A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?
Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.
Friday, September 4, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Lee Roach on X
The egg market is getting killed and I am tempted to play this cycle bottom. Anyone up to speed on $VITL? This thing is looking so beaten down. https://t.co/wUgfMUorWW
Tim Eriksen on X
Anyone get the dividend from Gravity $GRVY yet? I expected a bit of a delay.
Ian Bezek on X
It's Tecnoglass time $tgls. https://t.co/5gjN6emyo1
SG on X
Has anyone done work on the prediction market ecosystem? Want to explore beyond the leaders to shit-tier plays like $GEMI and $ROLR.
JabroniCoin.USD on X
UBS: We believe $CENX offers the best leverage to a US Regional Premium that is sustainably higher. CENX currently trades at ~3.1x UBSe 2027 EBITDA estimates (below ~5x normalized 5yr average). We expect CENX to rerate towards our ~4x peak multiple driven by clarity… https://t.co/93RbEN5Ex7
A Capital on X
@DreamPositiveCp @grok what is the binary event for $NN?
Fierce_beast on X
@FishtownCap Could $UNFI and $CHEF merge or too much overlap already
A Capital on X
@everyonehatesp1 Idk but the lack of insight on coal names yesterday cost me this trade. Do better. $METC
Investor Letters
All letters
Six Flags And United Parks: Two Different Answers To The Same Demand Problem
Six Flags’ attendance rose 4% while comparable crowd intensity was nearly flat, and both it and United Parks grew deferred revenue about 2%…
Sanjay Swamy 1 click
[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice
Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…
Ultragenyx ($RARE): A Catalyst-Driven Thesis With Asymmetric Upside
Ultragenyx targets $730-760 million of 2026 revenue after GENGLYCOS approval, with UX111’s FDA decision and GTX-102 Phase 3 data due in…
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
Miami International Holdings (MIAX)
Miami International Holdings, the No. 4 options exchange with 17% share, trades at 12x forward EBITDA despite 35% revenue growth, 54%…
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
TPC 2026-08-27 Tutor Perini: Q2 2026 Made My Strong Buy Case Stronger
Tutor Perini’s Q2 revenue rose 19% to $1.64 billion as higher-margin megaprojects lifted construction income 54%, prompting higher 2026 EPS…
The Curious Analyst 
Quick Value #328 - Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)
Cal-Maine, the largest U.S. egg producer, trades at 1.6x book versus a 2.1x 20-year median, with net cash and investments equal to 23% of…
STNE 2026-08-25 StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now
StoneCo's buybacks and special dividend produced roughly 39% H1 shareholder yield as Brazil's rate cuts slow and competition persists.
IWA Research 3 clicks
NCNO · long Ncino INC
NCino is a commercial-lending system of record for banks and credit unions, trading at roughly 3x enterprise value to sales.
$VEON: a busted EM telecom hiding a 4x? | Samit Umatiya, UIG Funds
VEON’s 84% Kyivstar stake and JazzCash underpin a sum-of-the-parts case for 4x upside, despite its sanctioned shareholder, capital…
Quick Value #320 - Somnigroup (SGI)
Somnigroup’s $2.5 billion all-stock Leggett & Platt acquisition adds vertical integration as the bedding leader targets mid-single-digit…
Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)
Wingstop generates most of its $697 million revenue from franchise royalties across a 3,153-restaurant, 98%-franchised system while…
Tidewater (TDW): a first-pass look
Tidewater’s $22,600 average day rate and $598 million FY2025 EBITDA rest on an aging OSV fleet, scant newbuilds and fleet acquisitions…
The Biggest Bull Signal On Entravision
Entravision’s lost Meta relationship reset its business model, setting up a bullish case for the company’s recovery.
Deep Dive: XPEL
XPEL sells paint-protection film and DAP cutting software, using 90,000-plus vehicle templates to win share from 3M and Eastman.
Note on Fiserv CEO Change & Huntsman/Olin Merger
Fiserv fell nearly 10% after CEO Mike Lyons left for Truist, while Olin's stock-funded 0.5476-share offer values Huntsman below its prior…
The Arithmetic: How a $9 Spanish-Language Broadcaster Becomes a $100 AdTech Stock
Entravision’s path from a $9 Spanish-language broadcaster to a $100 adtech stock rests on an adtech-driven valuation model.
AnaptysBio (ANAB)
AnaptysBio’s Jemperli royalty receipts rise after a Sagard financing obligation ends in 2027.
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