Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
Monday, September 21, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Barbarian Capital on X
Ethan Allen Launches Search for Next Chief Executive $ETD https://t.co/w9liHmiy2F
Ian Bezek on X
What's going down faster, $OPEN's stock price or Rabois' credibility as a geopolitical analyst? https://t.co/ThqR7rsRsO
Charles Frischer on X
$OMER Comments from today's investor day with Novo. I think these words are quite bullish for Omeros and their partnership with Novo. https://t.co/ov8OF0gNlQ
Trevor Scott on X
@kurniAsept $CSU universe off -2% on a +3% $IGV today is fantastic.
Deep Sail Capital on X
You read this deal from $NUAI and you think the stock should be up 33%? They just committed to a $200m credit line in which they only have liquidity of $68m. They are 100% going to need to raise equity and likely draw on this Macquarie facility. Also the deal is 5% equity dilution. Anyone buying today is about to get a rug pull from management.
Myles on X
Long $BORR https://t.co/W0xvygRBPr
A Capital on X
$WYFI meaningfully lagging the other Powered Shell Providers…. https://t.co/JWZPbrU54S
Myles on X
Long some $RSP calls. Breadth is completely washed out and implied vol seems cheap. Seasonality is favourable, feels like an attractive place to be long, and cheap on the options side. https://t.co/00h6Oyvnmk
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $509MALM $4.1B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4BSUSRF $251M
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 4549 $496M8011 $231M
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $994MVNP $1.6B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.7B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2BCMCX $2.6B
- Forager Funds Management July 2026 4733 $4B
QNT: The 100× Question
Quantinuum's improving logical-qubit error correction, 1,504 successful-circuit benchmark score and paid deployments at RIKEN, BMW and…
DeFi Development: The Clarity Act Failure Tests The Solana Treasury Thesis
DeFi Development’s Solana treasury strategy faces dilution, preferred dividends and tight liquidity after a 50% rally, with $4.3 million of…
Dorine Cherop 
Research & Analysis: Ultra Clean Holdings (NASDAQ: UCTT)
Ultra Clean Holdings targets a $4 billion annualized revenue run rate by H2 2027 through manufacturing expansion and a broader…
This Week in Special Situations: Cooper Companies, Sturm Ruger, Grab Holdings, Boston Omaha
Special-situations survey flags Cooper’s $3 billion buyback, Grab’s $900 million repurchase, and Beretta’s $44.80 partial tender for Sturm…
House of Weichai
Weichai Power built a global engine group through Baudouin and a 46% stake in PSIX, positioning both for large-bore generator demand from…
Pioneer Bancorp Has One Too Many Red Flags
Pioneer Bancorp’s acquisitions lifted loans 13.6% and Q2 net interest margin to 4.30%, but expenses, weaker profitability ratios and a…
Crimson And Gold Research 
Power Semiconductors: The Follow-Up
STMicroelectronics, Navitas and Wolfspeed offer contrasting power-semiconductor cases tied to NVIDIA’s 800V AI data-center architecture,…
Diamond Estates: Research Note
Diamond Estates Wines & Spirits plans to expand grocery and export sales, invest in six brands, and improve winery operations through FY29.
Progyny: Best-In-Class And Likely To Exceed Analyst Estimates In 2027
Progyny's Q2 revenue rose 11% excluding Amazon, with margin expansion and nearly 100% EPS growth guidance for 2026 supporting…
Robert J. Lake 
Vizsla Silver (VZLA)
Vizsla Silver's Panuco project in Sinaloa remains shut after nine workers were found dead, delaying construction of a fully funded 17.4 Moz…
NINE · long Nine Energy Service
Nine Energy Service (NINE) is a domestic onshore oilfield-services consolidation play as U.S. rig counts show early signs of recovery.
Zack Buckley on $PRTH's take private
Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…
Imperial Petroleum: Buy On Strong Prospects And Substantial Share Repurchases
Imperial Petroleum's record Q2 cash generation, major share repurchases and a $32 million Suezmax sale gain set up another record quarter.
Henrik Alex 3 clicks
(Idea) GeoPark’s Venezuela Deal Creates More Upside—And A More Difficult Valuation
GeoPark’s Bare Block acquisition targets $1.2 billion of 2030 EBITDA, but 42.1 million to 47.6 million new shares and Gilinski control…
Amplitude Q2 26 - Examining The Moat - Rating, Hold.
Amplitude reported Q2 revenue of $100.9 million, up 21%, as agentic AI and LLM vendors challenge the moat of its product analytics software.
Single Stock Spotlight #14: Kosmos Energy (KOS)
Kosmos Energy (KOS) is pitched as an oil stock poised to outperform if oil stays above $70-$80, supported by a claimed 2 billion-barrel…
This Week in Special Situations: Signet Jewelers, Medipal Holdings, First REIT of New Jersey
Signet, Medipal and First REIT headline 27 situations spanning buybacks, activism, M&A and liquidation catalysts.
DHT Holdings: Quality Balance Sheet And Defensible Positioning
DHT Holdings' low-leverage VLCC fleet has paid 66 consecutive dividends, with charter income covering forecast costs and spot earnings…
Arizona Equity Research 
ContextLogic Acquires gChem (LOGC): Update and Valuation
ContextLogic will acquire specialty-solvent maker gChem for $850 million, funded by a $650 million rights offering and $250 million of…
Kodiak AI: The Stock Collapsed Just As The Business Started Working
Kodiak AI’s stock collapse coincides with a planned year-end long-haul driverless launch, while cash burn, customer concentration and…
High Alpha Professor Publications we follow
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A Capital
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Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
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Farmer
Fierce_beast
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junkbondinvestor
kab60
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marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
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Myles
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Negligible Capital
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Sahil Khetpal
SG
Tim Eriksen
Timyan Bank Alert
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ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
- Alpinum Investment Management AG
- Ariel Investments
- Artisan Partners
- Askeladden Capital
- Asset Value Investors Ltd
- Baron Funds
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- Biglari Holdings
- Bireme Capital
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- Broyhill Asset Management
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- Cedar Creek Partners
- Choice Equities
- Confluence Investment Management
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- Distillate Capital
- Dodge & Cox Stock Fund
- Donville Kent Asset Management Inc.
- FPA Crescent Fund
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- Forager Funds Management
- Fred Alger Management, LLC
- Giverny Capital
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- Greenhaven Road Capital
- GreensKeeper Asset Management
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- Halvio Capital
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- Hoisington Investment Management
- Horizon Kinetics
- Intrepid Capital
- Invenomic Capital Management
- Janus Henderson Investors
- Kaydan Wealth Management
- Kernow Asset Management
- LVS Advisory
- Laughing Water Capital
- Lindsell Train Limited
- Macro Ops
- Maran Capital Management
- Markel Group
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- McIntyre Partnerships
- Merion Road Capital
- Myrmikan Capital, LLC
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory
- Oakmark Funds
- Palm Harbour Capital
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- Patient Capital Management
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- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd.
- Pershing Square Holdings
- Polaris Capital Management
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities
- Polen Capital U.S. Opportunistic High Yield
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- Protean Funds
- RGA Investment Advisors
- Rowan Street Capital
- Royce Investment Partners
- Sequoia Fund
- Southeastern Asset Management
- Third Avenue Management
- Tweedy, Browne
- Upslope Capital Management
- Vulcan Value Partners
- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- White Falcon Capital Management
Sectors
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