Tuesday, October 6, 2026

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX

Golar LNG’s fourth FLNG vessel targets 3.5MTPA capacity and a 2029 delivery, supporting projected adjusted EBITDA above $1 billion in fiscal 2029.

GLNG $4.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 6 1 click

Oct 6 GPI $2.8B

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): The CEO Takes a Driving Test

Cannibal Stocks 3 clicks

Oct 5 POOL $5.8B

Portfolio Update September 2026

D Invests 1 click

From X

@BarbarianCap Oct 6 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

$LW Lamb Weston Says Cost-Saving Efforts Are Paying Off https://t.co/ZfdGZtyiqi

@leevalueroach Oct 6

Lee Roach on X

Geo Group $GEO down 8% on a massive facility sale seems kind of crazy.

@pennycheck Oct 6

⚽️📡 on X

New $BFLY BCI customer announced today https://t.co/OENwMSIz0I

@ACapitalLP Oct 6 3 clicks

A Capital on X

Wondering if $MIAX is a perception vs. reality trade? Perception: Kalshi single-stock perps will cannibalize options and structurally impair $MIAX. Reality: perps are initially limited to mega-cap, highly liquid names, there’s no evidence of cannibalization yet, options volumes remain strong, and $MIAX can ultimately participate in perps itself… 🤷‍♂️

@stockgutter Oct 6

SG on X

$FRVO price drops from ~$31 on Jun 26 to ~$13.50, and now they publish a short report? https://t.co/57Dy0iV2lE

@BrokenMoats Oct 6

Broken Moats on X

Secondaries more likely with the reversal in bio discovery names this morning not less, they are coming --- almost all need money to fund their cash burning businesses $DNA $TXG $TWST $GRAL you are their liquidity if you want to fund them at 20-30x sales

@negligible_cap Oct 6

Negligible Capital on X

Why has $SPHR been smoked lately? Wizard of Oz flop? Is it cheap now? Name is down 40% from its highs in August https://t.co/0dLnpRxXTl

@StableBread Oct 5

Fajasy on X

Makes sense when $UUUU revenue is still all uranium, Q2's $25.1M came from that segment. Tho the rare earth product is already proven, ~1.2t of their NdPr oxide became ~3.0t of magnets at South Korea's largest EV drive-motor core maker and passed every qualification benchmark. https://t.co/IWyLWnuRGS

Brazil could be the Q4 Macro Play – My stock ideas: $NU, $INTR, $PICS and maybe $STNE, $PAGS, $DLO and $MELI

Brazilian fintechs NU, INTR and PICS stand to benefit from a Bolsonaro-led runoff surprise that lowers fiscal risk premiums, rates and the…

INTR $3.2B

Substack von Philipp Oct 5 3 clicks

Alliance Resource Partners: A ~10% Yield Backed By Contracted Coal And Growing Royalties

Alliance Resource Partners has 2026 coal sales fully contracted and is expanding oil and gas royalties through AllDale, supporting its 9.8%…

ARLP $3.2B

Timur Mekhantev Oct 5 4 clicks

Did Group 1 Overpay for Hennessy? The Seller’s Own Banker Says It Was a Record.

Group 1 paid $1 billion of goodwill for Hennessy’s 10 dealerships, a record $100 million per store, financed largely with $1.25 billion of…

GPI $2.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 4 4 clicks

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…

MRP $3.8B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

IRDM $5B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Belden Inc.: The Ruckus Debt Looks Scarier Than The Math

Belden targets net leverage of 2.9x by 2027 from 3.9x, using RUCKUS's 65%+ gross margins and free cash flow to reduce debt.

BDC $4.3B

Lee Bailey Oct 2

Crocs: Double-Digit Buyback Yield (Ticker: CROX)

Crocs has $2 billion of buyback authorization, more than a third of its market cap, as North American sales stabilize and HeyDude drags on…

CROX $5.5B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 2 4 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $4.8B

Seeking Profits Oct 1

HWKN · short

Hawkins INC

Hawkins (HWKN) faces margin pressure as cost increases and municipal budget constraints weigh on its water-chemical distribution business.

HWKN $2.7B

Value Investors Club May 30 1 click

Quiet Compounders, a Hidden Moat and an 18% FCF Yield at Pitney Bowes (PBI)

Pitney Bowes trades at an 18% FCF yield, with 25% operating margins, 30%-plus ROIC and plans to return free cash flow mostly through…

PBI $2.3B

Base Hit Investing Jul 11

Alta Fox NATL Presentation

Alta Fox values NCR Atleos at $100 a share, citing ATM-as-a-Service growth, deleveraging and buybacks.

NATL $3.4B

Research - Alta Fox Capital Jul 1

Pt III: A High Quality Tech Provider with an Emerging Event-Angle

IMAX China, Hong Kong-listed 1970, is IMAX’s exclusive Greater China licensee, earning box-office-linked fees from premium large-format…

IMAX $2.8B

Raging Bull Investments Jun 29

Envista (NVST)

Envista, Danaher’s dental spin-off, is pitched as a de-risked long-term opportunity after U.S.

NVST $3.6B

Healthy Stock Picks May 22

When extend and pretend is a virtue

Upstart says longer repayment terms lifted Q1 debt-settlement acceptances 50%, but does not disclose delinquency changes or the number of…

UPST $2.4B

John Hempton's Newsletter May 6 2 clicks

ILMN: Activism! Part Deux

Illumina appointed activist Keith Meister to its board as an SEC investigation into the Grail acquisition raises questions over 122.5…

GRAL $5.9B

Nongaap Investing Apr 2

CNK Buyback, Special Situation Review, and Some Thoughts on Theaters

Cinemark’s $200 million buyback anchors a review of theater cost structures, MCS and a completed Fairfax preferred-share special situation.

CNK $4.3B

Base Hit Investing Mar 7

An Unnoticed Filing Shows This Company is Preparing for a Sale

Phinia revised executive contracts to raise CEO severance to $5.25 million and guarantee full equity vesting in a sale after its spin-off…

PHIN $2.1B

Easy Value Mar 6

[P] TENB: Tenable Governance

Tenable faces CEO succession under difficult circumstances, putting its governance and leadership transition in focus.

TENB $4.3B

Nongaap Investing Feb 24

Tuesday, October 6, 2026

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