Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Thursday, August 27, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Maj Soueidan on X
What's the one stock you hope falls due to a "blip" quarter that is likely temporary due to unusual circumstances or investor misinterpretation? Two of my wishes already came true with $SIF and $KLNG. Could throw $FSI into the mix. Next on this early Christmas wish list? $PPIH
Maj Soueidan on X
@StableBread Nice summary. Thanks for sharing. I’m somewhat excited about the new CEO hire from the competitor, $CECO, who has actually been winning data center contracts.
Maj Soueidan on X
Anyone have a direct line to $MG, call them now. We have a code red!!! https://t.co/zgvG6Ik5vi
Timyan Bank Alert on X
$CLST 13d amendment by Stilwell https://t.co/lfqEymJzDt
JabroniCoin.USD on X
How many times will Peltz rug $WEN with totally not-fake bids? https://t.co/7YmTsnbaZy
JabroniCoin.USD on X
UBS on $CENX generating nearly $1 bn in 2026 FCF (v ~$800m consensus) Post this week, that Midwest premium looks solid for 2026… so that volume ramp should translate into higher numbers in Q3 and Q4 https://t.co/dhrEiBFWFf
BDC on X
$xgn is our largest position. Had a great call with mgmt, who I think is world class. not advice, just candor on what we own. https://t.co/z57ubc1dru
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $143M082920 $946M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $91MSTOR-B $1.7B
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.5BBRSL $1.9B
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter ANAB $1.6BBUR $873M
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 MIPS $1B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 AORT $1.2BCENX $3.9B
- Southeastern Asset Management 2Q26 CNX $4.9BFBIN $4.8B
- Horizon Kinetics 2nd Quarter 2026 MIAX $3.8B
FUFU 2026-08-27 BitFuFu: A $93 Million Liability No One Can Explain
BitFuFu’s $93.4 million unexplained long-term payable equals 57% of liabilities, overshadowing sharply higher self-mining and hosting…
Dorine Cherop 
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
PTLO 2026-08-20 Portillo's: Guidance Cut Confirms It's Cheap For A Reason
Portillo's guidance cut followed a 1.2% same-restaurant-sales decline and 1.9% margin compression, while its $343 million TRA liability…
KC Research 2 clicks
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
SA 2026-08-20 Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside
Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…
Redfern Research 
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge
DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…
Stock Trade Compilation Diez
E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
AIRS · long Airsculpt Technolo INC
AirSculpt (AIRS) operates roughly 30 centers offering premium self-pay body contouring, fat removal, fat transfer and skin-tightening…
National Beverage Update
National Beverage’s rare share repurchase is framed as a buy signal, with 50% upside projected.
The Priority Technology Situation
Priority Technology received an opportunistic buyout proposal, with its business better suited to remaining public absent a much higher…
Tis The (Earnings) Season
Argentine banks, tariff-exposed stocks and Customer’s Bancorp anchor an earnings-season watchlist after Milei’s election victory,…
Drilling Down on Disposal: Parallels Between Produced Water and Municipal Waste Disposal
WaterBridge and Secure trade at 10–11x 2025 EBITDA despite produced-water disposal economics resembling higher-multiple municipal waste…
Braemar Hotels & Resort: Gross Asset Management Contract, Initiated Sales Process
Braemar Hotels & Resorts initiated a sales process and faces a gross asset management contract.
Product-Market Fit in 5G ORAN Radios... Equity Market Rerate to Come? ($AMPG)
Amplitech's bull case rests on $118 million in 5G Open RAN LOIs, 125% projected revenue growth and a 1x EV/sales valuation.
The Announcement That Changes Everything
China Yuchai’s potential MGP IPO could separate its data-center and genset arm, with employee incentives tied to a listing and a proposed…
Net Lease Office Properties: Office Basket, REIT Spin/Liquidation
Net Lease Office Properties is a REIT office basket pursuing a spin-off and liquidation.
GCI Liberty: Cheap, Tax Asset, Malone Fatigue?
GCI Liberty trades cheaply, holds tax assets, and faces investor fatigue with John Malone.
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SG
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Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
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