Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

OpenAI's potential failure could expose the US economy's growing dependence on AI capital spending, according to Steve Eisman.

NVDA $5.5TMETA $1.6T

Steve Eisman Sep 4 15 clicks

Sep 4 RYN $6B

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

The Value Road 31 clicks

Sep 4 AVGO $1.7T

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

MBI Deep Dives 14 clicks

From X

@ChrisCamillo Sep 4 2 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

@topazbenj he saw a video. if u been following me u know id love nothing more than to go all in on $TSLA with real optimus intel. believe me im on it

@TidefallCapital Sep 4 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

$TAP A quarter century and zero capital gain. Now being kicked out of the S&P https://t.co/RM49KQJm36

@TheBenSchmark Sep 4 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

The bottleneck play on this is $COMP? 🧭 https://t.co/1ClFMI3z4d

@ChrisCamillo Sep 4

Chris Camillo on X

hell of a week to own the future. $BE https://t.co/Un6jGv7rrR

@ActAccordingly Sep 4

PAA Research on X

Fantastic work by all of those involved in the $FICO short. The (-60%+) decline from the peak feels right in a lot of ways. The chart is as good as you'll get for a short seller. However, like every other great short idea, bears endured THREE contra-trend rallies of 30-40% on the march to a (-60%+) decline over the past 18-months. That is typical and one of the reasons why shorting is so difficult.

@ChrisCamillo Sep 4

Chris Camillo on X

@gregerativeai If referring to the 1-day $10M-ish payout options trade that’s in the rear view but still very long $AMZN

@leevalueroach Sep 4 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

This man is probably an activist investor in $RYN trying to create his own catalyst by removing timber supply from the market. Heard he has an MBA from Wharton too and his wife hates him. https://t.co/sAp2HUFNaO

@ACapitalLP Sep 4

A Capital on X

6/10 was the $AMZN LTL announcement… https://t.co/vwjXQlPywX

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $8BCOST $410B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 6 clicks

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…

AVGO $1.7T

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 4 4 clicks

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

VEEV $46BCRM $214B

scuttleblurb Sep 3 33 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $101B

First Strike Research Sep 3 16 clicks

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $29BWMT $845B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 3 clicks

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…

NFLX $511B

The Curious Analyst Sep 3 3 clicks

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Broadcom reported $29.6 billion Q3 revenue, up 86%, with AI semiconductor sales up 221% to $16.7 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $34.8…

AVGO $1.7T

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 2 3 clicks

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…

DASH $96B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 16 clicks

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…

IREN $18B

Quantryon Capital Sep 2 9 clicks

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

Genuine Parts Company is one of eight potential rebound stocks on RC’s September 2026 watchlist.

GPC $19B

Rebound Capital Sep 2 3 clicks

MercadoLibre: Valuation Model

MercadoLibre’s sum-of-the-parts model values commerce and payments on FCFF, credit on equity returns, producing a $1,980 base-case target…

MELI $101B

Hated Moats Jul 10

Meta On the Offense!

Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 targets agentic enterprise work, backed by employee workflow data and 3,000 engineers building reinforcement-learning…

META $1.6T

MBI Deep Dives Jul 10 1 click

U-Haul Bought at the Top

U-Haul’s pandemic-era fleet purchases at inflated prices now drive higher depreciation and disposal losses as truck and van prices…

UHAL $13B

scuttleblurb Jul 10 2 clicks

[scuttlebits] CPRT, ADBE, FIG, NVDA, QCOM, FDS, Memory chips

Copart’s returning CEO Jay Adair plans to restart European expansion and build domestic whole-car sales on its global buyer network amid…

CPRT $31B

scuttleblurb Jul 9 4 clicks

Deep Dive: Palantir ($PLTR)

Palantir’s forward-deployed engineering model underpins its AI software growth, but AWS, Microsoft and AI labs are copying it at scale as…

PLTR $434B

Rebound Capital Jul 7

Hated Moats Brief: SAP in 10 Minutes

SAP’s deeply embedded ERP systems support its cloud transition, but slowing backlog growth and AI disruption fears drove a 33% YTD share…

SAP $245B

Hated Moats Jul 7 1 click

Quick Value #321 - Mobility Global (MBGL)

Mobility Global, S&P Global’s automotive-data spin-off, trades at about 10x 2026 EBITDA and 12x EPS after technical selling.

MBGL $6.1B

Value Don't Lie Jul 6

Blackstone's Subs - Inside the Jersey Mike's IPO.

Jersey Mike’s IPO filing shows 47% adjusted EBITDA margin after Blackstone cut founder spending, ad subsidies and Area Director fees, while…

JMKE $6.4BBX $103B

First Strike Research Jul 5 2 clicks

Microsoft: Undervalued & Undisruptable!

Microsoft is framed as an undervalued, durable business whose competitive position is unlikely to be disrupted.

MSFT $3.8T

Capitalist Letters Jul 5 1 click

SAP: Deep Dive Analysis

SAP’s deeply embedded ERP suite creates high switching costs as it moves customers to cloud subscriptions and embeds AI in core workflows.

SAP $245B

Hated Moats Jul 3

Friday, September 4, 2026

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

From X

Chris Camillo on X

Trevor Scott on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Chris Camillo on X

PAA Research on X

Chris Camillo on X

Lee Roach on X

A Capital on X

Investor Letters

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

Selling Where They Ain’t

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

Top 8 Rebound Stocks for Sep’26

MercadoLibre: Valuation Model

Meta On the Offense!

U-Haul Bought at the Top

[scuttlebits] CPRT, ADBE, FIG, NVDA, QCOM, FDS, Memory chips

Deep Dive: Palantir ($PLTR)

Hated Moats Brief: SAP in 10 Minutes

Quick Value #321 - Mobility Global (MBGL)

Blackstone's Subs - Inside the Jersey Mike's IPO.

Microsoft: Undervalued & Undisruptable!

SAP: Deep Dive Analysis

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