$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital
Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant additions.
Tuesday, September 22, 2026
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From X
Barbarian Capital on X
Snap tries to bring AR glasses to enterprise market, partnering with Nvidia, AWS and Salesforce $SNAP https://t.co/jh1lM0JqYQ
BDC on X
Specs might be the only tech in the world that could fully replace your phone and your life would be better. What's that worth? $snap
Barbarian Capital on X
"index provider MSCI raises prospect of cutting Turkey from emerging market to frontier..." Turkish stocks slide in ‘fund run’ as investors withdraw $1 bn $TUR https://t.co/byHperdiTW
Barbarian Capital on X
Lennar Cuts Deliveries Target Again on Rate Pressure, Housing Market Conditions $LEN https://t.co/pSDzIOtCPo
BDC on X
Learning applications for Specs are going to insane. Forget tablets or laptops. Every school in America should give their kids some Specs. $snap
BDC on X
Wow - kinda nailed the need for cellular partner except the partner is VZ, not $SPCX. Good, regardless. $SNAP https://t.co/SaiRhAUmRr
BDC on X
Based on what we've seen so far from Specs, and given private market valuations, could easily see $SNAP sell 20% minority stake in Specs for $2B. Implication is insanely bullish for SNAP equity.
BDC on X
Specs are really cool. All sorts of real world applications. The enterprise apps might have the most commercial potential. This tech is legit. Minority equity investors will be lining up. $snap
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5BSUSRF $262M
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 NXT $12BTKOMY $98B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 DR0 $438MALM $3.8B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 079940 $399MUNVGY $26B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1BVNP $1.9B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.3BLDNXF $52B
- Forager Funds Management July 2026 BVS $981M
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII
Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…
Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead
Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…
Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata
Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…
Reddit's Valuation Is A Compelling Opportunity: Upgrading To Strong Buy
Reddit’s subreddit-driven communities support targeted advertising, and its 0.3 PEG ratio makes RDDT undervalued, according to the upgrade…
Fountainhead 4 clicks
Emeth Value Capital’s Andrew Carreon on Shift4 ($FOUR)
Shift4 trades at 6.5 times EBITDA despite 11% organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases reaching a $400 million run rate as…
Credo Technology: New Position in My Private Portfolio
Credo Technology was added at $170.54 after a 40% selloff, backed by its high-speed AECs and optical connectivity for AI data centers.
Copart's Return To Growth Starts Now: Adair's $1.9B Bet On ACV Auctions
Copart’s $1.9 billion ACV Auctions acquisition targets renewed growth, with EPS accretion expected by fiscal 2028 as insurance…
Robert J. Lake 2 clicks
GameStop Is Extreme Deep Value
GameStop's collectibles mix rose to 45% of sales as gross margin reached 44%, supporting a deep-value case built on cash and store…
Tempus AI: Data And Applications Will Unlock More Upside
Tempus AI’s Q2 oncology testing volumes rose 31%, while data and applications revenue grew 28% as its clinical data flywheel expands.
Bay Area Ideas 2 clicks
A2Gold: Research Note
A2Gold’s first Taylor drill holes returned 20.96 g/t AuEq over 1.5m and 209.4 g/t silver over 10.7m, alongside 141.10 g/t gold at…
INVH · long Invitation Homes INC
Invitation Homes owns more than 85,000 homes valued at $43 to $48 per share, versus a roughly $30 share price, with occupancy above 96%.
[Emergency Lunch-Hour Market Memo] Coherent admits their CPO/NPO Laser is garbage + Cerebras delusional bonus roast
Coherent’s CPO/NPO laser misses 1 MHz effective-linewidth requirements, Irrational Analysis argues.
Arcturus Therapeutics: A Speculative Buy For Their OTC Deficiency Program
Arcturus Therapeutics is advancing ARCT-810 for OTC deficiency after phase 2 data normalized glutamine and ammonia levels, with $191.5…
C. C. Abbott 
Quick Value #331 - Corteva / Vylor Spin-Off
Corteva will spin off its Pioneer seed business, Vylor, on October 1, leaving crop protection RemainCo that could trade at 6.5-8.5x 2026…
[CoStar] Homes are different
CoStar spent more than $1 billion building Homes.com to challenge Zillow, betting seller-agent leads, proprietary listing content and…
ARKO. 3x Owner’s Earnings multiple, 21% ROCE, Founders involved and large shareholders, Stake in a public company>market cap. Superb Capital Allocators
ARKO trades at 3 times estimated 2025 owner’s earnings, while its 73.6% APC stake exceeds its $473 million market cap.
“Going Through Some Pain”
Dick’s Sporting Goods’ $2.4 billion Foot Locker acquisition nearly quadruples its store count and adds international exposure, risking a…
The Monday Morning Briefing
Latticework’s weekly briefing spotlights discounted European assets including Barco, Bolloré, Brookfield and D’Ieteren, with catalysts…
Genuine Parts: NAPA Self-Help, Motion Recovery, And The 2027 Separation Support Upside
Genuine Parts targets NAPA network improvements, Motion’s industrial recovery and a 2027 Automotive-Industrial separation to lift sales,…
Value Capital Research 2 clicks
I Tested Three Cannibals Against Dillard’s. I Bought Two. (CROX, CNX, GPI)
Crocs, CNX and Group 1 are tested against Dillard’s buyback-driven share-count reduction, with Group 1 leading and CNX’s convertible notes…
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