Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

OpenAI's potential failure could expose the US economy's growing dependence on AI capital spending, according to Steve Eisman.

NVDA $5.5TMETA $1.6T

Steve Eisman Sep 4 15 clicks

Sep 4 RYN $6B

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

The Value Road 33 clicks

Sep 4 AVGO $1.7T

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

MBI Deep Dives 15 clicks

From X

@ChrisCamillo Sep 4 2 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

@topazbenj he saw a video. if u been following me u know id love nothing more than to go all in on $TSLA with real optimus intel. believe me im on it

@TidefallCapital Sep 4 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

$TAP A quarter century and zero capital gain. Now being kicked out of the S&P https://t.co/RM49KQJm36

@TheBenSchmark Sep 4 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

The bottleneck play on this is $COMP? 🧭 https://t.co/1ClFMI3z4d

@ChrisCamillo Sep 4

Chris Camillo on X

hell of a week to own the future. $BE https://t.co/Un6jGv7rrR

@ActAccordingly Sep 4

PAA Research on X

Fantastic work by all of those involved in the $FICO short. The (-60%+) decline from the peak feels right in a lot of ways. The chart is as good as you'll get for a short seller. However, like every other great short idea, bears endured THREE contra-trend rallies of 30-40% on the march to a (-60%+) decline over the past 18-months. That is typical and one of the reasons why shorting is so difficult.

@ChrisCamillo Sep 4

Chris Camillo on X

@gregerativeai If referring to the 1-day $10M-ish payout options trade that’s in the rear view but still very long $AMZN

@leevalueroach Sep 4 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

This man is probably an activist investor in $RYN trying to create his own catalyst by removing timber supply from the market. Heard he has an MBA from Wharton too and his wife hates him. https://t.co/sAp2HUFNaO

@ACapitalLP Sep 4

A Capital on X

6/10 was the $AMZN LTL announcement… https://t.co/vwjXQlPywX

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $8BCOST $410B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 6 clicks

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…

AVGO $1.7T

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 4 4 clicks

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

VEEV $46BCRM $214B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 33 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $101B

First Strike Research Sep 3 16 clicks

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $29BWMT $845B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 3 clicks

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…

NFLX $511B

The Curious Analyst Sep 3 3 clicks

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Broadcom reported $29.6 billion Q3 revenue, up 86%, with AI semiconductor sales up 221% to $16.7 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $34.8…

AVGO $1.7T

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 2 3 clicks

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…

DASH $96B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 16 clicks

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…

IREN $18B

Quantryon Capital Sep 2 10 clicks

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Genuine Parts Company is one of eight potential rebound stocks on RC’s September 2026 watchlist.

GPC $19B

Rebound Capital Sep 2 3 clicks

YOU · short

Clear Secure INC

Clear Secure's Clear Plus subscription business is nearing maturity despite recent bookings strength, supporting a short thesis on YOU.

YOU $6B

Value Investors Club Jun 3 1 click

Capitulation in packaged food consumer staples?

Conagra’s CEO change and 9% yield intensified a packaged-food selloff, while General Mills trades near historical valuation lows despite…

GIS $21BCAG $7.8B

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Apr 13

First Takes on GFL's Acquisition of Secure

GFL Environmental is buying Secure Waste at 11x 2026E EBITDA before synergies, adding high-margin produced-water and waste assets with $25…

GFL $16B

310 Value’s Newsletter Apr 13 1 click

Under The Hood, Novo Nordisk A/S ($NVO)

Novo Nordisk’s GLP-1 franchise transformed obesity treatment, while its valuation framework prices in 17 years of discounted cash flows.

NVO $206B

Bearhold Research Apr 13 2 clicks

The Consultant’s Dilemma: What AI Actually Does to Accenture ($ACN)

Accenture’s $5.9 billion in FY2025 genAI bookings supports implementation demand, while AI’s automation of junior work threatens the…

ACN $118B

Bearhold Research Apr 12 5 clicks

Under The Hood, ResMed ($RMD)

ResMed’s 30 million connected sleep-apnea patients, recurring masks and software support a data-driven healthcare platform; 11.9% annual…

RMD $33B

Bearhold Research Apr 8 1 click

AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics

AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.

AXTI $3.7B

Maius Partners Apr 2 8 clicks

It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)

First Strike Research’s ML and social-sentiment system correctly called 14 of 16 Nike Q3 Kalshi contracts, reporting 208¢ net P&L.

NKE $57BCRWD $218B

First Strike Research Apr 1

Nike Earnings Mentions Contracts: Our Analysis, and Fair Value Pricing Model.

First Strike prices Nike’s Q3 “Express Lane” mention at 20-25¢ versus Kalshi’s 66¢, citing the retired Mark Parker-era supply-chain program…

NKE $57B

First Strike Research Mar 29

Water and Power: The Dual Engines Driving LandBridge’s Explosive Growth

LandBridge outlined $300 million in pore-space free cash flow within five years; its Permian data-center project remains proof of concept.

LB $6.6B

310 Value’s Newsletter Mar 26 3 clicks

Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

From X

Chris Camillo on X

Trevor Scott on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Chris Camillo on X

PAA Research on X

Chris Camillo on X

Lee Roach on X

A Capital on X

Investor Letters

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

Selling Where They Ain’t

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Clear Secure INC

Capitulation in packaged food consumer staples?

First Takes on GFL's Acquisition of Secure

Under The Hood, Novo Nordisk A/S ($NVO)

The Consultant’s Dilemma: What AI Actually Does to Accenture ($ACN)

Under The Hood, ResMed ($RMD)

AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics

It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)

Nike Earnings Mentions Contracts: Our Analysis, and Fair Value Pricing Model.

Water and Power: The Dual Engines Driving LandBridge’s Explosive Growth

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Sectors

Friday, September 4, 2026

Chris Camillo on X

Trevor Scott on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Chris Camillo on X

PAA Research on X

Chris Camillo on X

Lee Roach on X

A Capital on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 53

YouTube 4

Blogs 11

Seeking Alpha 12 of 102

X accounts we follow

Sectors