Thursday, September 24, 2026

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for Blue Ghost, Elytra and Eclipse.

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 24 16 clicks

Sep 23 ZIM $3.5B

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

Calvin Blissett 15 clicks

Sep 23 ONDS $4.3B

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Monte Independent Investment Research 4 clicks

From X

@TimyanBankAlert Sep 24

Timyan Bank Alert on X

@vapreps @DarkfireCapital There were many opportunities to sell $BORT too early. https://t.co/PHXDkTM888

@TimyanBankAlert Sep 24

Timyan Bank Alert on X

@vapreps Lyn Hayth did a fine job turning $BORT after the GR and Michelle Austin has continued the tradition.

@BarbarianCap Sep 24

Barbarian Capital on X

"an unusual turn of events that comes just after People withdrew its own bid to buy the casino and resort company" MGM Resorts Eyeing Bid for Barry Diller’s People Incorporated $MGM https://t.co/FjkNJ0r1PJ

@stockgutter Sep 24

SG on X

$DUOL as if the prior insider sales this month were not enough, Luis von Ahn just filed a form 144 revealing another $6.8m in sales. https://t.co/OMjQfsw4qd

@stockgutter Sep 24

SG on X

$NKTR $90m verdict per Law360. Will likely disappoint bulls. https://t.co/vMP6m69Eqk

@ActAccordingly Sep 24 2 clicks

PAA Research on X

All trading below their 200-day moving averages right now: - Dow transports ($DJT) - Industrials $XLI - Retail $XRT - $GS Right at the 200-day MA - $KRE. $RUT seems destined to test the 200-day. Normal late September action, but it doesn't feel good. I guess we're setting the state for some golden crosses come late October/November or we're going lower. $MAGS carrying the day like 2024 when we dreamed of lower deficits and lower rates....

@Adam_Wyden Sep 24 1 click

Adam D. Wyden on X

Another interesting SOTP play. Love my topo atmos. $DBI https://t.co/qDGIBEqrIl

@Fierce__beast Sep 24 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

I am short $INMD. The stock will go lower i think if the business continues to deteriorate. Unfortunately, the guidance changes and results have caused me to essentially lose a lot of trust in anything the management says. I have been following this company for years. Sparing you the details, my view is not that I think fair value is significantly lower, but rather that there is just very small chances it recovers its core business. I think the most likely case is that it languishes and underperforms the market over time. Short interest collapsed to low single digits after the deal was announced and it remained low even after the deal ended last week.

New Era Energy & Digital: 207 MW Deal Could Unlock 1.4 GW AI Giant

New Era Energy & Digital secured a 20-year Vistra power deal for 200 to 207 MW, reducing Phase 1 risk for its planned 1.4 GW West Texas AI…

NUAI $670M

Ryan Canady Sep 23

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 22 21 clicks

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

VSH $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 22 6 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII

Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead

Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…

CLBT $2.8B

Aurelion Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata

Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…

INOD $2.4B

Hunterbrook Sep 22 12 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Rithm Capital, Sterling Infrastructure, Corning And More

Undercovered Dozen spotlights 12 lesser-covered stocks, including Rithm Capital, Sterling Infrastructure and Corning.

RITM $5B

The Undercovered Dozen Sep 22

Emeth Value Capital’s Andrew Carreon on Shift4 ($FOUR)

Shift4 trades at 6.5 times EBITDA despite 11% organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases reaching a $400 million run rate as…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 22 4 clicks

Copart's Return To Growth Starts Now: Adair's $1.9B Bet On ACV Auctions

Copart’s $1.9 billion ACV Auctions acquisition targets renewed growth, with EPS accretion expected by fiscal 2028 as insurance…

ACVA $1.8B

Robert J. Lake Sep 22 2 clicks

Quick Value #331 - Corteva / Vylor Spin-Off

Corteva will spin off its Pioneer seed business, Vylor, on October 1, leaving crop protection RemainCo that could trade at 6.5-8.5x 2026…

CTVA $8.4B

Value Don't Lie Sep 21 5 clicks

HGV · long

Hilton Grand Vacations

Hilton Grand Vacations faces an inflection point in profitability growth and free cash flow generation.

HGV $2.7B

Value Investors Club May 29

One More for the Offshore Basket: An Orphaned Microcap Driller

Offshore drillers have fallen 25-30% despite floater dayrates above $500,000 and utilization in the high-80% to low-90% range.

TDW $4BVAL $5.4B

Raging Bull Investments Oct 24 1 click

Actionable Ideas Update - 08/20/2024

Cipher Pharmaceuticals’ $89.5 million Natroba acquisition doubles EBITDA to about $24 million and adds U.S.

CPHRF $243M

Raging Bull Investments Aug 20

ALTO- ALTO ingredients

ALTO Ingredients trades near half of book value after plant upgrades and lower corn prices set up a recovery in crush margins and cash flow.

ALTO $286M

Sylence Capital Aug 15 1 click

Cronos Group Update: A multi-bagger in the making?

Cronos Group's Q2 net revenue rose 46% to $27.8 million as Canadian cannabis volumes and market share grew, while its cash balance remained…

CRON $1.2BOGI $142M

Raging Bull Investments Aug 14

Notes and Updates

ECIP recipient banks could repurchase Treasury preferred shares at steep discounts, potentially lifting book value, while Hawaiian Electric…

HE $1.6BUBAB $194M

Exploring with Alluvial Capital Aug 14

Inflecting Drone Company w/ Near-Term (+300% vs. -30%) Binary Event ($RCAT)

Red Cat’s Teal Drones is one of two remaining candidates for a $600 million to $1 billion-plus U.S.

RCAT $988M

Multibagger Monitor Jul 10 3 clicks

One Hour Analysis: Monarch Casino & Resort ($MCRI) What’s Not to Like? Debt Free, Shareholder Friendly, Free Cash Flowing Machine.

Monarch Casino trades at 7.2 times EBITDA with net cash, completed property upgrades and projected annual free cash flow of $120 million to…

MCRI $2.1B

Investing 501 Jun 20

UNPRECEDENTED TURNOVER OF CEOs IN THE RESTAURANT INDUSTRY – WHAT’S IT ALL ABOUT?

Restaurant chains replaced 21 CEOs since 2021, as wage inflation, delivery, digital ordering and at-home competition reshape leadership…

WEN $1.2BNDLS $81M

Investing 501 Jun 5

10x or Bust? Pure Play Fighting GLP-1 Side Effects ($IBIO)

IBio’s $20 million, debt-free valuation is a high-risk bet that it can partner a myostatin inhibitor for GLP-1-related muscle loss before…

IBIO $76M

Multibagger Monitor Jun 3 1 click

Thursday, September 24, 2026

Timyan Bank Alert on X

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