Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Thursday, August 27, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Maj Soueidan on X
What's the one stock you hope falls due to a "blip" quarter that is likely temporary due to unusual circumstances or investor misinterpretation? Two of my wishes already came true with $SIF and $KLNG. Could throw $FSI into the mix. Next on this early Christmas wish list? $PPIH
Maj Soueidan on X
@StableBread Nice summary. Thanks for sharing. I’m somewhat excited about the new CEO hire from the competitor, $CECO, who has actually been winning data center contracts.
Maj Soueidan on X
Anyone have a direct line to $MG, call them now. We have a code red!!! https://t.co/zgvG6Ik5vi
Timyan Bank Alert on X
$CLST 13d amendment by Stilwell https://t.co/lfqEymJzDt
JabroniCoin.USD on X
How many times will Peltz rug $WEN with totally not-fake bids? https://t.co/7YmTsnbaZy
JabroniCoin.USD on X
UBS on $CENX generating nearly $1 bn in 2026 FCF (v ~$800m consensus) Post this week, that Midwest premium looks solid for 2026… so that volume ramp should translate into higher numbers in Q3 and Q4 https://t.co/dhrEiBFWFf
BDC on X
$xgn is our largest position. Had a great call with mgmt, who I think is world class. not advice, just candor on what we own. https://t.co/z57ubc1dru
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $143M082920 $946M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $91MSTOR-B $1.7B
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.5BBRSL $1.9B
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter ANAB $1.6BBUR $873M
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 MIPS $1B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 AORT $1.2BCENX $3.9B
- Southeastern Asset Management 2Q26 CNX $4.9BFBIN $4.8B
- Horizon Kinetics 2nd Quarter 2026 MIAX $3.8B
FUFU 2026-08-27 BitFuFu: A $93 Million Liability No One Can Explain
BitFuFu’s $93.4 million unexplained long-term payable equals 57% of liabilities, overshadowing sharply higher self-mining and hosting…
Dorine Cherop 
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
PTLO 2026-08-20 Portillo's: Guidance Cut Confirms It's Cheap For A Reason
Portillo's guidance cut followed a 1.2% same-restaurant-sales decline and 1.9% margin compression, while its $343 million TRA liability…
KC Research 2 clicks
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
SA 2026-08-20 Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside
Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…
Redfern Research 
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge
DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…
Stock Trade Compilation Diez
E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
GENI · long Genius Sports LTD
Genius Sports, a sports data and adtech provider, is pitched as a re-rating opportunity obscured by acquisition noise.
Shift4 Company Podcast Episode Released!
Shift4 built its payments business by acquiring gateway nodes and migrating merchants to its processing platform; revenue has compounded…
My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure
A former value-investor darling, down 50%, pairs a monopoly with a recurring-revenue razor-and-blade business; debt paydown, margin…
Mitani Corporation (TYO: 8066): $1.2 bn Japanese Conglomerate at 2.6× EV/EBIT with 30+ Years of Profitability
Mitani Corporation trades at 2.6× EV/EBIT and 8.9× earnings, backed by net cash, a 24% lower share count since 2014, and dividends up more…
NLOP - I'm Buying Again
NLOP’s selloff after a weak KBR property sale has created a high-potential IRR entry point.
Programmatic DSPs
Entravision’s Smadex AdTech unit generated 104% revenue growth and 378% EBIT growth, becoming the main upside driver after Meta ended its…
Green Dot: Creating a Standalone BaaS Bank
Green Dot creates a standalone banking-as-a-service bank.
Return of the Power King
China Yuchai (CYD) seeks a 2026 rerating as governance normalization, global expansion, AI data-center power demand, and green-powertrain…
Haw Par Corporation Limited
Haw Par combines Tiger Balm’s stable cash flows with property, leisure and healthcare operations plus stakes in UOB and UOL.
Hemnet – Broken Moat or Misunderstood Monopoly?
Hemnet’s Swedish listings monopoly has fallen from SEK420 to about SEK160 as growth slows, leaving investors to judge whether its 90% share…
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