TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million refinancing, and Bob Chapek’s account of Disney succession.
Friday, September 25, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Lee Roach on X
$CXW got a new President/CEO today. https://t.co/7WpulDuHkg
A Capital on X
@srg444 Me looking at $MGM trading at $32 when Osaka asset is worth 💰 https://t.co/jvVZZ37LP0
Fierce_beast on X
@WaterworldCapi1 $fds decent short, very big and liquid, not showing deterioration yet, still an opportunity to short into earnings revisions (if they happen)
A Capital on X
What are the most interesting “rumored deal” or “strategic alternatives” trades today? I’ll start: $FUN - 9/22, Jana pushing for sale $ONT - 8/5, strategic review $VITL - 9/17, rumored take private $CGX.CN - 9/23, strategic review/advisors hired $NFG - 9/16, strategic review (Seneca E&P assets)
Negligible Capital on X
There was a small part of me that thought $CROX was going to rip yesterday after Alex Wang wore them at Meta Connect. Didn't happen. Makes me feel a little better about market froth levels https://t.co/YicRcUsEcM
⚽️📡 on X
This is pretty interesting given betaville doubled down this week on the ft report from last month that NXPI was buying $AMBA https://t.co/sTFBugyWZx
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 ALM $3.8BJXN $8.8B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 AUTO $4.6BKXS $3.4B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.3B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 9301 $3.2B
- Broyhill Asset Management second quarter MIDD $4.7BSHC $5.2B
- Artisan Partners Q2 2026 CIGI $4.7BCLBT $2.8B
Vista Energy: The Cash Engine Is On
Vista Energy's Q2 2026 production rose 32% and revenue 89% as Vaca Muerta acquisitions expand its Argentine export platform and cash…
Alan Galecki 5 clicks
Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update
Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…
Birkenstock: Sector-Leading Growth At An Attractive Valuation
Birkenstock targets 13–15% annual revenue growth through FY2028, driven by APAC expansion and closed-toe footwear, while trading at 13.44…
Roman Vitasek 4 clicks
A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t
ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…
Research Roundup Vol. LIII
Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services: Strategic Crossroads - Acquisition Or Dividend Bonanza Ahead
ZIM faces Israeli review of Hapag-Lloyd’s $35-per-share bid, with $2.46 billion cash and elevated transpacific rates supporting potential…
Melissa Tucker 
$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital
Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…
Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH
Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…
Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead
Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…
Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata
Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…
HHH · long Howard Hughes Holdings INC
Howard Hughes Holdings is pitched as a long in the $60s, with a near-term $90 target and a projected 20%+ IRR.
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Seeking Alpha 42 of 203
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catechwilliams
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Chris Camillo
Clark Square Capital
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Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
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Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
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marginofdanger
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Voss Capital
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