When Anyone Can Make a Movie, Netflix Still Wins
Netflix’s roughly $20 billion content budget can become an editorial advantage as generative AI cuts production costs and floods viewers with synthetic content.
Saturday, September 5, 2026
From X
David Orr on X
$GS should have ponied up the money. https://t.co/isJsSGuEzB
David Orr on X
Great companies are built by doing things differently, taking risks. $IBKR https://t.co/3sLFcI0ImD
Chris Camillo on X
@UncleAlpha007 FCL is a pretty useless valuation metric for a company deliberately reinvesting to fund explosive growth. And there’s a massive spread of outcomes on what $BE revenue even looks like in 2030.
SG on X
At one time my largest position was short $KOLD calls. Considering rebuilding this position. KOLD is the 2x natgas bear ETF. https://t.co/gEVYK0445e
Trevor Scott on X
@kashyap286 $GOOS?
SG on X
@rossiadam never thought of $TSLA FSD from the perspective of the elderly. Probably a great solution as FSD gets better but this has to be the worst demographic in terms of reaction time to grab the wheel if something goes wrong.
John_Hempton on X
@marketreformer @MetaGuyMarduk @busybrands I don't and never did have a position in $MMTLP.
Investor Letters
All letters- Crossroads Capital, LLC Q3 2026
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $503MALM $5.1B
- Alpinum Investment Management AG Q3 2026
- Macro Ops Q3 2026
- Myrmikan Capital, LLC Q3 2026
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $509B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $227B
- Fred Alger Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMZN $2.8TGOOGL $4.2T
The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does
Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…
Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders
Broadcom’s FY2028 revenue estimate rose from $162 billion to about $270 billion and EPS from $17.60 to $30, while the stock remained flat…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…
Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine
Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…
Simple Investment Ideas 4 clicks
[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA
Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…
Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows
CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.
Selling Where They Ain’t
Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.
Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started
Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…
The Curious Analyst 3 clicks
A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?
Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…
Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal
Chevron committed $7 billion to expand Venezuelan output as record U.S. production and elevated oil prices lifted Q2 earnings.
Bay Area Ideas 3 clicks
Too Big to Succeed
JPMorgan’s $5 trillion balance sheet and $63.7 trillion derivatives book make Jamie Dimon’s eventual successor one of banking’s hardest…
TSMC 2Q'26: Stratospheric Margins Amidst the AI Super Cycle
TSMC’s 2Q 2026 operating margin exceeded 60% as AI-driven demand for advanced chips pushed profitability beyond the prior cycle’s…
Would I have been the patsy at $QVCPQ? $QVCAQ
QVC’s confirmed bankruptcy plan lets operating-company creditors take holdco assets and wipes out preferreds that traded above $5 before…
ASML 2Q'26: Time to Flex Pricing Power
ASML’s 2Q’26 commentary signals a shift from measured pricing toward flexing its chip-equipment pricing power.
[scuttleslops] CDNS, SNPS, TREX, WISE, Class I Rails, China
Synopsys and Cadence retain EDA pricing power through entrenched design flows, foundry relationships and high switching costs; AI-driven…
Thoughts on PayPal Buyout Offer
PayPal faces a $60.50-per-share buyout offer from Stripe and Advent, with a rejection or counteroffer above $80 viewed as more likely.
Rebound Watchlist: July 2026
Rebound Capital's July 2026 watchlist puts AeroVironment and Coinbase under review after UnitedHealth rose more than 70% from its low.
Airbnb’s Cost of Market Creation and Regulatory Survival
Airbnb spent 1.1% of 2025 GBV on field operations and policy as regulatory costs persisted; New York’s short-term-rental crackdown cut…
$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity
CBIZ activist Ryan Bunn urges ending buybacks, issuing equity and resuming bolt-on acquisitions to delever after the $2.3 billion Marcum…
New Position: Volatility Merchant
A digital market-infrastructure platform dominant in rates and expanding in credit trades at 22 times free cash flow, with 45%+ FCF margins…
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