrokenMoats 1 click

Broken Moats on X

2 questions: How come there are no institutional owners of this business (small cap fundamental funds, not the two ETF asset aggregators)? Whats the right multiple for a business that has burned 20m in FCF YTD (isolating SBC as it may not be a "cash" cost but is dilutive) on 45m in gross profit? Legitimate question? 4.4x ev/sales does not say cheap to me looking at their financial profile or where more asset light businesses are taking currently The history of these type of CapX security companies has been rather poor. Look at $SSTI and theres been others in the small cap space. Maybe this one's different I have only briefly looked at the business a few times over the years.
@DOMOCAPITAL

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

What makes $MNRO even more interesting is that short interest is ~22.5% of shares outstanding and 41% of the float as not only does Icahn have ~32% of shares tied up, but Gabelli (GAMCO) is also involved. This is probably why cost to borrow is so cheap. Shorts are betting on a dividend cut, but completely ignoring the fact that Icahn/Gabelli and others have 40%+ of the shares. Icahn is now flush with cash from the sale of Pep Boys to Mavis. He can either offer similar terms for $MNRO and buy the remaining shares for $25/share and come away with a superior asset vs Pep Boys or he can push for a sale of the entire company at a similar price or even more. Poison pill expires November 6th... going to get interesting. If there ends up being a proxy battle then all of these shares would have to be called back which would significantly increase short borrowing costs....

Investor Letters

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NET Power (NPWR):

NET Power’s $1.80 shares are paired with January $2 covered calls for 40 cents as the company pivots from carbon capture to Permian…

NPWR $132M
Triple S Special Situations Investing 2 clicks
LZ · long

Legalzoom.com INC

LegalZoom trades near all-time lows as AI adoption is positioned to accelerate growth.

LZ $961M
Value Investors Club

Stranded Indium-Phosphide

Aeva’s high-power InP SOA design could supply NPO/CPO optical modules at roughly 17% gross margins, versus 51% for eight discrete DFB…

AEVA $978M
Irrational Analysis

RI(N)sing higher

RIN prices near all-time highs reflect tighter renewable-fuel mandates, a shrinking credit bank, and biodiesel production shortfalls.

FF $220M
Treasure Hunting 4 clicks

Clear the DEC?

Diversified Energy (DEC) has paid $21.84 per share in dividends since June 2017 and trades at $13.35 amid a bullish U.S.

DEC $950M
The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

Groupon Built a Brain

Groupon is building an AI “Brain” to personalize its app for each user, turning its turnaround plan into a product initiative.

GRPN $815M
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