Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap
OpenAI's potential failure could expose the US economy's growing dependence on AI capital spending, according to Steve Eisman.
Friday, September 4, 2026
Back to today 
From X
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW Problems intensifying, another promised deadline passes. The RFG sale announced in Dec w CEO Cole stating “it will close within a month.” April AGM, he declared “I’m 100% sure it will close in May, likely sooner!” This guy has zero credibility and is borderline pathological https://t.co/Hg7gVfxeEF
Voss Capital on X
Here is a link to our Q1 2024 letter. https://t.co/mVYPJrgCr1 $SWI $IMXI $ALTG $GENI $RTO $RCM $SLCA @jonrice80 @taylor_hndrson
Little Owl Research on X
@ragingbullcap @PropertyBigE $SEG could get very interesting. It'll be well capitalized and the approval of 250 Water St. definately doesn't hurt. I still need to see the S-1 filing and terms for the offering before making any major decisions but they've piqued my interest.
catechwilliams on X
Meanwhile disintermediation by OEMs going direct is accelerating. See recent commentary from partners $CSCO, $PANW $DELL, etc. $PLUS has zero discernable benefit from $NVDA and AI.
catechwilliams on X
Answer: aggressive revenue booking, financing sales, selling products at/ below cost to boost revenue and hoping to “then try to build it back up over time” per CEO. Contrast $PLUS performance w competitor and industry leader $CDW.
catechwilliams on X
$PLUS Numbers don’t add up. 50% sales $CSCO product (sales -13% MRQ, guided -11%). MRQ $PLUS sales +13% (reported yesterday). Earnings call question: “OEM Cisco have talked about bottlenecks, weak orders. You’ve been unscathed…how are you outperforming the market significantly?”
catechwilliams on X
$EXLS Highly innovative founder-CEO rapidly taking share w AI-based services. High-teens topline growth w expanding margins, higher value-add mix to attractive end-markets. 17x P/E yet to reflect business transformation. 100% FCF to buybacks. Winning customers from $ACN $DXC $WIT
Little Owl Research on X
8/ There is a lot more to talk about (24% sequential increase in new home sales, ward village condo sales etc.) but I am hungry. So to wrap up, if you're selling $HHH on this quarterly report you do not understand what you own and I will be buying your shares at tomorrow's open.
Investor Letters
All letters- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $497B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $258B
- Fred Alger Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMZN $2.7TGOOGL $4T
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4BSUSRF $272M
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.4BSAGI delisted
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.8B
- Forager Funds Management July 2026 4733 $3.9BSGE $12B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 4549 $480M8011 $228M
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…
Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine
Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…
Simple Investment Ideas 7 clicks
MOH · long Molina Healthcare
Molina Healthcare faces unprecedented Medicaid managed-care cost inflation and margin compression after its shares declined since October…
Summit Therapeutics: The High Stakes Of Translating China Clinical Data To The U.S.
Summit Therapeutics needs HARMONi-3 and Western-subgroup data to validate China-based ivonescimab results, while $690.7 million in Q2 cash…
Stephen Ayers 9 clicks
[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA
Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…
Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows
CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.
Selling Where They Ain’t
Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.
Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started
Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…
The Curious Analyst 4 clicks
ENS · short Enersys
EnerSys faces a short thesis as data-center and warehouse vehicle customers shift from lead-acid batteries to lithium-ion.
CDNL · short Cardinal Infrastru Group INC
Cardinal Infrastructure Group faces an IPO lockup expiration amid stretched valuation and reported metrics, with an Up-C structure…
QTWO · long Q2 Holdings INC (qtwo)
Q2 Holdings sells banking software to more than 1,200 financial institutions and 27.8 million registered users, after selling off with…
OKLO · short Oklo INC
Oklo is framed as a portfolio basket short and a concept company that could become a compounding short.
LULU · long Lululemon Athletica INC
Lululemon Athletica, a high-end women’s sportswear retailer, is presented as a long investment.
A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?
Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…
Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal
Chevron committed $7 billion to expand Venezuelan output as record U.S. production and elevated oil prices lifted Q2 earnings.
Bay Area Ideas 6 clicks
AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.
Broadcom reported $29.6 billion Q3 revenue, up 86%, with AI semiconductor sales up 221% to $16.7 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $34.8…
Meta Vs. Meta's 7.1% Bond Yield: Reality Check For Asset Allocators
Meta Platforms’ 7.1% long bonds set a high return hurdle for equity as user growth nears saturation and the stock trades at 6.5 times sales.
Tariq Dennison 6 clicks
Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future
DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…
IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build
IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…
Quantryon Capital 11 clicks
Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26
Genuine Parts Company is one of eight potential rebound stocks on RC’s September 2026 watchlist.
Publications we follow
Every publication on this site, hand-picked.
Newsletters 54
- 310 Value’s Newsletter
- Altay Capital - Mostly Value Investing
- Aurelion Research
- Base Hit Investing
- Bearhold Research
- Bristlemoon Capital
- Byron Street Research
- Capital Employed
- Capitalist Letters
- Citrini Research
- Cluseau Research
- Deep Value Insights
- Exploring with Alluvial Capital
- First Strike Research
- Guardian Research
- Hated Moats
- Healthy Stock Picks
- Hidden Gems Investing
- Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter
- Ian’s Insider Corner
- John Hempton's Newsletter
- Kairos Research
- Lewistown Capital
- Maius Partners
- MBI Deep Dives
- Modern Value Investing
- Multibagger Monitor
- Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter
- Net Interest
- Nugget Capital Partner's Substack
- Open Insights
- Raging Bull Investments
- Rebound Capital
- Rod’s Ruminations
- scuttleblurb
- Singularity Research
- SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets
- smallvalue.
- Speedwell Memos
- Stock Thoughts
- Substack von Philipp
- Sunday's Idea Brunch
- Sylence Capital
- The Curious Compounder
- The Mikro Kap
- The Oak Bloke
- The Value Road
- Treasure Hunting
- Triple S Special Situations Investing
- TSOH Investment Research
- Underlying Value
- Value Don't Lie
- XIX Value
- Yet Another Value Blog
Blogs 11
X accounts we follow
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
⚽️📡
A Capital
AltayCap
Bank Reg Blog
BDC
Bill Ackman
Broken Moats
BuccoCapital Bloke
catechwilliams
Charles Frischer
Chris Camillo
Clark Square Capital
Cluseau Investments
Connor Haley
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
Ian Bezek
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maj Soueidan
marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
Mikro Kap David
Multiples Capital
Myles
Nat Stewart
Negligible Capital
Odd Lot Arbitrageur
PAA Research
Pernas Research
Porter Collins
Prepared Remarks
Psyop Capital
Raging Capital Ventures
RiverRoadPartners
Rusholme Capital
Sahil Khetpal
SG
Tim Eriksen
Timyan Bank Alert
ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
