Monday, August 24, 2026

The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb

Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.

STRR $37MHHS $35M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 24 8 clicks

Aug 20 ELALF $3.2B

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Yet Another Value Podcast 12 clicks

Aug 20 CCC $3.9B

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

scuttleblurb 17 clicks

From X

@BlueDuckCap Aug 24 4 clicks

BDC on X

$SOXX could go down 20% from here and still be up over 30% YTD

@orrdavid Aug 23 4 clicks

David Orr on X

@grok @jasondebolt Put that another way, you could have known Burry or Einhorn didn't have a real track record back in the mid 2000s, if you'd just realized they were betting huge on the value factor. Same thing with $ARKK through 2021.

@orrdavid Aug 23 4 clicks

David Orr on X

A rhetorical thought experiment: Someone was all in $GME or $AMC stock on Jan 1st, 2021. They sold all of their stock right near the top. That's +1,600% for $GME and +2,500% for $AMC. They simply did nothing for the next 5 years. $GME guy still has a 65% CAGR, $AMC guy an 80% CAGR. These skilled investors?

@irbezek Aug 22 5 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@davey_juice @taobanker I own both. $NU seems inevitable. $INTR more execution and single-market risk but a lot more upside if it works and gets rerated.

@irbezek Aug 22 6 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@taobanker $INTR at 1.2x book 5.5x '27 earnings with a 16% ROE growing at 20% a year probably qualifies. But yes, $BLX is incredible and I still kick myself for selling most of my position at $25 after buying at $15. Grabbed defeat from the jaws of victory there.

@BlueDuckCap Aug 21 4 clicks

BDC on X

@be4_the_h3rd @JasperRidley $xgn just getting started imo

@irbezek Aug 21 5 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@taobanker Good chance this will be another 14% higher at some point between now and Dec. Things in motion stay in motion... $COLO https://t.co/CjrbroM2R3

@BlueDuckCap Aug 21 2 clicks

BDC on X

Reviewing some expert transcripts. On $XGN this is worth flagging. The Rheumatologist being interviewed confirms the bull thesis. Says he uses AVISE (XGN) for his panels bc generic tests don't work well in autoimmune, and AVISE more accurate. Flat out says that the one autoimmune marker XGN doesn't offer is for Myositis, where he uses another lab. Guess what $XGN is offering in 2027?

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $536M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

SA 2026-08-20

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…

SA $3.3B

Redfern Research Aug 20

Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $938M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 18 13 clicks

Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge

DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…

SERV $370M

MBI Deep Dives Aug 17 4 clicks

Stock Trade Compilation Diez

E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…

SSP $292MMNRO $383M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 17 9 clicks

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…

KSS $1.9B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 13 9 clicks

Entravision Q2 Notes

Entravision’s ATS revenue rose 230% to $182.8 million in Q2, but shares fell from above $14 to about $8 after management forecast…

EVC $727M

The Value Road Aug 11 13 clicks

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2BTWO $1.3B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)

Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…

NAVI $902M

Capital Employed Aug 10 9 clicks

LEEEF · long

Leef Brands INC

LEEF Brands, California’s largest cannabis extract manufacturer, supplies distillate, live resin and rosin to leading California brands.

LEEEF $57M

Value Investors Club May 21 2 clicks

GCI Liberty: Cheap, Tax Asset, Malone Fatigue?

GCI Liberty trades cheaply, holds tax assets, and faces investor fatigue with John Malone.

GLIBA $980M

Clark Street Value Jul 16 2 clicks

NSTS Bancorp: Post 3-Year Thrift Conversion, Possible Sale

NSTS Bancorp’s three-year thrift-conversion anniversary could clear the way for a potential sale.

NSTS $74M

Clark Street Value May 22 1 click

Comeback Season: Evolv Eyes Positive FCF, 40% ARR Growth, and Reputational Revival in '25 ($EVLV)

Evolv ($EVLV) targets positive free cash flow and 40% ARR growth in 2025 as delayed filings, an FTC resolution, and leadership changes seek…

EVLV $880M

Multibagger Monitor Apr 7 8 clicks

Insureco w/ Potential Strat Alts Announcement Soon + 100% Upside on Buyout ($TIPT)

Tiptree ($TIPT) is positioned around a potential Fortegra sale announcement; Fortegra generates substantially all revenue.

TIPT $651M

Multibagger Monitor Feb 25 7 clicks

Portfolio Updates

CYD was sold near $21 versus an $11 entry after exceeding a $19.50 target; proceeds moved to H22.SI, whose CYD stake implies $1.30 NAV and…

CYD $1.3B

Maius Partners Feb 24 4 clicks

Hong Leong Asia: Unveiling Undervalued Gems in CYD’s Parent Company

Hong Leong Asia (SGX: H22) has 40% base-case upside, driven by its CYD stake’s data-center opportunity and Singapore-Malaysia…

CYD $1.3B

Maius Partners Feb 11 1 click

Unpacking eDreams' Capital Markets Day

EDreams nears 7.25 million Prime members and €180 million of Cash EBITDA, marking its shift from an online travel agency to a…

EDDRF $520M

310 Value’s Newsletter Feb 6 1 click

China Yuchai: Deep Value Meets Growth (NYSE:CYD)

China Yuchai (CYD) trades at 2x EBITDA and 0.3x book as data-center backup-power demand, buybacks, and net cash support an earnings…

CYD $1.3B

Maius Partners Feb 5 1 click

A 4x in 4 Years Surfing the Data Center Tsunami? ($TGEN)

Tecogen ($TGEN) sells gas-or-electric chillers that management says cut data-center cooling costs 30–40%, with factory utilization offering…

TGEN $94M

Multibagger Monitor Jan 8 3 clicks

BDC on X

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