Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
Monday, September 21, 2026
Back to today 
From X
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Bernstein on CXMT: “We believe a new fab of max capacity at 100k wpm is being built in Shanghai now, & is due to begin production early next year. There is no mention of this fab in any company filings” Models capex rising 70% YoY through ‘28 to $35B CXMT capex is $ACMR revenue https://t.co/rQXi6eh7PX
JabroniCoin.USD on X
$ACMR seems to be the simplest way to play the inevitable CXMT/YMTC ramp https://t.co/NlvTBGCZSr
A Capital on X
@BetterIRR Q: Where does $CODI trade if they execute a major asset sale before year-end? https://t.co/JhnAKOI3hl
Deep Sail Capital on X
@marketplunger1 A majority of them are in Japan or Korea $OUST - LiDAR leader. $NOVT - Drives, motion, medical. M&A strategy in robotics end market. It’s really expensive though.
marginofdanger on X
Fundamental issue with $HHH is there is no return of capital to shareholders and no consistent base of earnings either. I strongly preferred the company as a real estate only situation. He massively overpaid for Vantage too. Will trade cheap to NAV until it’s truly shareholder friendly.
Bill Ackman on X
An excellent and insightful report on $HHH. https://t.co/cvFpfHoAkP
Ian Bezek on X
@Tintincapital @valuehurts Has already happened, no? The $WING and $CAVA style restaurant growth stories have collapsed. Or look at something like Vail Resorts, down 65% off the 2022 peak.
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $509MALM $4.1B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 4549 $496M9301 $3.4B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $994MVNP $1.6B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.7B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2BCMCX $2.6B
- Forager Funds Management July 2026 4733 $4B
Quantum Computing: Continuing To Evolve And Transition From The Lab To Commerce
Quantum Computing, QUBT, sold its first Dirac-3 system, added a second fab through acquisition and is building photonics capabilities…
Marc Gerstein 
Research & Analysis: Ultra Clean Holdings (NASDAQ: UCTT)
Ultra Clean Holdings targets a $4 billion annualized revenue run rate by H2 2027 through manufacturing expansion and a broader…
Anterix: The Spectrum Case Is Real, But The Chart And The Insiders Say Wait
Anterix’s 900 MHz spectrum could be worth $2.5–$7 billion, versus a $1.41 billion enterprise value, but insider selling and lumpy…
The Market Auditor 2 clicks
This Week in Special Situations: Cooper Companies, Sturm Ruger, Grab Holdings, Boston Omaha
Special-situations survey flags Cooper’s $3 billion buyback, Grab’s $900 million repurchase, and Beretta’s $44.80 partial tender for Sturm…
House of Weichai
Weichai Power built a global engine group through Baudouin and a 46% stake in PSIX, positioning both for large-bore generator demand from…
Power Semiconductors: The Follow-Up
STMicroelectronics, Navitas and Wolfspeed offer contrasting power-semiconductor cases tied to NVIDIA’s 800V AI data-center architecture,…
Diamond Estates: Research Note
Diamond Estates Wines & Spirits plans to expand grocery and export sales, invest in six brands, and improve winery operations through FY29.
Vizsla Silver (VZLA)
Vizsla Silver's Panuco project in Sinaloa remains shut after nine workers were found dead, delaying construction of a fully funded 17.4 Moz…
Copart 4Q26 Business Update: Thesis Shift?
Copart’s 4Q26 revenue grew 2.4% as U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5%, while a customer loss and higher yard costs pressured profits despite…
Kodiak Sciences: Daybreak Needs To Deliver More Than A Passing Grade
Kodiak Sciences expects Phase 3 DAYBREAK results for Zenkuda and KSI-501 in wet AMD, with durability and vision outcomes key beyond…
Sam Mancini 
TPLKF · long PVA Tepla
PVA TePla (XTRA:TPE) is presented as a long position.
Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop
Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…
Dhierin Bechai 1 click
Ethos' Biggest Distributor by Head Count Ranked It Last on Stage
Ethos relies on three carriers for 88% of revenue as TruStage payment failures triggered policy lapses and Family First Life publicly…
Talos Energy: Mature Offshore Assets Can Fund A Longer-Lived Business
Talos Energy is raising standalone production guidance without added capex while using offshore cash flow to fund Shell acquisition and…
Capital Connoisseur 
Alarm.com: False Alarm?
Alarm.com, founded after CEO Steve Trundle’s bad home-security experience, has fallen from $105 in 2020 to about $55, testing whether…
Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1
Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.
Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026
Oak Bloke’s 2026 picks have returned 37% in GBP, with AltynGold, Geiger Counter, Silvercorp and China-focused trusts still rated buys…
Stocks on My Radar - Consumer Edition
Crocs’ core brand surpassed $1 billion in quarterly revenue, while HEYDUDE weakness, tariffs and 2025 impairments weigh on shares trading…
USA Compression: Unlocking Efficiency As It Heads To The Texas Stock Exchange
USA Compression targets nearly 30% full-year EBITDA growth as JW Power synergies, telemetry and maintenance reduce costs; its units yield…
Ron Ferrie 3 clicks
The Groupon Turnaround — Dušan Šenkypl & Rana Kashyap | Ep. 3
Groupon CEO Dušan Šenkypl and CFO Rana Kashyap discuss rebuilding the local-experiences marketplace with AI infrastructure, better…
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