Friday, September 25, 2026

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million refinancing, and Bob Chapek’s account of Disney succession.

PTON $2.2B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 25 5 clicks

Sep 25 OUST $2.9B

Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Cestrian Capital Research 7 clicks

Sep 25 AAON $6.8B

Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)

Monte Independent Investment Research 8 clicks

From X

@leevalueroach Sep 25 5 clicks

Lee Roach on X

$CXW got a new President/CEO today. https://t.co/7WpulDuHkg

@ACapitalLP Sep 25 8 clicks

A Capital on X

@srg444 Me looking at $MGM trading at $32 when Osaka asset is worth 💰 https://t.co/jvVZZ37LP0

@KEDM_COM Sep 25 3 clicks

KEDM.com on X

Buckley Capital @buckleycapital exited Dave after a 100%+ rally from its average cost — on valuation, despite calling it a great business — and substantially cut Root. The proceeds went to Celsius $CELH and Light & Wonder $LNW.AU, where the Fund calls the street's disbelief in management's $2.0bn 2028 adjusted EBITDA target irrational, implying 150%+ upside.

@Fierce__beast Sep 25 6 clicks

Fierce_beast on X

@WaterworldCapi1 $fds decent short, very big and liquid, not showing deterioration yet, still an opportunity to short into earnings revisions (if they happen)

@ACapitalLP Sep 25 1 click

A Capital on X

What are the most interesting “rumored deal” or “strategic alternatives” trades today? I’ll start: $FUN - 9/22, Jana pushing for sale $ONT - 8/5, strategic review $VITL - 9/17, rumored take private $CGX.CN - 9/23, strategic review/advisors hired $NFG - 9/16, strategic review (Seneca E&P assets)

@negligible_cap Sep 25 3 clicks

Negligible Capital on X

There was a small part of me that thought $CROX was going to rip yesterday after Alex Wang wore them at Meta Connect. Didn't happen. Makes me feel a little better about market froth levels https://t.co/YicRcUsEcM

@KEDM_COM Sep 25 2 clicks

KEDM.com on X

Turtle Creek tripled its shares in Colliers $CIGI, its largest detractor of 2026, taking it from a below-average weight to a top-five holding after a near-50% fall. It blames multiple compression rather than earnings, and the AI-disruption trade rather than the business: brokers still meet clients about office space, and human engineers still visit buildings and construction sites. Founder-CEO Jay Hennick, already a 12%+ owner, bought over $55m of stock on the open market during the decline.

@pennycheck Sep 25 2 clicks

⚽️📡 on X

This is pretty interesting given betaville doubled down this week on the ft report from last month that NXPI was buying $AMBA https://t.co/sTFBugyWZx

Vista Energy: The Cash Engine Is On

Vista Energy's Q2 2026 production rose 32% and revenue 89% as Vaca Muerta acquisitions expand its Argentine export platform and cash…

VIST $7.1B

Alan Galecki Sep 25 5 clicks

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 24 16 clicks

Birkenstock: Sector-Leading Growth At An Attractive Valuation

Birkenstock targets 13–15% annual revenue growth through FY2028, driven by APAC expansion and closed-toe footwear, while trading at 13.44…

BIRK $5.3B

Roman Vitasek Sep 24 4 clicks

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

ZIM $3.5B

Calvin Blissett Sep 23 15 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

ONDS $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 23 4 clicks

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services: Strategic Crossroads - Acquisition Or Dividend Bonanza Ahead

ZIM faces Israeli review of Hapag-Lloyd’s $35-per-share bid, with $2.46 billion cash and elevated transpacific rates supporting potential…

ZIM $3.5B

Melissa Tucker Sep 23

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 22 21 clicks

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

VSH $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 22 6 clicks

Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead

Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…

CLBT $2.8B

Aurelion Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata

Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…

INOD $2.4B

Hunterbrook Sep 22 12 clicks

OKLO · short

Oklo INC

Oklo is framed as a portfolio basket short and a concept company that could become a compounding short.

OKLO $6.7B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)

Wingstop generates most of its $697 million revenue from franchise royalties across a 3,153-restaurant, 98%-franchised system while…

WING $2.9B

Bearhold Research Jun 28 2 clicks

Tidewater (TDW): a first-pass look

Tidewater’s $22,600 average day rate and $598 million FY2025 EBITDA rest on an aging OSV fleet, scant newbuilds and fleet acquisitions…

TDW $4B

Stock Thoughts Jun 27

Weekend Digest #346 (AVAL, SpaceX QQQ & Passive Indexing, CBOE Vs. Kalshi)

Grupo Aval has doubled from entry, with further upside tied to Colombia’s new government.

AVAL $5.7B

Ian’s Insider Corner Jun 15 1 click

Quick Value #318 - Campbell's (CPB)

Campbell's trades at 10-11x earnings and a 7% yield after shares fell over 50%, while 4x leverage, weaker volumes and margin pressure…

CPB $5.9B

Value Don't Lie Jun 15

Everyone Bought the Shovels

Element Solutions sells consumable chipmaking chemistry, with a $75 target from $44 based on an AI-driven semiconductor-materials rerating.

ESI $9.1B

Mispriced Assets Jun 15

ASR: Sureste Airports Soaring To 50%+ Upside, Market Is Missing The New Assets

Sureste Airports’ 20-airport Motiva acquisition and U.S. concessions are set to lift EBITDA, while shares trade at 7x forward EBITDA.

ASR $6.4B

Ian’s Insider Corner Jun 14

A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse

A software powerhouse posts a record quarter while trading at a 52-week low, raising a valuation disconnect between its business model and…

CALX $2.2B

The Value Road Jun 12 5 clicks

The Bottleneck Was Never the Finding

Tenable’s $27 valuation reflects fears that AI commoditizes vulnerability scanning, while the thesis says AI increases demand for…

TENB $4B

Mispriced Assets Jun 9

MSGS at a Glaring Discount so GO KNICKS GO!

MSGS, owner of the Knicks and Rangers, filed a Form 10 to explore a spinoff as comparable franchise sales support an $11 billion valuation.

MSGS $9.9B

Open Insights Jun 5

Friday, September 25, 2026

Lee Roach on X

A Capital on X

KEDM.com on X

Fierce_beast on X

A Capital on X

Negligible Capital on X

KEDM.com on X

⚽️📡 on X

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