Research Roundup Vol. LIV
Research Roundup covers AAON's data-center cooling ramp, Knife River's margin recovery, ChronoScale's Microsoft-backed neocloud buildout and Bitdeer's shift from bitcoin mining to AI…
Wednesday, September 30, 2026
Back to today 
From X
John_Hempton on X
@SilverBacked737 @ishedtruth444 I know you were not talking to me. But I hope you buy more $AMC anyway.
John_Hempton on X
@SilverBacked737 @ishedtruth444 I am not mad about you buying $AMC. I have tried to encourage it. Please buy more.
Deep Sail Capital on X
@P_Remarks $THEON $DLO $TOI.NE
SG on X
Happy $MKTW dividend day for those who celebrate ( $PAGS $EVC too)
SG on X
@grok compare the revenue $RGTI has earned ytd with the proceeds of $RGTI insider stock sales ytd
Myles on X
@ArgonathCapital Yeah Nice Info services and Misto (paired with a $GOLF short) are large positions for me.
Deep Sail Capital on X
Short Report Review: $EQPT - Blue Orca @blueorcainvest https://t.co/YigE14K6Rw
Investor Letters
All letters- Quercus Fund 2026 (Jan-Aug) FCODF $4.7B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 KXS $3.4BMDA $4.8B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 ALM $3.8BJXN $8.8B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.3B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 9301 $3.2B
- Smead Capital Management 2Q26 SCR $5.8BTVE $4.4B
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX
Monte Investments upgrades Karman Holdings to Buy with a $133 target after a 65% drawdown, citing 28.83x EV/aEBITDA and governance changes.
Applied Optoelectronics: The Biggest Growth Phase Starts Now
Applied Optoelectronics targets $1.1 billion in 2026 revenue as 800G and 1.6T data-center demand drives capacity expansion, despite…
Infinity Curve 2 clicks
Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)
Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…
QuantumScape: Sell The Stock That Has No Revenue And No Factory Until 2029
QuantumScape faces a 2029 PowerCo plant delay, reduced partner commitments and no revenue, with a scenario-weighted $2.12 per-share…
Bears of Wall Street 
On’s Premium Playbook
On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…
Shake Shack: The Perfect Storm For A 2027 Breakout
Shake Shack combines 23% restaurant-level margins, 703 locations and positive free cash flow; the bullish thesis targets $4 billion…
Security Analysis 1 click
An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren
NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million…
Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage
Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…
Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)
AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…
MOH · long Molina Healthcare
Molina Healthcare faces unprecedented Medicaid managed-care cost inflation and margin compression after its shares declined since October…
Floor & Decor: 2Q26 Business Update
Floor & Decor’s same-store sales improved to minus 2%, while $45 million of tariff refunds lifted second-quarter gross profit and operating…
Floor & Decor 2Q26 Business Update: Encouraging Same Store Sales Trends
Floor & Decor’s same-store sales improved to minus 2% in 2Q26, while $45 million of tariff refunds lifted profit and funded pricing,…
“The tip of the iceberg.”
Stevanato's 8% organic Q2 growth and 21% adjusted EBITDA growth came with a modest FY 2026 guidance lift after the Balda divestiture.
[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND
Builders FirstSource reported Q2 2026 sales down 9% to $3.9 billion as weak housing demand and aggressive competitor pricing cut EBITDA…
WD #352: Situational Awareness, Warsh, ICE/MKTX, Overvalued EM Currencies
ICE's purchase of MarketAxess spotlights takeout risk for value stocks, while the Situational Awareness blow-up, Kevin Warsh's FOMC presser…
Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots
Floor & Decor held 2026 guidance after a 2Q beat, with comps improving through June; tariff refunds lifted margins and may fund pricing…
Hermès, EXLService, Sika - Q2'26 Earnings
Hermès faces leather-volume and margin risk, EXLService beats and raises despite AI concerns, and Sika gains share while trading at 22…
Quick Value #324 - Resideo + ADI Global
Resideo will spin off lower-margin ADI Global distribution after ending its $1.59 billion Honeywell indemnity, separating manufacturing and…
Caris Life Sciences: The Quiet Founder Trying to Win the Holy Grail of Oncology
Caris Life Sciences, CAI, uses AI-trained molecular oncology data for therapy selection and multi-cancer early detection, with 97% of…
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