A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?
Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the category has reached a cyclical bottom.
Thursday, September 3, 2026
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Laughing Water Capital on X
Interesting framing for $NN. $95 is pretty far above my upside case, but agree the $T / FirstNet arrangement is interesting context, despite some obvious differences. https://t.co/b3FsHVkivk
Laughing Water Capital on X
@FishOnCapital IMHO best to view this in context of the pod w/ the banker from the 600 MHz. To paraphrase, all of the likely buyers wanted the 600, but AT&T won b/c they were able to move fastest. I suspect $VZ, $TMUS & others will be ready to move fast for $NN's 900. https://t.co/5gRpmej4Bk
catechwilliams on X
$PTRN Recent IPO. $AMZN Mktplace wholesaler. Buys products up front, capital intensive, bears price, inventory risk. Exposed to FBA cost & AMZN algo changes. Claims AI optimization which AMZN explicitly blocks. Razor thin margins, neg op leverage. All peers went BK in last 3yrs.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@yummyCenturyEgg 3/x) $NN argues for coexistence b/c it WORKS. They have also shown that much of part 15 is already in the 11 Mhz NN doesnt want. and most of part 15 will be end of life b4 radios get hung, so no need to pay to move them. it is possible the RFID makers get some $, but not much
Laughing Water Capital on X
@yummyCenturyEgg 1/x) 1st you AGAIN didnt respond to any of my points. nevertheless, i will respond to your points. 1) $NN has operating a M-LMS network in SF for 10+ yrs w/ 0 part 15 interference, & they want to LOWER emissions for 5G. It is factually incorrect to say MLMS is weaker than NN 5G
Laughing Water Capital on X
@yummyCenturyEgg to be specific as I already said, tolls already primarily operate in the 11 mhz $NN doesn't want. NN will pay "tens of millions" for a software retune to move the toll readers not already in the 11 mhz to the 11 mhz.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@yummyCenturyEgg the "studies" that the opposition have submitted are full of false assumptions and bad data, as demonstrated by $NN. Why would objectors willingly submit bad studies? logical explanation is b/c proper studies show no interference.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@yummyCenturyEgg @MGardnerDA1235 @dylan55917 8/x) add this to the list of common sense and technical arguments that demonstrate how the 900 band is not messy. Assume the $NN bears will ignore this, as they ignored the above points. https://t.co/wqpbmn33X7
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4B
- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 082920 $946MVVVNF $1.7B
- Protean Funds July 2026 STOR-B $1.7BTRUE-B $615M
- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 BLBD $1.9BMMS $2.9B
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 DGXX $415MDIG $493M
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- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 MIPS $1B
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