Friday, September 4, 2026

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.

SMPL $896MBRBR $1.1B

The Value Road Sep 2 11 clicks

Sep 1 EVC $727M

EVC Update

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter 15 clicks

Sep 1 LMB $623M

$LMB: Limbach missed the data center boom. Is that the opportunity? | 1 Main Capital

Yet Another Value Podcast 9 clicks

From X

@John_Hempton Aug 27

John_Hempton on X

@AMCOracle I get it. Apes think I am stupid. Buy more $AMC. It is good to trade against stupid people.

@finphysnerd Aug 27

Myles on X

$IGV up 7% today. My short book (which as of the last couple weeks has become reasonably software heavy) is in painnnn. Hate that these things all just trade as a basket now.

@TidefallCapital Aug 27

Trevor Scott on X

$IGV +7% $CSU.to $TOI.v $LMN.V +1% TSX operates on a delay

@negligible_cap Aug 27

Negligible Capital on X

Not only are $IGV and $SOXX both green today, but $IGV just flipped positive YTD, led higher by $CRM up 20%, and cybersecurity names ripping after $CRWD and $OKTA Software and Semis are friends again https://t.co/pYgkP9Rtsw

@KEDM_COM Aug 27

KEDM.com on X

Versant $VSNT, a recent Comcast spin now seems to have found its way up. Weak price action though since the spin on classic spin dynamics, a ‘melting ice-cube’ narrative, and (we think) mainly index selling (it isn’t in the S&P500). A reminder that Versant owns CNBC and some other networks. With a $5.3bn market cap, roughly $2bn net debt, and $1.0-1.5bn free cash flow generation per year, the ‘bet’ here is that you will get your money back in 5-6 years. Imagine if FCF stabilizes. And Versant seems confident, launching a $1bn share buyback, almost 20% of the current market cap.

@TheBenSchmark Aug 26 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

How many times will Peltz rug $WEN with totally not-fake bids? https://t.co/7YmTsnbaZy

@KEDM_COM Aug 26

KEDM.com on X

GungHo Online Entertainment $3765.JP has spent more than a decade living off Puzzle & Dragons, drifting into irrelevance. This could be over, and we might finally see some value unlock. Strategic Capital mounted a year-long activist campaign, forcing the company’s long-time boss out. So now we have a new CEO (with a big pay cut compared to the previous chief) and a TSR-linked incentive plan. But this is not the most interesting part. GungHo holds a stake in Gravity $GRVY (~59%). Worth more than GungHo’s entire enterprise value. Gravity itself is interesting, btw: profitable and with a net cash position equal to its market cap. Now let’s see if Strategic can get this thing over the finish line.

@DeepSailCapital Aug 26

Deep Sail Capital on X

RUM Group ($RUM) formerly Rumble - More dilution chasing that dragon https://t.co/TBLsCx23T6 https://t.co/AwdyTpN79I

Investor Letters

All letters

Six Flags And United Parks: Two Different Answers To The Same Demand Problem

Six Flags’ attendance rose 4% while comparable crowd intensity was nearly flat, and both it and United Parks grew deferred revenue about 2%…

FUN $1.2BPRKS $1.6B

Sanjay Swamy Sep 1 1 click

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…

WAY $4.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 31 5 clicks

Ultragenyx ($RARE): A Catalyst-Driven Thesis With Asymmetric Upside

Ultragenyx targets $730-760 million of 2026 revenue after GENGLYCOS approval, with UX111’s FDA decision and GTX-102 Phase 3 data due in…

RARE $1.4B

Hated Moats Aug 30

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

UWMC $2BCCOI $476M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…

VRRM $536M

The Oak Bloke Aug 27 6 clicks

Miami International Holdings (MIAX)

Miami International Holdings, the No. 4 options exchange with 17% share, trades at 12x forward EBITDA despite 35% revenue growth, 54%…

MIAX $3.8B

Sylence Capital Aug 27 1 click

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.

PRGS $1.9B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 27 3 clicks

TPC 2026-08-27

Tutor Perini: Q2 2026 Made My Strong Buy Case Stronger

Tutor Perini’s Q2 revenue rose 19% to $1.64 billion as higher-margin megaprojects lifted construction income 54%, prompting higher 2026 EPS…

TPC $4.5B

The Curious Analyst Aug 27

Quick Value #328 - Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)

Cal-Maine, the largest U.S. egg producer, trades at 1.6x book versus a 2.1x 20-year median, with net cash and investments equal to 23% of…

CALM $3.4B

Value Don't Lie Aug 25

STNE 2026-08-25

StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now

StoneCo's buybacks and special dividend produced roughly 39% H1 shareholder yield as Brazil's rate cuts slow and competition persists.

STNE $2.2B

IWA Research Aug 25 3 clicks

CDNL · short

Cardinal Infrastru Group INC

Cardinal Infrastructure Group faces an IPO lockup expiration amid stretched valuation and reported metrics, with an Up-C structure…

CDNL $1.4B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

US-Canada Tariffs: Finding Investment Opportunities

US-Canada tariffs impose 50% duties on $20 billion of Canadian goods, lifting US steel makers while pressuring Canadian exporters and…

ASTL $451M

Aurelion Research Aug 24

NRIX 2026-08-24

Nurix Therapeutics: Roche Has Changed The Economics Of The Bull Case

Nurix Therapeutics gained $700 million upfront from Roche, a 50% U.S. profit share and Roche-funded global bexobrutideg development,…

NRIX $2.7B

Equity Eagle Aug 24 3 clicks

Planet Fitness: The $10 Gym That Grew Into a Franchise Machine

Planet Fitness runs 2,930 clubs and 21.5 million memberships through an asset-light franchise model funded by $15 monthly dues, royalties…

PLNT $3.8B

Open Insights Aug 23

SEZL 2026-08-23

Sezzle: The Numbers Don't Support The Selloff

Sezzle fell 20% after Q2 despite a revenue and EPS beat and higher guidance, as marketing spending and seasonality drove a sequential…

SEZL $3.9B

Daniel James Aug 23 3 clicks

WD #355: AUNA/CAAP Earnings, Brazil, USMCA Trade Situation

CAAP reported decent second-quarter earnings and its first dividend, while Brazil rose on an election poll and USMCA trade developments…

AUNA $381M

Ian’s Insider Corner Aug 22

Guest Post: Eton Pharmaceuticals (ETON)

Eton Pharmaceuticals licensed rare-disease medicines, raised revenue guidance twice and climbed more than fourfold from its February 2026…

ETON $1.6B

Rebound Capital Aug 22

OPLN 2026-08-22

Private Equity Exit Offers Opportunity At Openlane

OPENLANE trades near $34 after Apax Partners’ exit, with a $25 million buyback and FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $385–$400…

OPLN $4.2B

Mike Arnold Aug 22 1 click

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 12 clicks

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

Friday, September 4, 2026

John_Hempton on X

Myles on X

Trevor Scott on X

Negligible Capital on X

KEDM.com on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

KEDM.com on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

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