Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Sunday, August 30, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Laughing Water Capital on X
@mil01425146 @darkstarsats Hudson and Guthrie have both been vocal supporters of the need for terrestrial backup to GPS/PNT. Hudson has even spoken at the same events that $NN CEO Sorond has spoken at. This is bullish.
marginofdanger on X
$TIPT director buys ~1k shares at 17.45 on Wednesday and Fortegra deal should close today https://t.co/HYVSdjXcO9
mavix on X
I just published my Portfolio Update for May 2026. It includes: ▫️My current portfolio & position sizes ▫️Earnings Updates about $YSN, $SLYG, $LEAT, $4058, $CIRC.MI, $BRM.V ▫️Recent news about $TRT.L, $4058, $CIRC.MI, $EVO https://t.co/ZFcIyaEFr7
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Canadian Imperial Bank exiting its Caribbean ops $NTB Butterfield to acquire control of CIBC Caribbean in $1.8 billion transaction https://t.co/SlU2Q0Lfxz
Charles Frischer on X
$NN OIRA posted they are taking a meeting on June 10th from opposition party. Might mean that June 3rd blog announcement is off the table. Explains today’s stock weakness. Patience will be required but likely rewarded. Balance sheet getting much stronger with warrant redemption
marginofdanger on X
$TIPT filed an 8-K this morning where they said they expected the Fortegra deal to close by Friday 5/29. Pro forma TBV is ~$24/share, stock last 17.17.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 082920 $946MVVVNF $1.7B
- Protean Funds July 2026 STOR-B $1.7BTRUE-B $615M
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 DGXX $415MDIG $493M
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6BBRSL $1.9B
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter ANAB $1.6BBUR $873M
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 MIPS $1B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 AORT $1.2BCENX $3.9B
- Southeastern Asset Management 2Q26 CNX $4.9BFBIN $4.8B
TPC 2026-08-27 Tutor Perini: Q2 2026 Made My Strong Buy Case Stronger
Tutor Perini’s Q2 revenue rose 19% to $1.64 billion as higher-margin megaprojects lifted construction income 54%, prompting higher 2026 EPS…
The Curious Analyst 
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
SA 2026-08-20 Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside
Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…
Redfern Research 
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge
DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…
Stock Trade Compilation Diez
E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…
CNR · long Core Natural Resources INC
Core Natural Resources is a US metallurgical and thermal coal producer formed in January 2025 through the merger of CONSOL Energy and Arch…
RR 2026-08-29 Richtech Robotics: An Easy Pass Based On Lackluster RaaS Growth Quality
Richtech Robotics faces 9.5% revenue growth, 159% higher OPEX and a RaaS contract pipeline that fell from $6.6 million to $2.1 million.
Andres Veurink 1 click
Entravision Q2 Notes
Entravision’s ATS revenue rose 230% to $182.8 million in Q2, but shares fell from above $14 to about $8 after management forecast…
$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost
UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.
40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)
Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…
DEC-laration of independence
Diversified Energy cut $233 million of debt in 1H26, repurchased $93 million of stock and sold $273 million of land and assets while…
Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap
Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…
Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)
Vistance Networks plans a large post-Ruckus-sale dividend, leaving Aurora Networks valued below 4x guided EBITDA after $1.88 billion of…
[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us
OTC Markets gives smaller, distressed, and lightly disclosed companies a trading venue outside NYSE and Nasdaq, with lower listing barriers…
This Stock Just Got Cheaper on Better Numbers
A debt-free American manufacturer now trades at roughly 7x annualized Q2 EBITDA, with $7.35 per share in net cash and a tender floor 18.5%…
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Convequity
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DOMO Capital Management, LLC
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SG
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Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
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- Pershing Square Holdings
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- Sequoia Fund
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