Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future
DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to scaling GOV 4 to 5 times.
DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to scaling GOV 4 to 5 times.
How ironic is it that $DAVE, a multi-billion fintech, relies on tips from its payday borrowers for its revenue. Capitalism at its finest!
$RDDT I don't make bold predictions. I'm a conservative doctor but it will likely be the next $META or $GOOG. Look at those companies 8-10 years ago. Very similar fact pattern. Now $RDDT is dominating search w highly valuable AI. +78% rev on tough comp and just getting started.
(Late) Q2'25 Update New: $META, $STN.TO, $FTT.TO, $CVG.TO, $GDI.TO, $VCI.V, $IOT.V Sold: $KNSL, $CJT.TO, $RPI.UN, $MRD.TO, $HMM.A, $FORA.TO, $THNC.TO, $BRM.V Q2: 6.6% vs 10.6% for SPX ITD (Jan '21): +165% vs +68% Fairly happy with how the portfolio is positioned 👇 https://t.co/FPQbbegoEQ
$INGM Massive cyber & ransomware attack. All systems over the weekend. Still can’t fulfill orders after 4 days. Customers moving to competitors (as reported on Reddit). Likely permanent damage & customer losses. Ransomware payment due. Compounded by a major IT upgrade now needed. https://t.co/kQFbwFvcLA
$PRIM $500M new project broke ground. Not deep on the name but this is a pretty massive program for $PRIM and does not appear anyone noticed. "430-megawatt development from Arevon Energy, an offshoot of utility and energy contractor Primoris Services Corp" https://t.co/1egNflZ1X8
$PLUS Accelerating decline: Networking -37% (largest category), Product sales -18%, zero margin/ low quality Professional services now 15% of sales. Cut FY2026 top and bottom-line guide by 7% w further cuts almost certain to come. Trading at 14x 2026 guidance vs peers at 6-8x.
$ACA Levered roll-up (4x levered) hodgepodge of low-quality cap intensive commodity businesses w struggling end-markets (sub-scale aggregates, building products, ag). Negative organic growth w unrealistic guidance. Forced to sell an asset to avoid covenant breach. 30x P/E
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