Copart 4Q26 Business Update: Thesis Shift?
Copart’s 4Q26 revenue grew 2.4% as U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5%, while a customer loss and higher yard costs pressured profits despite international growth.
Wednesday, September 16, 2026
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catechwilliams on X
$YOU sales growth in light blue, Members in orange vs QTD web traffic. Dotted section is Q4 w consensus sales and member growth. https://t.co/NcihE7pbyD
catechwilliams on X
$YOU Clear supervisor at JFK said they’ve experienced “a surge in new sign-ups from pre-Thanksgiving through the Christmas travel period.” Similarweb web traffic to their site shows a large acceleration in visits as well suggesting a potentially large Q4 earnings beat.
catechwilliams on X
$OXM Very strong holiday selling season based on credit card data & other trackers for core Tommy Bahama and Lilly Pulitzer brands w very minimal promotion or discounts vs modest consensus growth expectations. Stock at 9x EPS, will be providing prelim numbers at ICR in 2 weeks.
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT Just announced a substantial new project win. Estimated to be $25M in revenue to Daktronics. Yankees, Dodgers, Cubs are among those exploring potential upgrades for next season, all of which are exisiting customers. https://t.co/dcn6TcQNr4
catechwilliams on X
$DCGO NYC Controller revokes Mayor Adams' authority to grant emergency order contracts (backdoor, no-bid). The order specifically focuses on DCGO's lucrative "asylum seeker services." NYC = 50% of DCGO revenue. https://t.co/7NUJ0i28Ry
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT Another strong result: sales grew 6%, $0.27 EPS (ex non-cash convert expense) brings LTM to nearly $1.40 or 8x EPS. Don't see a lot of growing, industry leaders w strong FCF profiles at that multiple. No banks cover it, that will change soon. CFO at 2 conferences this week.
catechwilliams on X
$DKNG Basically just said at the Craig Hallum Conference they are going to miss Q4 guidance. CEO: "literally had the worst stretch of the year, the last few weeks...sometimes that happens where you issue your guidance...So we'll see."
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT Perhaps the most attractive long I’ve seen in years. Dominant \position in a category growing >20%. Major business overhaul taking hold after years of underperformance. Stock trades at 7x EPS/ 13% FCF yield due to low awareness of these structural improvements (see below)..
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.6BSUSRF $254M
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $246BMCK $100B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 DR0 $454MALM $4B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 079940 $410MUNVGY $27B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1.1BVNP $1.9B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.3BLDNXF $52B
- Forager Funds Management July 2026 BVS $984M
Dassault Aviation: Rafale Upside Makes This A Strong Buy
Dassault Aviation reported 46% first-half sales growth and a €45.4 billion backlog, with Rafale F5 demand offsetting Falcon 10X delays and…
Dhierin Bechai 1 click
Adobe 3Q26 Update
Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth slowed to 9.3% excluding Semrush.
[scuttleslops] Amazon grocery, John Deere and AI, picks and pans in P&C Insurance, Copart earnings and the ACV acquisition
Amazon’s refrigerated same-day network has lifted monthly perishable customers roughly 50%, using grocery frequency to deepen loyalty and…
Cestrian Rating Actions - Week Ending 11 September 2026
Cestrian initiated Joby Aviation at Accumulate and upgraded Applied Materials and Broadcom to Accumulate for the week ended 11 September…
Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) - Q1 FY2027 Earnings: Record CDS Spreads, $88B Net Debt, And The OpenAI Question
Oracle’s $88.3 billion net debt and $90-95 billion capex plan pushed five-year CDS to 215 bps, despite 121% OCI growth and a $664 billion…
MKS Instruments: Penang Expansion Boosts WFE Outlook Despite Margin Pressure
MKS Instruments posted $1.25 billion in Q2 revenue and is expanding Penang capacity for a $200 billion to $250 billion wafer-fab-equipment…
The Straits Strategist 
Adobe 3Q26 Update: Nothing Broken, Nothing Explained
Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth was about 9.3% excluding Semrush.
Alarm.com: False Alarm?
Alarm.com, founded after CEO Steve Trundle’s bad home-security experience, has fallen from $105 in 2020 to about $55, testing whether…
CHPY: Anthropic's AI Slowdown Call Makes This 40% Yield ETF More Attractive
CHPY pairs a roughly 40% distribution rate with capped weekly upside for investors retaining semiconductor exposure amid Anthropic's AI…
Geneva Investor 1 click
Initiation Report
Zentek initiation report.
GTLB · long Gitlab INC
CVD Equipment Corporation (NASDAQ:CVV)
CVD Equipment is winding down manufacturing, cutting half its staff and weighing liquidation, with $23.5 million of cash and a…
Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1
Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.
Booking Holdings Deep Dive: An Attractive Setup
Booking Holdings trades at 19x earnings, its lowest since 2022, after a 20% annual decline, with the thesis resting on durable online…
Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026
Oak Bloke’s 2026 picks have returned 37% in GBP, with AltynGold, Geiger Counter, Silvercorp and China-focused trusts still rated buys…
Nintendo: The Software Payoff Is Still Ahead
Nintendo expects software, digital sales and character licensing to drive growth, with FY2027 revenue forecast at ¥2.05 trillion and…
LL Insights 
AI Terminator Fears Grow & Rates Breach 4.9% | The Weekly Wrap
Ten-year Treasury yields breach 4.9% as Steve Eisman discusses AI fears, OpenAI's price cut, Oracle's 30% revenue growth and Tesla's…
USA Compression: Unlocking Efficiency As It Heads To The Texas Stock Exchange
USA Compression targets nearly 30% full-year EBITDA growth as JW Power synergies, telemetry and maintenance reduce costs; its units yield…
Ron Ferrie 3 clicks
Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis
Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…
Chevron: $100 Oil Price Can Last Longer Than You Think
Chevron’s 2027 EPS could be underestimated by about $4.50 per share if U.S.-Iran conflict keeps oil near $100 rather than forecast $74 to…
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