Friday, October 2, 2026

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is Lennar’s CEO.

MRP $4.3B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Oct 2 IRDM $5.1B

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Cestrian Capital Research 1 click

Oct 2 AIR $4B

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

Monte Independent Investment Research 4 clicks

From X

@MaiusPartners 42h ago 1 click

Maius on X

Some $PSIX thoughts off the recent 8-K: The banking syndicate lifted committed capacity from $135m to $220m (+$85m), cut the SOFR margin from +2.60% to +1.80%, and pushed maturity from July 2027 to September 2029 (~26 months). Credit committees are structurally risk-averse. More exposure, less spread, and longer tenor only clears if they like the repayment case. So what are they underwriting that most equity investors still won’t touch? Two things the disclosures imply: 1) Weichai’s North American strategy is locked in. Change-of-control remains tied to Weichai keeping board control and ≥40% ownership (same economic threshold as before). The extension removes left-tail risk that Weichai pursues a different go-to-market path. 2) The extra capacity isn’t for today’s balance sheet. Net debt was essentially zero at Q2’26 (cash ~$70m, debt ~$73m). The new investor materials flag Prime Power as a deliverable for the first time—ranges that overlap $INIO’s data-center gas engines, a segment where $INIO recently highlighted as an area "Chinese players have historically struggled to break in" and hence command "100% market share in several datacenter power ranges". As Bezos put it: your margin is my opportunity. Have a great weekend, everybody!

@negligible_cap Oct 2 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

*EQUAL-WEIGHT S&P 500 DOWN FOR 7 STRAIGHT WEEKS, MOST SINCE 2022 $RSP has been horrendous. I miss when breadth was healthy https://t.co/hsKW5s6ODt

@marginofdanger Oct 2

marginofdanger on X

Blows my mind that the 3x semiconductor ETF $SOXL has $25 billion of assets. Seems like an incredible value destruction machine.

@irbezek Oct 2

Ian Bezek on X

@elcolombiano More good news for Sureste Airports $ASR and Corporacion America Airports $CAAP. "Medellin has peaked bro" folks in disbelief. https://t.co/d7nDOraQbO

@irbezek Oct 2

Ian Bezek on X

@aurelius28 I think $CIB is worth about $100 so you're hoping for overshoot of fair value if you buy it here. I much prefer its smaller and much less liquid peer $AVAL as the "catch-up" trade.

@finphysnerd Oct 2

Myles on X

I've been out for a while due to opportunity cost, but $CTOS has sold of to 55c or 12x earnings and looks very juicy again here. https://t.co/p7vKdPj0bZ

@finphysnerd Oct 2

Myles on X

$TLT negative on the day, $RSP and $IWM retracing their big up moves. This market is wild.

@valuedontlie Oct 2 1 click

Colin King on X

Recent spin-offs... $THRM RMT now trading below 6x EBITDA $CTAV RemainCo between 6-7x EBITDA (depends on your view of environmental liabilities)

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Belden Inc.: The Ruckus Debt Looks Scarier Than The Math

Belden targets net leverage of 2.9x by 2027 from 3.9x, using RUCKUS's 65%+ gross margins and free cash flow to reduce debt.

BDC $4.2B

Lee Bailey Oct 2

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 3 clicks

How Ethos Sold Wall Street on AI While Powering an Analog Boiler Room

Ethos Technologies ($LIFE) sells AI-driven life insurance while relying heavily on multilevel marketing agencies using aggressive cold…

LIFE $2.2B

Hunterbrook Oct 1 1 click

Karman Holdings q2’26 Earnings Update

Karman Holdings reported 58% Q2 revenue growth, $1.3 billion backlog and margin expansion while replacing leadership and remediating…

KRMN $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 1

Innodata: The 45% Pullback Has Changed My View (Rating Upgrade)

Innodata's 45% pullback resets its valuation after two quarters of 50% revenue growth, though two customers still supply 71% of revenue and…

INOD $2.4B

Kurt Christensen Oct 1 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

KMX $7.8B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1

Ladder Capital: Grab This Diversified, Investment-Grade Mortgage REIT At Below Book Value

Ladder Capital trades below book value with high yield, but faces margin pressure and office-loan exposure despite diversified funding and…

LADR $1.1B

Albert Anthony Oct 1

Group 1's CEO Said "Competitive Advantages and Opportunities." A Car Dealer? I Went Looking.

Group 1’s 19% ownership cap, tied to automaker franchise agreements, frames Conifer’s 1.9 million-share stake and potential buyback-driven…

GPI $2.9B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 1 1 click

Not So Fast

Entravision, the portfolio’s largest position, fell more than 40% from its highs as Q3 returns dropped to 37.8% YTD.

EVC $682M

The Mikro Kap Oct 1 3 clicks

MGRC · long

Mcgrath Rentcorp

McGrath RentCorp's conservatively financed hard assets, pricing growth and a struggling competitor, WSC, underpin the long thesis.

MGRC $2.8B

Value Investors Club Jun 10 2 clicks

Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots

Floor & Decor held 2026 guidance after a 2Q beat, with comps improving through June; tariff refunds lifted margins and may fund pricing…

FND $4.9B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 2 4 clicks

Appearance The Stansberry Investor Hour Podcast

The Stansberry Investor Hour features a discussion of Constellation Software’s AI prospects and Natural Resource Partners.

NRP $1.4B

Eagle Point Capital Aug 1

Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)

Vistance Networks plans a large post-Ruckus-sale dividend, leaving Aurora Networks valued below 4x guided EBITDA after $1.88 billion of…

VISN $1.4B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Jul 31 7 clicks

[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us

OTC Markets gives smaller, distressed, and lightly disclosed companies a trading venue outside NYSE and Nasdaq, with lower listing barriers…

OTCM $647M

scuttleblurb Jul 31 3 clicks

This Stock Just Got Cheaper on Better Numbers

A debt-free American manufacturer now trades at roughly 7x annualized Q2 EBITDA, with $7.35 per share in net cash and a tender floor 18.5%…

RGR $699M

The Value Road Jul 30 4 clicks

Investment idea: Flowers Foods (FLO)

Flowers Foods cut its dividend to fund $300 million of debt reduction by 2027 after the $795 million Simple Mills acquisition lifted…

FLO $1.2B

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Jul 30

Hermès, EXLService, Sika - Q2'26 Earnings

Hermès faces leather-volume and margin risk, EXLService beats and raises despite AI concerns, and Sika gains share while trading at 22…

EXLS $5.2B

Sector Stories Jul 29

Entravision: Another Whale Has Emerged

Entravision’s Q1 filings contain a new footnote disclosure pointing to a potential second large advertiser beyond its Hong Kong customer,…

EVC $682M

The Value Road Jul 28 11 clicks

Quick Value #324 - Resideo + ADI Global

Resideo will spin off lower-margin ADI Global distribution after ending its $1.59 billion Honeywell indemnity, separating manufacturing and…

REZI $2.8BADIG $1.4B

Value Don't Lie Jul 27

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