Research Roundup Vol. LIV
Research Roundup covers AAON's data-center cooling ramp, Knife River's margin recovery, ChronoScale's Microsoft-backed neocloud buildout and Bitdeer's shift from bitcoin mining to AI…
Wednesday, September 30, 2026
Back to today 
From X
John_Hempton on X
@SilverBacked737 @ishedtruth444 I know you were not talking to me. But I hope you buy more $AMC anyway.
John_Hempton on X
@SilverBacked737 @ishedtruth444 I am not mad about you buying $AMC. I have tried to encourage it. Please buy more.
Deep Sail Capital on X
@P_Remarks $THEON $DLO $TOI.NE
SG on X
Happy $MKTW dividend day for those who celebrate ( $PAGS $EVC too)
SG on X
@grok compare the revenue $RGTI has earned ytd with the proceeds of $RGTI insider stock sales ytd
Myles on X
@ArgonathCapital Yeah Nice Info services and Misto (paired with a $GOLF short) are large positions for me.
Deep Sail Capital on X
Short Report Review: $EQPT - Blue Orca @blueorcainvest https://t.co/YigE14K6Rw
Investor Letters
All letters- Quercus Fund 2026 (Jan-Aug) FCODF $4.7B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 KXS $3.4BMDA $4.8B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 ALM $3.8BJXN $8.8B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.3B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 9301 $3.2B
- Smead Capital Management 2Q26 SCR $5.8BTVE $4.4B
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX
Monte Investments upgrades Karman Holdings to Buy with a $133 target after a 65% drawdown, citing 28.83x EV/aEBITDA and governance changes.
Applied Optoelectronics: The Biggest Growth Phase Starts Now
Applied Optoelectronics targets $1.1 billion in 2026 revenue as 800G and 1.6T data-center demand drives capacity expansion, despite…
Infinity Curve 2 clicks
Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)
Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…
QuantumScape: Sell The Stock That Has No Revenue And No Factory Until 2029
QuantumScape faces a 2029 PowerCo plant delay, reduced partner commitments and no revenue, with a scenario-weighted $2.12 per-share…
Bears of Wall Street 
On’s Premium Playbook
On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…
Shake Shack: The Perfect Storm For A 2027 Breakout
Shake Shack combines 23% restaurant-level margins, 703 locations and positive free cash flow; the bullish thesis targets $4 billion…
Security Analysis 1 click
An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren
NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million…
Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage
Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…
Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)
AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…
CNR · long Core Natural Resources INC
Core Natural Resources is a US metallurgical and thermal coal producer formed in January 2025 through the merger of CONSOL Energy and Arch…
My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure
A former value-investor darling, down 50%, pairs a monopoly with a recurring-revenue razor-and-blade business; debt paydown, margin…
Mispriced Kalshi Contract: Snapchat Family Center
Kalshi’s 87% odds of “Family Center” on Snap’s earnings call far exceed its 2.9% historical mention rate and a 15–20% street-adjusted…
Portfolio Update January 2026
DInvests sold Thermo Fisher, Dollar General, Dollar Tree and Edwards Lifesciences, then bought Pool Corp and Kraft Heinz while adding to…
Market Leader in a Growing Industry Trading at 6x EBIT
Stride operates 89 virtual and blended public K-12 schools in 31 states and trades at 6x EBIT after an operational setback.
Lincoln Post: NFLX and Theaters, FCNCA Earnings
Netflix’s proposed Warner Bros. acquisition could preserve or expand theatrical releases, supporting cinema chains such as Cinemark and…
LandBridge: It’s the Pore Space Stupid!
LandBridge’s produced-water pore-space royalties, 69% of Q3 2025 revenue, offer durable value beyond its volatile Permian data-center…
Pool Corporation "Undisputed Industry Leader"
Pool Corporation derives 65% of sales from maintenance and repair, while scale and acquisitions support a 40-50% share of pool supplies.
Telephone and Data Systems (TDS): The New TDS
Telephone and Data Systems, a $4.8 billion telecom holding company, is being reassessed after a decade of convoluted investor messaging.
Contrarian Low-Cost Producer at a 15% FCF Yield + Excess Real Estate
California Resources (CRC) trades at a 15% FCF yield, owns roughly $80 per share of proven reserves and acquired Berry Petroleum at a steep…
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