Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Ethos' Biggest Distributor by Head Count Ranked It Last on Stage

Ethos relies on three carriers for 88% of revenue as TruStage payment failures triggered policy lapses and Family First Life publicly ranked Ethos last among insurance partners.

LIFE $2.3B

Hunterbrook Sep 15 4 clicks

Sep 14 ALRM $2.6B

Alarm.com: False Alarm?

TSOH Investment Research 1 click

Sep 13 SVM $2.7B

Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026

The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Nov 12

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg @MGardnerDA1235 @dylan55917 8/x) add this to the list of common sense and technical arguments that demonstrate how the 900 band is not messy. Assume the $NN bears will ignore this, as they ignored the above points. https://t.co/wqpbmn33X7

@LittleOwlRes Nov 10

Little Owl Research on X

In September I had the pleasure of attending the Howard Hughes $HHH annual shareholder meeting. I met the man himself! @BillAckman Not to get ahead of myself, but this could be the beginning of something very special. Today’s quarterly results help to reinforce my views on the quality of both the asset base and management. The company is firing on all cylinders. Management continues to execute on the MPC strategy, and an acquisition seems highly likely in the short term. However, the shares still trade at a deep discount to intrinsic value. Do I care? No—at least not yet. Pershing Square has a truly remarkable track record. Since adopting their “permanent capital” strategy they have done 23.5% net of fees annually since January of 2018. Not too shabby. I suspect they’ll be acquiring a small insurer in the 1.0x-1.4x P/B range, if that’s the case, and they continue to put up those returns, the acquisition will be monstrously accretive. When Buffett took control of Berkshire, it was a failing textile mill with a negative terminal value. Ackman is starting off with assets of much higher quality and that are beginning to generate a lot of excess cash. A lot of work has to be done, but I’m happy to hold my shares here. If you’re interested in learning more about the real estate operations, I’ve attached my $HHH report from November of 2023–obviously outdated, but should help get you up to speed on the history, RE strategy, and asset base—and I will be putting out an updated report after the details of the insurance acquisition are announced. https://t.co/ueKI0TWY9R

@LaughingH20Cap Nov 10

Laughing Water Capital on X

below relates to how the extreme upside case for $NN spectrum could develop. Satellite direct to phone requires low band spectrum to be effective. $AAPL may want to control its own satellite destiny. There simply is not much low band to go around. https://t.co/Z2JM9yR7tk https://t.co/5NRaPZlWMI

@AltaFoxCapital Nov 6 2 clicks

Connor Haley on X

Numbers are not wrong-- this was a 1% change to Adj. EBITDA in 2024 and free cash flow was unchanged. This is a recent spin and there is a lot of noise below the line. This is a new CFO who flagged this and we think is doing a great job. FCF/share (ex-WC) should grow 30%+ next year (actual FCF much higher given normalization of WC). Big valuation discount vs $DBD despite much faster and higher-quality growth.

@AltaFoxCapital Nov 6 2 clicks

Connor Haley on X

Good quarter from $NATL and thesis on track. -The ATMaaS business continues to outperform... 37% y/y growth in Q3... and it's on track to be 40%+ in Q4, well ahead of our expectations -SSB delivered >50% incremental EBITDA margins in Q3, fueling 21% EBITDA growth for the segment

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 31

Laughing Water Capital on X

@MGardnerDA1235 @yummyCenturyEgg @dylan55917 $NN has wanted to collaborate with the opposition for ~18 months. They repeatedly talk about how they want "engineer to engineer conversations", but the opposition will not engage. 1 explanation is b/c the opposition knows what the tests will say, but yes real tests are possible

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 31

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg @MGardnerDA1235 @dylan55917 4/x) for tolls, why slightly moving part of 2 of the 3 technologies by a few mhz crazy? $NN has said this would cost "tens of millions." no big deal. Not to mention that half of toll reading is already done by camera an AI. Why use limited spectrum when better tech is available? https://t.co/75Yxn4PCu4

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 31

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg @MGardnerDA1235 @dylan55917 3/x) beyond the pros view, consider for RFID in Europe they get 6 mhz. Japan 6. China 5. Why does US need 28? why aren't the 11 mhz between $NN's proposed 5 up and 10 down enough? not to mention that NN has already demonstrated they don't interfere with part 15

Investor Letters

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USA Compression: Unlocking Efficiency As It Heads To The Texas Stock Exchange

USA Compression targets nearly 30% full-year EBITDA growth as JW Power synergies, telemetry and maintenance reduce costs; its units yield…

USAC $3.8B

Ron Ferrie Sep 11 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

PTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…

WAY $4.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 31 5 clicks

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

Miami International Holdings (MIAX)

Miami International Holdings, the No. 4 options exchange with 17% share, trades at 12x forward EBITDA despite 35% revenue growth, 54%…

MIAX $3.8B

Sylence Capital Aug 27 1 click

TPC 2026-08-27

Tutor Perini: Q2 2026 Made My Strong Buy Case Stronger

Tutor Perini’s Q2 revenue rose 19% to $1.64 billion as higher-margin megaprojects lifted construction income 54%, prompting higher 2026 EPS…

TPC $4.5B

The Curious Analyst Aug 27

Quick Value #328 - Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)

Cal-Maine, the largest U.S. egg producer, trades at 1.6x book versus a 2.1x 20-year median, with net cash and investments equal to 23% of…

CALM $3.4B

Value Don't Lie Aug 25

STNE 2026-08-25

StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now

StoneCo's buybacks and special dividend produced roughly 39% H1 shareholder yield as Brazil's rate cuts slow and competition persists.

STNE $2.2B

IWA Research Aug 25 3 clicks

Planet Fitness: The $10 Gym That Grew Into a Franchise Machine

Planet Fitness runs 2,930 clubs and 21.5 million memberships through an asset-light franchise model funded by $15 monthly dues, royalties…

PLNT $3.8B

Open Insights Aug 23

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 12 clicks

BKV · long

Bkv CORP

BKV Corp, public for less than two years, is an underfollowed natural-gas producer pursuing early-stage projects and a transition.

BKV $2.5B

Value Investors Club Jun 18 1 click

Talos Energy: Mature Offshore Assets Can Fund A Longer-Lived Business

Talos Energy is raising standalone production guidance without added capex while using offshore cash flow to fund Shell acquisition and…

TALO $2.7B

Capital Connoisseur Sep 15

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

SA 2026-08-20

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…

SA $3.3B

Redfern Research Aug 20

ZhongAn Online (6060.HK): The Insurtech Everyone Gave Up On

ZhongAn Online trades at 0.57 times book after five profitable underwriting years, with a 95.8% combined ratio and ZA Bank’s first…

ZZHGF $2.2B

Substack von Philipp Aug 15

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

Quick Value #326 - Shift4 Payments (FOUR)

Shift4 Payments trades at 6.9x EBITDA after a 50% five-year share decline, while leverage from acquisitions and slowing EPS growth weigh on…

FOUR $3.3B

Value Don't Lie Aug 11

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

Peloton: Subscriber Squeeze

Peloton’s improved balance sheet has not stopped weak subscription trends or sharp volatility, prompting purchases near $3.70, a later…

PTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Aug 10 1 click

WD #353: Colombia, Earnings (INTR, BRKR, TEAM)

Colombia’s Abelardo de la Espriella signals tax cuts and an Ecopetrol revival, while Inter & Co.

INTR $2.5B

Ian’s Insider Corner Aug 9

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Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Laughing Water Capital on X

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