Saturday, September 5, 2026

When Anyone Can Make a Movie, Netflix Still Wins

Netflix’s roughly $20 billion content budget can become an editorial advantage as generative AI cuts production costs and floods viewers with synthetic content.

NFLX $511B

Bearhold Research Sep 5 16 clicks

Sep 5 META $1.6T

Bypassing RevenueBench to Buy the Feedback Loop

MBI Deep Dives 11 clicks

Sep 4 NVDA $5.3T

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman 22 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Nov 15 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW. Another red flag. CFO departing after just 2 years w CEO's old buddy as replacement. Massively over-earnings w volumes continuing to decline from lost customers and margins reverting lower.

@catechwilliams Nov 13 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

@StockJabber Thank you. As a read on $PLUS Q3 is tracking in October, $CSCO just reported -23% sales in networking (products account for ~50% of $PLUS revenue) for the Oct quarter-end. Further confirmation that PLUS Q3 is going to be ugly and no turnaround in sight.

@catechwilliams Nov 13 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$PLUS Accelerating, sales -14% y/y in Q2, noted Q3 not improving yet implied FY guide is for flat sales (downward revisions to come). Margins benefitted from 1-time financing segment gain-on-sale. Still trading at a premium to higher quality industry leader CDW, makes zero sense.

@catechwilliams Oct 9 6 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$AS 50x P/E levered retail roll-up w only one decent asset (Arc’teryx). Stagnating in the US, nearly fully-penetrated in China. >$500 jackets didn’t work for $GOOS in Asia. Arc already bigger. Hyper promotional mgmt sent the stock skyward. This is going to be an epic crash.

@catechwilliams Sep 23 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW In MRQ benefited from temp avocado price spike and 1-time F/X add-back. Volumes have been declining LDD for the last 3Qs ($CMG shifting suppliers). DOJ investigation continues. Prices & earnings reverting lower. Commodity distributor trading at 30x P/E is not sustainable.

@catechwilliams Sep 23

catechwilliams on X

$DAKT New $50M display upgrade award for the Miami Heat arena. Will be a nice boost to current quarter earnings (FQ2'25). https://t.co/sLAFBEerYi

@catechwilliams Aug 28

catechwilliams on X

$NX Just acquired peer Tyman. >3x leverage, never done a deal before, commodity business, customers all cutting numbers w deteriorating resi remodel activity ($AMWD yesterday, $MBC, $OC, $JELD). Stock is trading at close to 14x EPS. Seen this movie before. Earnings next week.

@catechwilliams Jul 31

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW RFG sale is delayed again (latest 10-Q stated will close end of July). This is the 3rd delay. Now unlikely to close at all. Will require a restatement of the last 2 quarters, revealing much lower earnings (likely negative EPS, negative FCF). https://t.co/lVsZZT37Cf

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…

RYN $6.1B

The Value Road Sep 4 38 clicks

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

Broadcom’s FY2028 revenue estimate rose from $162 billion to about $270 billion and EPS from $17.60 to $30, while the stock remained flat…

AVGO $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 4 20 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $7.5BCOST $404B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 10 clicks

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…

AVGO $1.8T

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 4 7 clicks

MOH · long

Molina Healthcare

Molina Healthcare faces unprecedented Medicaid managed-care cost inflation and margin compression after its shares declined since October…

MOH $10B

Value Investors Club Jun 6

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

VEEV $43BCRM $201B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 37 clicks

Intuit: The Recovery Is Only Beginning

Intuit targets 9.1% FY2027 revenue growth and 23% EPS growth after Q4 revenue rose 13.7%, supported by Global Business Solutions, Credit…

INTU $87B

Treading Softly Sep 3 8 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $99B

First Strike Research Sep 3 20 clicks

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $29BWMT $842B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 3 clicks

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…

NFLX $511B

The Curious Analyst Sep 3 3 clicks

ENS · short

Enersys

EnerSys faces a short thesis as data-center and warehouse vehicle customers shift from lead-acid batteries to lithium-ion.

ENS $6.5B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

CDNL · short

Cardinal Infrastru Group INC

Cardinal Infrastructure Group faces an IPO lockup expiration amid stretched valuation and reported metrics, with an Up-C structure…

CDNL $1.7B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

QTWO · long

Q2 Holdings INC (qtwo)

Q2 Holdings sells banking software to more than 1,200 financial institutions and 27.8 million registered users, after selling off with…

QTWO $3.7B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…

SMPL $954MBRBR $1.1B

The Value Road Sep 2 22 clicks

Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal

Chevron committed $7 billion to expand Venezuelan output as record U.S. production and elevated oil prices lifted Q2 earnings.

CVX $423B

Bay Area Ideas Sep 2 4 clicks

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Broadcom reported $29.6 billion Q3 revenue, up 86%, with AI semiconductor sales up 221% to $16.7 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $34.8…

AVGO $1.8T

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 2 3 clicks

Meta Vs. Meta's 7.1% Bond Yield: Reality Check For Asset Allocators

Meta Platforms’ 7.1% long bonds set a high return hurdle for equity as user growth nears saturation and the stock trades at 6.5 times sales.

META $1.6T

Tariq Dennison Sep 2 5 clicks

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…

DASH $87B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 16 clicks

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…

IREN $18B

Quantryon Capital Sep 2 10 clicks

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Genuine Parts Company is one of eight potential rebound stocks on RC’s September 2026 watchlist.

GPC $19B

Rebound Capital Sep 2 3 clicks

Saturday, September 5, 2026

When Anyone Can Make a Movie, Netflix Still Wins

Bypassing RevenueBench to Buy the Feedback Loop

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

From X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Investor Letters

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Molina Healthcare

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Intuit: The Recovery Is Only Beginning

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

Selling Where They Ain’t

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

Enersys

Cardinal Infrastru Group INC

Q2 Holdings INC (qtwo)

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Meta Vs. Meta's 7.1% Bond Yield: Reality Check For Asset Allocators

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Publications we follow

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 14 of 118

X accounts we follow

Sectors

Saturday, September 5, 2026

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 53

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 14 of 118

X accounts we follow

Sectors