Tuesday, October 6, 2026

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX

Golar LNG’s fourth FLNG vessel targets 3.5MTPA capacity and a 2029 delivery, supporting projected adjusted EBITDA above $1 billion in fiscal 2029.

GLNG $4.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 6 1 click

Oct 6 GPI $2.8B

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): The CEO Takes a Driving Test

Cannibal Stocks 3 clicks

Oct 5 POOL $5.8B

Portfolio Update September 2026

D Invests 1 click

From X

@BarbarianCap Oct 6 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

$LW Lamb Weston Says Cost-Saving Efforts Are Paying Off https://t.co/ZfdGZtyiqi

@leevalueroach Oct 6

Lee Roach on X

Geo Group $GEO down 8% on a massive facility sale seems kind of crazy.

@pennycheck Oct 6

⚽️📡 on X

New $BFLY BCI customer announced today https://t.co/OENwMSIz0I

@ACapitalLP Oct 6 2 clicks

A Capital on X

Wondering if $MIAX is a perception vs. reality trade? Perception: Kalshi single-stock perps will cannibalize options and structurally impair $MIAX. Reality: perps are initially limited to mega-cap, highly liquid names, there’s no evidence of cannibalization yet, options volumes remain strong, and $MIAX can ultimately participate in perps itself… 🤷‍♂️

@stockgutter Oct 6

SG on X

$FRVO price drops from ~$31 on Jun 26 to ~$13.50, and now they publish a short report? https://t.co/57Dy0iV2lE

@BrokenMoats Oct 6

Broken Moats on X

Secondaries more likely with the reversal in bio discovery names this morning not less, they are coming --- almost all need money to fund their cash burning businesses $DNA $TXG $TWST $GRAL you are their liquidity if you want to fund them at 20-30x sales

@negligible_cap Oct 6

Negligible Capital on X

Why has $SPHR been smoked lately? Wizard of Oz flop? Is it cheap now? Name is down 40% from its highs in August https://t.co/0dLnpRxXTl

@StableBread Oct 5

Fajasy on X

Makes sense when $UUUU revenue is still all uranium, Q2's $25.1M came from that segment. Tho the rare earth product is already proven, ~1.2t of their NdPr oxide became ~3.0t of magnets at South Korea's largest EV drive-motor core maker and passed every qualification benchmark. https://t.co/IWyLWnuRGS

Brazil could be the Q4 Macro Play – My stock ideas: $NU, $INTR, $PICS and maybe $STNE, $PAGS, $DLO and $MELI

Brazilian fintechs NU, INTR and PICS stand to benefit from a Bolsonaro-led runoff surprise that lowers fiscal risk premiums, rates and the…

INTR $3.2B

Substack von Philipp Oct 5 3 clicks

Alliance Resource Partners: A ~10% Yield Backed By Contracted Coal And Growing Royalties

Alliance Resource Partners has 2026 coal sales fully contracted and is expanding oil and gas royalties through AllDale, supporting its 9.8%…

ARLP $3.2B

Timur Mekhantev Oct 5 4 clicks

Did Group 1 Overpay for Hennessy? The Seller’s Own Banker Says It Was a Record.

Group 1 paid $1 billion of goodwill for Hennessy’s 10 dealerships, a record $100 million per store, financed largely with $1.25 billion of…

GPI $2.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 4 4 clicks

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…

MRP $3.8B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

IRDM $5B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Belden Inc.: The Ruckus Debt Looks Scarier Than The Math

Belden targets net leverage of 2.9x by 2027 from 3.9x, using RUCKUS's 65%+ gross margins and free cash flow to reduce debt.

BDC $4.3B

Lee Bailey Oct 2

Crocs: Double-Digit Buyback Yield (Ticker: CROX)

Crocs has $2 billion of buyback authorization, more than a third of its market cap, as North American sales stabilize and HeyDude drags on…

CROX $5.5B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 2 4 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $4.8B

Seeking Profits Oct 1

Who Really Runs Crocs? The Autopsy.

Crocs CEO Andrew Rees turned around the core brand, then borrowed $2 billion for HEYDUDE, whose $737 million write-down followed wholesale…

CROX $5.5B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 19 4 clicks

Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop

Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…

KRMN $4.2B

Dhierin Bechai Sep 19

Research & Analysis: Ultra Clean Holdings (NASDAQ: UCTT)

Ultra Clean Holdings targets a $4 billion annualized revenue run rate by H2 2027 through manufacturing expansion and a broader…

UCTT $3.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 18 1 click

Power Semiconductors: The Follow-Up

STMicroelectronics, Navitas and Wolfspeed offer contrasting power-semiconductor cases tied to NVIDIA’s 800V AI data-center architecture,…

NVTS $2.8B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 17 4 clicks

The Offshore Message From Oslo

Offshore drillers have secured 105 rig-years by September, 42% above all of 2025, as national oil companies lock up long-term capacity.

RIG $6B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 17 1 click

Progyny: Best-In-Class And Likely To Exceed Analyst Estimates In 2027

Progyny's Q2 revenue rose 11% excluding Amazon, with margin expansion and nearly 100% EPS growth guidance for 2026 supporting…

PGNY $2.1B

Robert J. Lake Sep 17

Problems at Jackson Financial ($JXN)

Jackson Financial administers $287 billion in retirement accounts while a report says its captive, hedge-loss installment plan and…

JXN $8.8B

Hunterbrook Sep 17 4 clicks

Viridian Therapeutics: Two Products, One Commercial Buildout

Viridian Therapeutics is building a shared commercial platform for Lumvoa and investigational elegrobart in thyroid eye disease, with…

VRDN $2.1B

Equity Eagle Sep 17

Figure Technology (FIGR): The "Hypoport of America" Growing 100% With 55% EBITDA Margins – and Priced Like the Story Is Broken

Figure Technology's HELOC platform grew Q2 2026 revenue 113% with a 54.6% adjusted EBITDA margin, while shares trade 57% below January's…

FIGR $6.3B

Substack von Philipp Sep 17 7 clicks

EFXT · long

Enerflex LTD

Enerflex, a $3 billion natural gas infrastructure and equipment company, blends contracted energy-services cash flows with equipment…

EFXT $2.9B

Value Investors Club Jun 19 4 clicks

Tuesday, October 6, 2026

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