Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future
DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to scaling GOV 4 to 5 times.
Wednesday, September 2, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Laughing Water Capital on X
$NN https://t.co/WSPZtvXkj1
Laughing Water Capital on X
Terrestrial backup to GPS is essential. $NN https://t.co/sCRxCPCldm
Connor Haley on X
@AndrewTakes @taobanker @CGSCapital @Compounding_K @AKWilk 1: NATL ATMs predicted to be more stable/improving than declining. We address this extensively in our report. 2: absolutely when business is growing rapidly on a per share basis. Look at $DBD which trades at a big premium despite growing slower.
Laughing Water Capital on X
In case you had any doubts on the case for terrestrial GPS. $NN https://t.co/js8mXHYTA6
Laughing Water Capital on X
@JonoJohnson8 @cfrischer1 Carr also references Cruz who first sponsored legislation calling for a terrestrial backup to GPS in 2017. As head of the Senate Commerce Committee, Cruz is effectively Carr’s boss. All tea leaves, but hard to think they’re not bullish $NN
Laughing Water Capital on X
@JonoJohnson8 @cfrischer1 Interesting to note that Carr 1st comments on increasing accuracy, and then calls GPS a “related issue”. He clearly makes a distinction between the 2 ideas. Maybe splitting hairs, but there is only 1 company that addresses both points: $NN.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@UnHedgedChatter @InvestSpecial @Wexboy_Value $AS, owner of Arc'teryx & 9 other brands trades at more than 3x sales. $CLAR, which would fit perfectly into AS's portfolio trades at less than 0.5x sales and is exploring strategic alts. 🤷♂️
Laughing Water Capital on X
@mil01425146 @yummyCenturyEgg @JBonfato @23Titan31 Happy to talk about $NN, Part 15, antenna science, radar science, tolling, etc., but I prefer to not be tagged on anything having to do with baked goods and personal proclivities. TYIA.
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds July 2026 EVGGF $16B
- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 MMS $2.9BSANM $12B
- Protean Funds June 2026 IDDWF $9.3BSKSBF $12B
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ZEG $5.2BGTX $4.8B
- Hayden Capital Q2 2026 MELI $92BSE $63B
- Polaris Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ENI $81BIX $42B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 032830 $42BIMO $60B
- Oakmark Funds 2Q 2026 006400 $31BIKTSF $12B
BE 2026-08-29 Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break
Bloom Energy’s 80x forward earnings valuation relies on concentrated megaprojects, sustained AI data-center power demand and continued…
Valuation Rewind 2 clicks
Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost
Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
NBIS 2026-08-20 Nebius: The Market Is Arguing About The Wrong Number
Nebius posted 454% revenue growth and a 41% EBITDA margin, while Meta’s $27 billion agreement supports its AI infrastructure backlog.
The Quality Growth Investor 1 click
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
CRWV 2026-08-19 CoreWeave: The Execution Story Is Flashing A Strong Signal (Rating Upgrade)
CoreWeave’s Q2 converted backlog into sales, expanded margins and lifted operating leverage as active contracts topped half of its $104.2…
Future Stack Investment 
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
KRYS · short Krystal Biotech INC
Krystal Biotech is a profitable commercial-stage biotech with an $8.7 billion enterprise value and one FDA-approved topical gene therapy,…
Aurora Innovation: Built To Win With Less Than 1% Of The Market
Aurora Innovation targets 200 driverless trucks by Q4 2026 and FCF breakeven in 2028; 0.6% of US combination trucks by 2030 supports 20%…
Andras Tory 
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
HMY 2026-08-24 Harmony Gold Mining: A Copper Pioneer By Capitalizing On The Gold Tailwind (Reaffirming Buy)
Harmony Gold targets copper at roughly 40% of future production, diversifying gold exposure while increasing sensitivity to commodity…
Prakhar Agarwal, CFA 4 clicks
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket
Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…
TGTX 2026-08-22 TG Therapeutics: Briumvi's Growth Attracts Buyout Rumors
TG Therapeutics' Briumvi growth and subcutaneous formulation progress have fueled takeover rumors, with Biogen, Incyte and Sanofi cited as…
ONeil Trader 1 click
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…
[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…
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