Tuesday, September 22, 2026

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant additions.

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 22 21 clicks

Sep 22 VSH $5.8B

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Cestrian Capital Research 6 clicks

Sep 22 FLY $3.9B

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII

Monte Independent Investment Research 9 clicks

From X

@BarbarianCap Sep 22

Barbarian Capital on X

KB Home Cuts Margin Outlook as Housing Conditions Worsen $KBH https://t.co/OA4utledZC

@finphysnerd Sep 22 3 clicks

Myles on X

@HatfieldCapital @RealHerbHoover From what I've read $MMS has some exposure to va healthcare repricing as well. More importantly the rest of the business is lower quality. No defence/intelligence exposure, some segments overearning (natural disaster work and soft services volumes). Still looks cheap.

@BrokenMoats Sep 22 7 clicks

Broken Moats on X

Anyone have any suggestions how Muse and Grokbot and more versions to come of agent personal assistants is bullish of communication stocks like $RNG and $FIVN? Took out some of the intermediary businesses like $EVER and some pressure on $EXPE earlier in the day but seems next level is EXPE, some of the insurance brokers, and then phone communication systems seem at the top of losers from changing engagement and channels for B2C and B2B comms

@P_Remarks Sep 22 3 clicks

Prepared Remarks on X

$MTCH bull case https://t.co/8iJYHVs7dl

@TheBenSchmark Sep 22

JabroniCoin.USD on X

If Bernstein’s capex numbers for CXMT are anywhere in the ballpark, semicap ought to do well. At this point $ACMR seems to be still be a cheap hedge on memory https://t.co/b4lAZogFcJ https://t.co/kShCjd5m9x

@valuedontlie Sep 22

Colin King on X

$MDT $MMED exchange offer an interesting special sit… Own shares of MDT and swap for MMED at 7% discount Odd lot provision for 99 shares held too High enough share price to be worthwhile ($90+ MDT price works out to $600+ profit in a few weeks time)

@ACapitalLP Sep 22 5 clicks

A Capital on X

Anyone looking at $BBWI as a potential activist-driven pre-deal? Barington pushing for buybacks / strategic alternatives, ~$4bn market cap, ~$1.2bn EBITDA and trading ~5-6x EV/EBITDA. Real FCF business despite the top-line issues. What does this get taken out for if someone can underwrite a turnaround? Cc: Sycamore

@irbezek Sep 21

Ian Bezek on X

What's going down faster, $OPEN's stock price or Rabois' credibility as a geopolitical analyst? https://t.co/ThqR7rsRsO

Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead

Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…

CLBT $2.8B

Aurelion Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata

Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…

INOD $2.4B

Hunterbrook Sep 22 12 clicks

Emeth Value Capital’s Andrew Carreon on Shift4 ($FOUR)

Shift4 trades at 6.5 times EBITDA despite 11% organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases reaching a $400 million run rate as…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 22 4 clicks

Quick Value #331 - Corteva / Vylor Spin-Off

Corteva will spin off its Pioneer seed business, Vylor, on October 1, leaving crop protection RemainCo that could trade at 6.5-8.5x 2026…

CTVA $8.4B

Value Don't Lie Sep 21 5 clicks

[CoStar] Homes are different

CoStar spent more than $1 billion building Homes.com to challenge Zillow, betting seller-agent leads, proprietary listing content and…

ZG $6.2B

scuttleblurb Sep 21 4 clicks

I Tested Three Cannibals Against Dillard’s. I Bought Two. (CROX, CNX, GPI)

Crocs, CNX and Group 1 are tested against Dillard’s buyback-driven share-count reduction, with Group 1 leading and CNX’s convertible notes…

CROX $5.7BCNX $4.7B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 20 2 clicks

Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO

Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.

MTN $5.1BGEO $4B

Ian’s Insider Corner Sep 20 9 clicks

Who Really Runs Crocs? The Autopsy.

Crocs CEO Andrew Rees turned around the core brand, then borrowed $2 billion for HEYDUDE, whose $737 million write-down followed wholesale…

CROX $5.7B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 19 5 clicks

Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop

Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…

KRMN $4.3B

Dhierin Bechai Sep 19 1 click

Research & Analysis: Ultra Clean Holdings (NASDAQ: UCTT)

Ultra Clean Holdings targets a $4 billion annualized revenue run rate by H2 2027 through manufacturing expansion and a broader…

UCTT $3.5B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 18 2 clicks

OKLO · short

Oklo INC

Oklo is framed as a portfolio basket short and a concept company that could become a compounding short.

OKLO $6.7B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)

Wingstop generates most of its $697 million revenue from franchise royalties across a 3,153-restaurant, 98%-franchised system while…

WING $2.9B

Bearhold Research Jun 28 2 clicks

Tidewater (TDW): a first-pass look

Tidewater’s $22,600 average day rate and $598 million FY2025 EBITDA rest on an aging OSV fleet, scant newbuilds and fleet acquisitions…

TDW $4B

Stock Thoughts Jun 27

Weekend Digest #346 (AVAL, SpaceX QQQ & Passive Indexing, CBOE Vs. Kalshi)

Grupo Aval has doubled from entry, with further upside tied to Colombia’s new government.

AVAL $5.7B

Ian’s Insider Corner Jun 15 1 click

Quick Value #318 - Campbell's (CPB)

Campbell's trades at 10-11x earnings and a 7% yield after shares fell over 50%, while 4x leverage, weaker volumes and margin pressure…

CPB $5.9B

Value Don't Lie Jun 15

Everyone Bought the Shovels

Element Solutions sells consumable chipmaking chemistry, with a $75 target from $44 based on an AI-driven semiconductor-materials rerating.

ESI $9.1B

Mispriced Assets Jun 15

ASR: Sureste Airports Soaring To 50%+ Upside, Market Is Missing The New Assets

Sureste Airports’ 20-airport Motiva acquisition and U.S. concessions are set to lift EBITDA, while shares trade at 7x forward EBITDA.

ASR $6.4B

Ian’s Insider Corner Jun 14

A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse

A software powerhouse posts a record quarter while trading at a 52-week low, raising a valuation disconnect between its business model and…

CALX $2.2B

The Value Road Jun 12 5 clicks

The Bottleneck Was Never the Finding

Tenable’s $27 valuation reflects fears that AI commoditizes vulnerability scanning, while the thesis says AI increases demand for…

TENB $4B

Mispriced Assets Jun 9

MSGS at a Glaring Discount so GO KNICKS GO!

MSGS, owner of the Knicks and Rangers, filed a Form 10 to explore a spinoff as comparable franchise sales support an $11 billion valuation.

MSGS $9.9B

Open Insights Jun 5

Tuesday, September 22, 2026

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