$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
Saturday, August 15, 2026
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Laughing Water Capital on X
$NN https://t.co/WSPZtvXkj1
Laughing Water Capital on X
Terrestrial backup to GPS is essential. $NN https://t.co/sCRxCPCldm
catechwilliams on X
$HERE: pop toy fad crashing like Beanie Babies. #1 selling product prices plunging 90% during critical holiday period. $HERE revenue and margins will be impacted severely. https://t.co/czXxPRZTZy
Connor Haley on X
@AndrewTakes @taobanker @CGSCapital @Compounding_K @AKWilk 1: NATL ATMs predicted to be more stable/improving than declining. We address this extensively in our report. 2: absolutely when business is growing rapidly on a per share basis. Look at $DBD which trades at a big premium despite growing slower.
Laughing Water Capital on X
In case you had any doubts on the case for terrestrial GPS. $NN https://t.co/js8mXHYTA6
Laughing Water Capital on X
@JonoJohnson8 @cfrischer1 Carr also references Cruz who first sponsored legislation calling for a terrestrial backup to GPS in 2017. As head of the Senate Commerce Committee, Cruz is effectively Carr’s boss. All tea leaves, but hard to think they’re not bullish $NN
Laughing Water Capital on X
@JonoJohnson8 @cfrischer1 Interesting to note that Carr 1st comments on increasing accuracy, and then calls GPS a “related issue”. He clearly makes a distinction between the 2 ideas. Maybe splitting hairs, but there is only 1 company that addresses both points: $NN.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@UnHedgedChatter @InvestSpecial @Wexboy_Value $AS, owner of Arc'teryx & 9 other brands trades at more than 3x sales. $CLAR, which would fit perfectly into AS's portfolio trades at less than 0.5x sales and is exploring strategic alts. 🤷♂️
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $164M082920 $946M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $91MSTOR-B $1.7B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q2 2026 CALY $2.6BHCC $4.6B
- Cedar Creek Partners Q2 ‘26 ENDI $132MEXCE $1.3B
- LVS Advisory first half of 2026 VISN $1.5B
- Palm Harbour Capital second quarter ALHG $2B082920 $946M
- Third Avenue Management three months ended June 30, 2026 6951 $2.3BTDW $4.3B
- Patient Capital Management second quarter of 2026 GENI $1.6BPGEN $2.8B
$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost
UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.
40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)
Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…
These Power Stocks (Not Semis) Are The Real AI Beneficiaries, Say Investing Brother Duo Up 1,300%
Pernas Research names Capstone Energy and Stabilis Solutions as AI data-center power beneficiaries, alongside Tenable, Upwork, Wise and…
My Pitch Deck Slide Show from the MS Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference
Butler National Corporation is the subject of a stock pitch presented at the MS Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference.
DEC-laration of independence
Diversified Energy cut $233 million of debt in 1H26, repurchased $93 million of stock and sold $273 million of land and assets while…
Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap
Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…
A Venezuela Lottery Ticket for 41 Cents
Lionheart Holdings’ 41-cent CUBWW warrants hinge on a SPAC merger valuing KEO Energy’s Venezuelan PetroUrdaneta stake at $1 billion, versus…
Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)
Vistance Networks plans a large post-Ruckus-sale dividend, leaving Aurora Networks valued below 4x guided EBITDA after $1.88 billion of…
[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us
OTC Markets gives smaller, distressed, and lightly disclosed companies a trading venue outside NYSE and Nasdaq, with lower listing barriers…
This Stock Just Got Cheaper on Better Numbers
A debt-free American manufacturer now trades at roughly 7x annualized Q2 EBITDA, with $7.35 per share in net cash and a tender floor 18.5%…
TDC · short Teradata CORP
Teradata is a short as its on-premises analytics business declines while enterprises shift workloads to cloud-native platforms.
Entravision: Another Whale Has Emerged
Entravision’s Q1 filings contain a new footnote disclosure pointing to a potential second large advertiser beyond its Hong Kong customer,…
Seer
Seer trades at $2.04 against $3.90 per share of net cash as activists press a board that rejected five buyout proposals and won reelection.
Hidden in Plane Sight
An aerospace company’s profitable core is obscured by a long-running FAA development program; approval, abandonment, or shrinking losses…
Gatekeeper Systems ($GSI.V) FINS Review
Gatekeeper Systems’ revenue rebound is overshadowed by $19.3 million in nine-month operating cash burn, swelling inventory and overdue…
RI(N)sing higher
RIN prices near all-time highs reflect tighter renewable-fuel mandates, a shrinking credit bank, and biodiesel production shortfalls.
$PRKS: SeaWorld, an 8% cash yield, and a possible 80% short squeeze | Hawkins Entrekin
United Parks trades at 8x EBITDA with an 8%+ unlevered cash yield, aggressive buybacks and roughly 80% effective short interest, while…
Getting Paid 10% for a Ringside Seat at the Braemar Circus with a potential 2x payout
Braemar’s BHR-PB preferred trades near $13 against a $25 liquidation preference, yielding 10% amid hotel sales, a $480 million Ashford…
Clear the DEC?
Diversified Energy (DEC) has paid $21.84 per share in dividends since June 2017 and trades at $13.35 amid a bullish U.S.
$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity
CBIZ activist Ryan Bunn urges ending buybacks, issuing equity and resuming bolt-on acquisitions to delever after the $2.3 billion Marcum…
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- 1851 Capital
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