$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital
Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant additions.
Tuesday, September 22, 2026
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From X
Barbarian Capital on X
KB Home Cuts Margin Outlook as Housing Conditions Worsen $KBH https://t.co/OA4utledZC
Prepared Remarks on X
$MTCH bull case https://t.co/8iJYHVs7dl
JabroniCoin.USD on X
If Bernstein’s capex numbers for CXMT are anywhere in the ballpark, semicap ought to do well. At this point $ACMR seems to be still be a cheap hedge on memory https://t.co/b4lAZogFcJ https://t.co/kShCjd5m9x
Colin King on X
$MDT $MMED exchange offer an interesting special sit… Own shares of MDT and swap for MMED at 7% discount Odd lot provision for 99 shares held too High enough share price to be worthwhile ($90+ MDT price works out to $600+ profit in a few weeks time)
A Capital on X
Anyone looking at $BBWI as a potential activist-driven pre-deal? Barington pushing for buybacks / strategic alternatives, ~$4bn market cap, ~$1.2bn EBITDA and trading ~5-6x EV/EBITDA. Real FCF business despite the top-line issues. What does this get taken out for if someone can underwrite a turnaround? Cc: Sycamore
Ian Bezek on X
What's going down faster, $OPEN's stock price or Rabois' credibility as a geopolitical analyst? https://t.co/ThqR7rsRsO
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 ALM $3.8BJXN $8.8B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 AUTO $4.6BKXS $3.4B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.3B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 9301 $3.2B
- Artisan Partners Q2 2026 CIGI $4.7BCLBT $2.8B
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 MMS $2.8B
Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead
Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…
Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata
Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…
Emeth Value Capital’s Andrew Carreon on Shift4 ($FOUR)
Shift4 trades at 6.5 times EBITDA despite 11% organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases reaching a $400 million run rate as…
Quick Value #331 - Corteva / Vylor Spin-Off
Corteva will spin off its Pioneer seed business, Vylor, on October 1, leaving crop protection RemainCo that could trade at 6.5-8.5x 2026…
[CoStar] Homes are different
CoStar spent more than $1 billion building Homes.com to challenge Zillow, betting seller-agent leads, proprietary listing content and…
I Tested Three Cannibals Against Dillard’s. I Bought Two. (CROX, CNX, GPI)
Crocs, CNX and Group 1 are tested against Dillard’s buyback-driven share-count reduction, with Group 1 leading and CNX’s convertible notes…
Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
Who Really Runs Crocs? The Autopsy.
Crocs CEO Andrew Rees turned around the core brand, then borrowed $2 billion for HEYDUDE, whose $737 million write-down followed wholesale…
Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop
Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…
Dhierin Bechai 1 click
Research & Analysis: Ultra Clean Holdings (NASDAQ: UCTT)
Ultra Clean Holdings targets a $4 billion annualized revenue run rate by H2 2027 through manufacturing expansion and a broader…
HHH · long Howard Hughes Holdings INC
Howard Hughes Holdings is pitched as a long in the $60s, with a near-term $90 target and a projected 20%+ IRR.
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