TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)
TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com initiation.
TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com initiation.
I feel $GEO is a pretty decent short here. It's not cheap, and I might be politically biased, but I think it's hard to see Republicans getting many wins in the midterms, which the market will likely extrapolate to 2028.
$RUM is a perception <> reality trade… A right wing version of YouTube or a sleeper AI/HPC pivot? 🤷♂️ https://t.co/uBcXByq8OS
What I'm carrying into the next list: → Short arithmetic, not narratives → Overleveraged and Industry Bubble earn their slot → Potential Fraud has to clear a much higher bar → Stop re-shorting $RUM Full table and methodology at Shorts & Squeeze Corner.
The rest of the Sept '25 podium — a full year of holding: $EVTL +88% $SMR +77% $LVWR +76% $OKLO +73% $BTQ +73% $SOUN +69% $RGTI +67% 19 of the 20 names on that list fell. Nineteen.
Biggest miss was $RUM. $RUM was my worst pick on four of five lists. Average: -23%. $PLTR: -13% average across four lists. Right on the multiple, wrong on the stock, repeatedly. $CVNA: -4% average — and I had it tagged Potential Fraud.
$RUM was a great entry last week, $NUAI now is probably the only one I see
National Beverage $FIZZ fiscal 2026 annual report (out today): "...It is the willingness to confront uncertainty, again and again, that reveals character, creates opportunity and ultimately defines and endures".
Biohaven’s $795 million global opakalim licensing deal with SK Biopharmaceuticals boosts cash, lowers R&D spending and extends its funding…
Miami International Holdings, the No. 4 options exchange with 17% share, trades at 12x forward EBITDA despite 35% revenue growth, 54%…
Tutor Perini’s Q2 revenue rose 19% to $1.64 billion as higher-margin megaprojects lifted construction income 54%, prompting higher 2026 EPS…
Cal-Maine, the largest U.S. egg producer, trades at 1.6x book versus a 2.1x 20-year median, with net cash and investments equal to 23% of…
Planet Fitness runs 2,930 clubs and 21.5 million memberships through an asset-light franchise model funded by $15 monthly dues, royalties…
Sezzle fell 20% after Q2 despite a revenue and EPS beat and higher guidance, as marketing spending and seasonality drove a sequential…
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
ZhongAn Online trades at 0.57 times book after five profitable underwriting years, with a 95.8% combined ratio and ZA Bank’s first…
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
OSW · short OneSpaWorld Holdings, the dominant outsourced cruise-ship spa operator across more than 200 vessels, is the subject of a short thesis.
National Beverage’s rare share repurchase is framed as a buy signal, with 50% upside projected.
Monday.com combines work management, CRM, Dev and Service on a flexible core platform, with 90% gross margins and AI disruption risk…
Argentine banks, tariff-exposed stocks and Customer’s Bancorp anchor an earnings-season watchlist after Milei’s election victory,…
Pitney Bowes trades at an 18% FCF yield, with 25% operating margins, 30%-plus ROIC and plans to return free cash flow mostly through…
Alta Fox values NCR Atleos at $100 a share, citing ATM-as-a-Service growth, deleveraging and buybacks.
IMAX China, Hong Kong-listed 1970, is IMAX’s exclusive Greater China licensee, earning box-office-linked fees from premium large-format…
Envista, Danaher’s dental spin-off, is pitched as a de-risked long-term opportunity after U.S.
Upstart says longer repayment terms lifted Q1 debt-settlement acceptances 50%, but does not disclose delinquency changes or the number of…
Cinemark’s $200 million buyback anchors a review of theater cost structures, MCS and a completed Fairfax preferred-share special situation.
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