When Anyone Can Make a Movie, Netflix Still Wins
Netflix’s roughly $20 billion content budget can become an editorial advantage as generative AI cuts production costs and floods viewers with synthetic content.
Saturday, September 5, 2026
From X
David Orr on X
$GS should have ponied up the money. https://t.co/isJsSGuEzB
David Orr on X
Great companies are built by doing things differently, taking risks. $IBKR https://t.co/3sLFcI0ImD
Chris Camillo on X
@UncleAlpha007 FCL is a pretty useless valuation metric for a company deliberately reinvesting to fund explosive growth. And there’s a massive spread of outcomes on what $BE revenue even looks like in 2030.
SG on X
At one time my largest position was short $KOLD calls. Considering rebuilding this position. KOLD is the 2x natgas bear ETF. https://t.co/gEVYK0445e
Trevor Scott on X
@kashyap286 $GOOS?
SG on X
@rossiadam never thought of $TSLA FSD from the perspective of the elderly. Probably a great solution as FSD gets better but this has to be the worst demographic in terms of reaction time to grab the wheel if something goes wrong.
John_Hempton on X
@marketreformer @MetaGuyMarduk @busybrands I don't and never did have a position in $MMTLP.
Investor Letters
All letters- Crossroads Capital, LLC Q3 2026
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $503MALM $5.1B
- Alpinum Investment Management AG Q3 2026
- Macro Ops Q3 2026
- Myrmikan Capital, LLC Q3 2026
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $509B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $227B
- Fred Alger Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMZN $2.8TGOOGL $4.2T
The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does
Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…
Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders
Broadcom’s FY2028 revenue estimate rose from $162 billion to about $270 billion and EPS from $17.60 to $30, while the stock remained flat…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…
Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine
Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…
Simple Investment Ideas 4 clicks
[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA
Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…
Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows
CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.
Selling Where They Ain’t
Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.
Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started
Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…
The Curious Analyst 3 clicks
A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?
Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…
Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal
Chevron committed $7 billion to expand Venezuelan output as record U.S. production and elevated oil prices lifted Q2 earnings.
Bay Area Ideas 3 clicks
PayPal, Declined
Stripe and Advent’s reported $53 billion bid for PayPal follows a decade in which Stripe’s payment volume outgrew PayPal’s Braintree.
TSOH Weekly Roundup (07/24/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers the Paramount-Warner court block, Xbox Game Pass’s subscriber shortfall and pricing reset, and Red Bull’s 28%…
Tesla and SpaceX's Likely Merger, Portfolio Change
Tesla and SpaceX are increasingly integrated through Terafab, Optimus, Grok and Starlink, strengthening the case for a merger to pool…
Alphabet 2Q'26: Google Cloud is On Cloud Nine
Alphabet’s 2Q’26 revenue rose 24% to $119.8 billion as Google Cloud grew 82% and tripled operating income, while heavy investment drove…
Under the Hood - Tractor Supply ($TSCO)
Tractor Supply’s 2,602-store rural retail network supported 30+ years of growth.
Gatekeeper Systems ($GSI.V) FINS Review
Gatekeeper Systems’ revenue rebound is overshadowed by $19.3 million in nine-month operating cash burn, swelling inventory and overdue…
Smart Shooter (TASE: SMSH) — The Company That Teaches an Ordinary Rifle to Hit a Drone
Smart Shooter sells AI-enabled rifle sights that track drones and release shots only when likely to hit, trading near 55 times likely 2025…
Netflix: What's Coming Next
Netflix’s $16.2 billion operating income follows its DVD-to-streaming and global pivots, but short-form video, YouTube and FAST services…
Danaher 2Q'26: Yet Another "Meh" Quarter
Danaher posted 3.0% core revenue growth in 2Q’26, with LTM adjusted EBITA flat at $7.1 billion since 2Q’24 despite a mid-20s earnings…
[$UBER] Uber Technologies
Uber targets Nuro-powered robotaxis in the Bay Area by H2 2026 and NVIDIA-powered fleets across 28 cities by 2028, testing whether…
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