Tuesday, September 22, 2026

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant additions.

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 22 21 clicks

Sep 22 VSH $5.8B

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Cestrian Capital Research 6 clicks

Sep 22 FLY $3.9B

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII

Monte Independent Investment Research 9 clicks

From X

@AltaFoxCapital Dec 28 2 clicks

Connor Haley on X

@AndrewTakes @taobanker @CGSCapital @Compounding_K @AKWilk 1: NATL ATMs predicted to be more stable/improving than declining. We address this extensively in our report. 2: absolutely when business is growing rapidly on a per share basis. Look at $DBD which trades at a big premium despite growing slower.

@LaughingH20Cap Dec 27

Laughing Water Capital on X

In case you had any doubts on the case for terrestrial GPS. $NN https://t.co/js8mXHYTA6

@LaughingH20Cap Dec 18

Laughing Water Capital on X

@JonoJohnson8 @cfrischer1 Carr also references Cruz who first sponsored legislation calling for a terrestrial backup to GPS in 2017. As head of the Senate Commerce Committee, Cruz is effectively Carr’s boss. All tea leaves, but hard to think they’re not bullish $NN

@LaughingH20Cap Dec 18

Laughing Water Capital on X

@JonoJohnson8 @cfrischer1 Interesting to note that Carr 1st comments on increasing accuracy, and then calls GPS a “related issue”. He clearly makes a distinction between the 2 ideas. Maybe splitting hairs, but there is only 1 company that addresses both points: $NN.

@LaughingH20Cap Dec 2

Laughing Water Capital on X

@mil01425146 @yummyCenturyEgg @JBonfato @23Titan31 Happy to talk about $NN, Part 15, antenna science, radar science, tolling, etc., but I prefer to not be tagged on anything having to do with baked goods and personal proclivities. TYIA.

@LaughingH20Cap Dec 2

Laughing Water Capital on X

Interesting framing for $NN. $95 is pretty far above my upside case, but agree the $T / FirstNet arrangement is interesting context, despite some obvious differences. https://t.co/b3FsHVkivk

@LaughingH20Cap Nov 26 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

@FishOnCapital IMHO best to view this in context of the pod w/ the banker from the 600 MHz. To paraphrase, all of the likely buyers wanted the 600, but AT&T won b/c they were able to move fastest. I suspect $VZ, $TMUS & others will be ready to move fast for $NN's 900. https://t.co/5gRpmej4Bk

@CapitalVoss Nov 25

Voss Capital on X

Here is a link to our Q3 2025 letter to Partners. Theme: Escaping value purgatory. https://t.co/ZSdzeu3Plg $FIVN $XPOF $EEFT $PRKS $CLBT $FLYW @jonrice80 @taylor_hndrson @Scott_K_Rodgers @AggieCapitalist https://t.co/523nEw39yJ

Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead

Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…

CLBT $2.8B

Aurelion Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata

Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…

INOD $2.4B

Hunterbrook Sep 22 12 clicks

Emeth Value Capital’s Andrew Carreon on Shift4 ($FOUR)

Shift4 trades at 6.5 times EBITDA despite 11% organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases reaching a $400 million run rate as…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 22 4 clicks

Quick Value #331 - Corteva / Vylor Spin-Off

Corteva will spin off its Pioneer seed business, Vylor, on October 1, leaving crop protection RemainCo that could trade at 6.5-8.5x 2026…

CTVA $8.4B

Value Don't Lie Sep 21 5 clicks

[CoStar] Homes are different

CoStar spent more than $1 billion building Homes.com to challenge Zillow, betting seller-agent leads, proprietary listing content and…

ZG $6.3B

scuttleblurb Sep 21 4 clicks

I Tested Three Cannibals Against Dillard’s. I Bought Two. (CROX, CNX, GPI)

Crocs, CNX and Group 1 are tested against Dillard’s buyback-driven share-count reduction, with Group 1 leading and CNX’s convertible notes…

CROX $5.7BCNX $4.7B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 20 2 clicks

Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO

Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.

MTN $5.1BGEO $4B

Ian’s Insider Corner Sep 20 9 clicks

Who Really Runs Crocs? The Autopsy.

Crocs CEO Andrew Rees turned around the core brand, then borrowed $2 billion for HEYDUDE, whose $737 million write-down followed wholesale…

CROX $5.7B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 19 5 clicks

Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop

Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…

KRMN $4.3B

Dhierin Bechai Sep 19 1 click

Research & Analysis: Ultra Clean Holdings (NASDAQ: UCTT)

Ultra Clean Holdings targets a $4 billion annualized revenue run rate by H2 2027 through manufacturing expansion and a broader…

UCTT $3.5B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 18 2 clicks

MOH · long

Molina Healthcare INC

Molina Healthcare is presented as a long investment in the widely disliked U.S. health-insurance industry.

MOH $9.9B

Value Investors Club Jun 22 4 clicks

Planet's Next Constellation Is Bigger Than Just An Upgrade

Planet Labs’ $116.1 million second-quarter revenue, 70% defense mix and planned Owl constellation position satellite imagery and AI data as…

PL $6B

Petri Dish Reports Sep 18 2 clicks

Power Semiconductors: The Follow-Up

STMicroelectronics, Navitas and Wolfspeed offer contrasting power-semiconductor cases tied to NVIDIA’s 800V AI data-center architecture,…

NVTS $3.1B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 17 4 clicks

The Offshore Message From Oslo

Offshore drillers have secured 105 rig-years by September, 42% above all of 2025, as national oil companies lock up long-term capacity.

RIG $5.8B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 17 1 click

Problems at Jackson Financial ($JXN)

Jackson Financial administers $287 billion in retirement accounts while a report says its captive, hedge-loss installment plan and…

JXN $8.8B

Hunterbrook Sep 17 4 clicks

Figure Technology (FIGR): The "Hypoport of America" Growing 100% With 55% EBITDA Margins – and Priced Like the Story Is Broken

Figure Technology's HELOC platform grew Q2 2026 revenue 113% with a 54.6% adjusted EBITDA margin, while shares trade 57% below January's…

FIGR $6.2B

Substack von Philipp Sep 17 7 clicks

Kodiak Sciences: Daybreak Needs To Deliver More Than A Passing Grade

Kodiak Sciences expects Phase 3 DAYBREAK results for Zenkuda and KSI-501 in wet AMD, with durability and vision outcomes key beyond…

KOD $5.9B

Sam Mancini Sep 16

Research Roundup Vol. LII

Dell’s AI-server demand and Microchip’s data-center components lead updates on Cirrus Logic and STMicroelectronics, alongside a weekly…

CRUS $6.1B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 16

Forget Drones: Ondas Is Building An Autonomous Warfare Ecosystem

Ondas Holdings, ONDS, grew Q2 2026 revenue 1,235% to $83.7 million after acquisitions and is integrating drone and autonomous warfare…

ONDS $4.3B

Analysis Fundamental Sep 16 1 click

Ethos' Biggest Distributor by Head Count Ranked It Last on Stage

Ethos relies on three carriers for 88% of revenue as TruStage payment failures triggered policy lapses and Family First Life publicly…

LIFE $2.2B

Hunterbrook Sep 15 4 clicks

Tuesday, September 22, 2026

Connor Haley on X

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