Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Research Roundup Vol. LIV

Research Roundup covers AAON's data-center cooling ramp, Knife River's margin recovery, ChronoScale's Microsoft-backed neocloud buildout and Bitdeer's shift from bitcoin mining to AI…

AAON $6.8BKNF $2.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 30

Sep 29 TTD $5.7B

Dark arts or infinite reload? $TTD’s CEO options and the repricing proxy

Yet Another Value Blog 5 clicks

Sep 29 GPI $3B

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)

Cannibal Stocks 3 clicks

From X

@BrokenMoats Jun 11

Broken Moats on X

Like the $MGNI story (from lower levels, less so at current pricing albeit still cheap) their seat in the ecosystem looks to be consolidating - TTD has real issue but put the pairs trade aside do you have concerns about the CFO departure at MGNI, the insider selling (not trivial), and the risks from ai on their business ex ctv?

@TimyanBankAlert Jun 10 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

BancFirst $BANF Corporation Announces Acquisition of SpiritBank https://t.co/8jm5DCej1L

@ActAccordingly Jun 10 1 click

PAA Research on X

I call this the "LLOK" trade (Lower Leg of the K). This is a really interesting non-consensus thematic opportunity, dare I call it contrarian (if you're old enough to remember when that was a preferred approach to alpha generation). Investors have been quick to dismiss anything resembling a LLOK trade, but look what's happened in the past few weeks: $DLTR, $CASY, $CBRL, $PENN, $PRKS all massively outperforming in the past month. I'll include my beloved $CAKE in this group. Yes, some of that is factor rotation, but employment tailwinds for this consumer set might be better as a result of data center CAPEX/reindustrialization, and the "sell these names on gas prices" trade couldn't be hackneyed analysis. Finally, follow @TiberiusCapital, he's one of the best investors I know.

@DOMOCAPITAL Jun 9

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Kurt Wolf of $PBI. Hands down. No comparison. https://t.co/v6AKggxJD4

@ActAccordingly Jun 8

PAA Research on X

$MTN is the $FICO of consumer discretionary.

@cfrischer1 Jun 8

Charles Frischer on X

@k790diskin $NN I just posted my thoughts on the hearing.

@cfrischer1 Jun 8

Charles Frischer on X

@scottwilsonUSD $NN I think the July and August meetings are live meetings for an NPRM. While not critical months, these are live and have a reasonable possibility of happening. The process should also accelerate the final rule and order timeline, as the work is being done right now in that area

@cfrischer1 Jun 8

Charles Frischer on X

$NN It is possible that Carr will be able to help the Part 15 user base and approve the 900 MHz modernization plan put forward by NN. The country needs an actionable alternative plan for GPS. The NN plan is important for our country. The time is now for action.

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX

Monte Investments upgrades Karman Holdings to Buy with a $133 target after a 65% drawdown, citing 28.83x EV/aEBITDA and governance changes.

KRMN $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 29 1 click

Applied Optoelectronics: The Biggest Growth Phase Starts Now

Applied Optoelectronics targets $1.1 billion in 2026 revenue as 800G and 1.6T data-center demand drives capacity expansion, despite…

AAOI $9.1B

Infinity Curve Sep 29 2 clicks

Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)

Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…

MOD $9.9B

Value Don't Lie Sep 28 3 clicks

QuantumScape: Sell The Stock That Has No Revenue And No Factory Until 2029

QuantumScape faces a 2029 PowerCo plant delay, reduced partner commitments and no revenue, with a scenario-weighted $2.12 per-share…

QS $2.8B

Bears of Wall Street Sep 28

An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren

NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…

BHF $2.9B

Mispriced Assets Sep 27 1 click

Sezzle: The Market Is Underestimating This High-Growth Fintech

Sezzle’s Q2 2026 revenue rose 51.7% and adjusted net income 58.4%, while revenue per GMV reached 11.7% as Premium subscriptions lifted…

SEZL $3.6B

Blake Winiecki Sep 27 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million…

PTON $2.2B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 25 5 clicks

Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…

OUST $2.9B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 25 7 clicks

Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)

AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…

AAON $6.8B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 25 8 clicks

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

ZIM $3.5B

Calvin Blissett Sep 23 15 clicks

SFM · long

Sprouts Farmers Market

Sprouts Farmers Market benefits from GLP-1 adoption, scrutiny of ultra-processed foods and dietary restrictions driving demand for natural…

SFM $6B

Value Investors Club Jun 30 1 click

Warrior Met Coal: A Volume Story Still Priced Like A Coal Price Bet

Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek ramp lifted Q2 sales to 3.7 million tons and cut unit costs to $92.53 per ton, shifting earnings growth…

HCC $4.7B

Capital Connoisseur Sep 27 1 click

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 24 16 clicks

Birkenstock: Sector-Leading Growth At An Attractive Valuation

Birkenstock targets 13–15% annual revenue growth through FY2028, driven by APAC expansion and closed-toe footwear, while trading at 13.44…

BIRK $5.3B

Roman Vitasek Sep 24 4 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

ONDS $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 23 4 clicks

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services: Strategic Crossroads - Acquisition Or Dividend Bonanza Ahead

ZIM faces Israeli review of Hapag-Lloyd’s $35-per-share bid, with $2.46 billion cash and elevated transpacific rates supporting potential…

ZIM $3.5B

Melissa Tucker Sep 23

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 22 21 clicks

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

VSH $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 22 6 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII

Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead

Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…

CLBT $2.8B

Aurelion Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Broken Moats on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

PAA Research on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

PAA Research on X

Charles Frischer on X

Charles Frischer on X

Charles Frischer on X

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