Friday, October 2, 2026

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is Lennar’s CEO.

MRP $4.3B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Oct 2 IRDM $5.1B

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Cestrian Capital Research 1 click

Oct 2 AIR $4B

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

Monte Independent Investment Research 4 clicks

From X

@MaiusPartners Oct 2 1 click

Maius on X

Some $PSIX thoughts off the recent 8-K: The banking syndicate lifted committed capacity from $135m to $220m (+$85m), cut the SOFR margin from +2.60% to +1.80%, and pushed maturity from July 2027 to September 2029 (~26 months). Credit committees are structurally risk-averse. More exposure, less spread, and longer tenor only clears if they like the repayment case. So what are they underwriting that most equity investors still won’t touch? Two things the disclosures imply: 1) Weichai’s North American strategy is locked in. Change-of-control remains tied to Weichai keeping board control and ≥40% ownership (same economic threshold as before). The extension removes left-tail risk that Weichai pursues a different go-to-market path. 2) The extra capacity isn’t for today’s balance sheet. Net debt was essentially zero at Q2’26 (cash ~$70m, debt ~$73m). The new investor materials flag Prime Power as a deliverable for the first time—ranges that overlap $INIO’s data-center gas engines, a segment where $INIO recently highlighted as an area "Chinese players have historically struggled to break in" and hence command "100% market share in several datacenter power ranges". As Bezos put it: your margin is my opportunity. Have a great weekend, everybody!

@negligible_cap Oct 2 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

*EQUAL-WEIGHT S&P 500 DOWN FOR 7 STRAIGHT WEEKS, MOST SINCE 2022 $RSP has been horrendous. I miss when breadth was healthy https://t.co/hsKW5s6ODt

@marginofdanger Oct 2

marginofdanger on X

Blows my mind that the 3x semiconductor ETF $SOXL has $25 billion of assets. Seems like an incredible value destruction machine.

@irbezek Oct 2

Ian Bezek on X

@elcolombiano More good news for Sureste Airports $ASR and Corporacion America Airports $CAAP. "Medellin has peaked bro" folks in disbelief. https://t.co/d7nDOraQbO

@irbezek Oct 2

Ian Bezek on X

@aurelius28 I think $CIB is worth about $100 so you're hoping for overshoot of fair value if you buy it here. I much prefer its smaller and much less liquid peer $AVAL as the "catch-up" trade.

@finphysnerd Oct 2

Myles on X

I've been out for a while due to opportunity cost, but $CTOS has sold of to 55c or 12x earnings and looks very juicy again here. https://t.co/p7vKdPj0bZ

@finphysnerd Oct 2

Myles on X

$TLT negative on the day, $RSP and $IWM retracing their big up moves. This market is wild.

@valuedontlie Oct 2 1 click

Colin King on X

Recent spin-offs... $THRM RMT now trading below 6x EBITDA $CTAV RemainCo between 6-7x EBITDA (depends on your view of environmental liabilities)

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Belden Inc.: The Ruckus Debt Looks Scarier Than The Math

Belden targets net leverage of 2.9x by 2027 from 3.9x, using RUCKUS's 65%+ gross margins and free cash flow to reduce debt.

BDC $4.2B

Lee Bailey Oct 2

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 3 clicks

How Ethos Sold Wall Street on AI While Powering an Analog Boiler Room

Ethos Technologies ($LIFE) sells AI-driven life insurance while relying heavily on multilevel marketing agencies using aggressive cold…

LIFE $2.2B

Hunterbrook Oct 1 1 click

Karman Holdings q2’26 Earnings Update

Karman Holdings reported 58% Q2 revenue growth, $1.3 billion backlog and margin expansion while replacing leadership and remediating…

KRMN $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 1

Innodata: The 45% Pullback Has Changed My View (Rating Upgrade)

Innodata's 45% pullback resets its valuation after two quarters of 50% revenue growth, though two customers still supply 71% of revenue and…

INOD $2.4B

Kurt Christensen Oct 1 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

KMX $7.8B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1

Ladder Capital: Grab This Diversified, Investment-Grade Mortgage REIT At Below Book Value

Ladder Capital trades below book value with high yield, but faces margin pressure and office-loan exposure despite diversified funding and…

LADR $1.1B

Albert Anthony Oct 1

Group 1's CEO Said "Competitive Advantages and Opportunities." A Car Dealer? I Went Looking.

Group 1’s 19% ownership cap, tied to automaker franchise agreements, frames Conifer’s 1.9 million-share stake and potential buyback-driven…

GPI $2.9B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 1 1 click

Not So Fast

Entravision, the portfolio’s largest position, fell more than 40% from its highs as Q3 returns dropped to 37.8% YTD.

EVC $682M

The Mikro Kap Oct 1 3 clicks

PLAB · long

Photronics INC

PLAB $1.8B

Value Investors Club May 30

[P] VYX: Checking Out in 2025? (Part 3)

VYX executive chair James Kelly replaces David Wilkinson as CEO.

VYX $944M

Nongaap Investing Feb 11

China Yuchai: Deep Value Meets Growth (NYSE:CYD)

China Yuchai (CYD) trades at 2x EBITDA and 0.3x book as data-center backup-power demand, buybacks, and net cash support an earnings…

CYD $1.2B

Maius Partners Feb 5 2 clicks

The Wendy’s Company (Symbol: WEN) One-Hour Analysis: How Sustainable is the $1.00 Dividend?

Wendy’s $1 annual dividend yields 6.8%, supported by positive same-store sales and unit growth but constrained by $2.75 billion of debt and…

WEN $1.2B

Investing 501 Jan 30

[PQ] PLTK: Playing Bad (Governance) Odds

Playtika's governance is so poor it may create a contrarian opportunity.

PLTK $816M

Nongaap Investing Jan 21

UGI Corporation (Symbol: UGI). One Hour Analysis: Weak Performance at AmeriGas Division Obscures Strong Performance of Natural Gas Utility and Midstream Assets.

UGI's AmeriGas EBITDA fell from $584 million in 2019 to $320 million in 2024, masking growth at its gas utility and midstream divisions.

UGI $8B

Investing 501 Jan 17

20 OTC Markets Oddities

OTC Markets has lost many profitable small companies to buyouts, privatizations and SEC Rule 15c2-11.

MUEL $407M

Exploring with Alluvial Capital Jan 17

Tullow Oil: Fire Sale

Tullow Oil faces falling Ghana production, heavy debt and tax-arbitration risk as Kosmos weighs a possible acquisition structure.

KOS $1.5B

Brevarthan Research Dec 12

An Announcement, A Visit, A Stock Pitch

Cementos Argos trades below the value of its 54.7 million Summit Materials shares, with asset sales and strategic holdings providing…

CMTOY $4.1B

Exploring with Alluvial Capital Nov 11

The Strategic Value of eDreams

EDreams’ Prime travel subscription model makes the €3.6 billion European OTA a potential Uber, Airbnb or Amazon acquisition target.

EDDRF $492M

310 Value’s Newsletter Oct 28 2 clicks

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