Monday, September 28, 2026

Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)

Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with under 1x leverage.

THRM $1.6BMOD $9.7B

Value Don't Lie Sep 28 4 clicks

Sep 27 BHF $2.9B

An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren

Mispriced Assets 2 clicks

Sep 27 BPRE $1.8B

One Hour Analysis: What would it take to break $BPRE's NAV?

Investing 501 5 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Apr 22 3 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@CalgaryLeveen @cfrischer1 @sScCrRaAbBLLeE 4/x) i'd bet RFID would drop their objections to $NN's plan in exchange for licensed status in 907-918 (or 908-917Mhz). Seems like a fair compromise to provide terrestrial backup to GPS in the U.S. for free.

@LaughingH20Cap Apr 22 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

@CalgaryLeveen @cfrischer1 @sScCrRaAbBLLeE 2/x) remember $NN does not want 907-918 MHz. RFID signal is strongest at 915. Europe and China both use ~9 MHz for RFID, with restrictions on power and listen before talk. Why is 11 MHz that includes 915 (9 w/ blockers) not enough for RFID in the US? https://t.co/U9xEpNXW22

@LaughingH20Cap Apr 22 3 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@CalgaryLeveen @cfrischer1 @sScCrRaAbBLLeE 1/x) agree- same objectors in different clothing. We need real world tests to prove/disprove interference - $NN has been calling for those tests for 2 years b/c they know the answer. An NPRM can force testing. The real question though is why does RFID need 902-928 MHz?

@MultiplesCap Apr 22 1 click

Multiples Capital on X

If a regional "racino" is worth 9.4x, what is Bellagio and MGM Macao worth? $MGM

@MultiplesCap Apr 22 1 click

Multiples Capital on X

Interesting to see the recent price action in $MGM, is the market finally waking up to the massive valuation gap? Trading at ~6.0x EV/EBITDAR (using standard rent multiples) Private Reality: The Northfield Park exit closed at a ~9.4x implied EBITDAR multiple Sector Anchor: Current buyout offers for $CZR setting a peer floor at ~9.5x. Management is effectively shorting this spread, divesting regional assets at 9x+ and buying back it's own shares, outstanding shares down 50% over last 5 years. #ubercannibal

@DOMOCAPITAL Apr 22 1 click

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Sidoti raises $PBI price target to $20: https://t.co/d1B7rmSGYC

@mavix_leon Apr 22 3 clicks

mavix on X

Evolution $EVO Q1 '26 results: ▫️Revenues -1.5% *Live Casino -3.2% *RNG +8.2% ▫️EBITDA -1.9% ▫️EBITDA margin of 65.4% (vs. 65.6%) ▫️Profit -1.1% ▫️EPS +2.1% ▫️OCF -4.3% ▫️Europe decline continues die to regulation, while other regions show good progress https://t.co/0HkW1HexzA

@LittleOwlRes Apr 21 1 click

Little Owl Research on X

Fantastic report. Huge value proposition for POS originators, very scalable. RBDT could become a meaningful part of the business (cherry on top), but its comparatively more difficult to underwrite. I’m happy to hold my shares just for the RPP growth potential. Long $VBNK https://t.co/8DuwRpY8gt

Sezzle: The Market Is Underestimating This High-Growth Fintech

Sezzle’s Q2 2026 revenue rose 51.7% and adjusted net income 58.4%, while revenue per GMV reached 11.7% as Premium subscriptions lifted…

SEZL $3.8B

Blake Winiecki Sep 27 1 click

VersaBank: The Bank Behind the Bank – How a Canadian Branchless Pioneer Wants to Make Asset-Backed Securities Obsolete

VersaBank uses cash holdbacks and put-backs to buy point-of-sale loan cash flows, with C$7 billion in assets and AI-enabled real-time…

VBNK $722M

Substack von Philipp Sep 26 7 clicks

Updates

FGPR remains on track, PRTH's management buyout is set at $8.05, and microcap RAVE is described as cheap.

PRTH $642M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Sep 25 13 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million…

PTON $2.2B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 25 6 clicks

(Public) Mach Natural Resources - A Buying Opportunity

Mach Natural Resources' Q2 distributable cash fell to $60.1 million as development spending rose, prompting a distribution cut; its units…

MNR $1.8B

HFI Research Sep 25 5 clicks

Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…

OUST $3.2B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 25 8 clicks

Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)

AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…

AAON $7.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 25 9 clicks

Vista Energy: The Cash Engine Is On

Vista Energy's Q2 2026 production rose 32% and revenue 89% as Vaca Muerta acquisitions expand its Argentine export platform and cash…

VIST $7.5B

Alan Galecki Sep 25 6 clicks

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

FLY $3.8B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 24 17 clicks

Birkenstock: Sector-Leading Growth At An Attractive Valuation

Birkenstock targets 13–15% annual revenue growth through FY2028, driven by APAC expansion and closed-toe footwear, while trading at 13.44…

BIRK $5.6B

Roman Vitasek Sep 24 4 clicks

SFIX · long

Stitch Fix INC

Stitch Fix’s 2017 IPO rested on overly ambitious long-term growth expectations and an unrealistic definition of its addressable market.

SFIX $353M

Value Investors Club Jun 30 2 clicks

Warrior Met Coal: A Volume Story Still Priced Like A Coal Price Bet

Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek ramp lifted Q2 sales to 3.7 million tons and cut unit costs to $92.53 per ton, shifting earnings growth…

HCC $4.9B

Capital Connoisseur Sep 27 1 click

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

ZIM $3.6B

Calvin Blissett Sep 23 16 clicks

Turning Point Brands: The Market Is Now Overly Concerned (Rating Upgrade)

Turning Point Brands reaffirmed 2026 guidance after a CEO change, while ALP and FRE expansion has compressed margins through marketing and…

TPB $1.1B

Caffital Research Sep 23 2 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

ONDS $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 23 5 clicks

New Era Energy & Digital: 207 MW Deal Could Unlock 1.4 GW AI Giant

New Era Energy & Digital secured a 20-year Vistra power deal for 200 to 207 MW, reducing Phase 1 risk for its planned 1.4 GW West Texas AI…

NUAI $589M

Ryan Canady Sep 23 1 click

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

FOUR $3B

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 22 22 clicks

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

VSH $5.6B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 22 7 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII

Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…

FLY $3.8B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 22 10 clicks

Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead

Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…

CLBT $2.9B

Aurelion Research Sep 22 10 clicks

Monday, September 28, 2026

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