Thursday, September 24, 2026

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for Blue Ghost, Elytra and Eclipse.

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 24 16 clicks

Sep 23 ZIM $3.5B

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

Calvin Blissett 15 clicks

Sep 23 ONDS $4.3B

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Monte Independent Investment Research 4 clicks

From X

@P_Remarks Sep 22 3 clicks

Prepared Remarks on X

$MTCH bull case https://t.co/8iJYHVs7dl

@ClarkSquareCap Sep 22 1 click

Clark Square Capital on X

@valuedontlie $LUXE -- turnaround starting to bear fruit. Still egregiously cheap. https://t.co/oLMJf1s37V

@DOMOCAPITAL Sep 22

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

What makes $MNRO even more interesting is that short interest is ~22.5% of shares outstanding and 41% of the float as not only does Icahn have ~32% of shares tied up, but Gabelli (GAMCO) is also involved. This is probably why cost to borrow is so cheap. Shorts are betting on a dividend cut, but completely ignoring the fact that Icahn/Gabelli and others have 40%+ of the shares. Icahn is now flush with cash from the sale of Pep Boys to Mavis. He can either offer similar terms for $MNRO and buy the remaining shares for $25/share and come away with a superior asset vs Pep Boys or he can push for a sale of the entire company at a similar price or even more. Poison pill expires November 6th... going to get interesting. If there ends up being a proxy battle then all of these shares would have to be called back which would significantly increase short borrowing costs....

@TheBenSchmark Sep 22

JabroniCoin.USD on X

If Bernstein’s capex numbers for CXMT are anywhere in the ballpark, semicap ought to do well. At this point $ACMR seems to be still be a cheap hedge on memory https://t.co/b4lAZogFcJ https://t.co/kShCjd5m9x

@valuedontlie Sep 22

Colin King on X

$MDT $MMED exchange offer an interesting special sit… Own shares of MDT and swap for MMED at 7% discount Odd lot provision for 99 shares held too High enough share price to be worthwhile ($90+ MDT price works out to $600+ profit in a few weeks time)

@majgeoinvesting Sep 22 2 clicks

Maj Soueidan on X

Here’s a video from $RFIL website on how their DAC (direct air cooling) product works in large enclosures. In theory, $PSIX might be an interesting channel partner if they have an “at the edge” enclosure presence. DAC is not a hyperscaler solution, but the “edge”is heating up. https://t.co/h8EScDrBlo

@TheBenSchmark Sep 22

JabroniCoin.USD on X

The franchisee in bankruptcy also pointed to the reduced effectiveness of Wendy’s brand marketing and national promotional strategies. $WEN they gonna stop trian? https://t.co/oFWD9DSqud https://t.co/WyL5iMVgs8

@ACapitalLP Sep 22 5 clicks

A Capital on X

Anyone looking at $BBWI as a potential activist-driven pre-deal? Barington pushing for buybacks / strategic alternatives, ~$4bn market cap, ~$1.2bn EBITDA and trading ~5-6x EV/EBITDA. Real FCF business despite the top-line issues. What does this get taken out for if someone can underwrite a turnaround? Cc: Sycamore

New Era Energy & Digital: 207 MW Deal Could Unlock 1.4 GW AI Giant

New Era Energy & Digital secured a 20-year Vistra power deal for 200 to 207 MW, reducing Phase 1 risk for its planned 1.4 GW West Texas AI…

NUAI $670M

Ryan Canady Sep 23

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 22 21 clicks

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

VSH $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 22 6 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII

Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…

FLY $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead

Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…

CLBT $2.8B

Aurelion Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata

Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…

INOD $2.4B

Hunterbrook Sep 22 12 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Rithm Capital, Sterling Infrastructure, Corning And More

Undercovered Dozen spotlights 12 lesser-covered stocks, including Rithm Capital, Sterling Infrastructure and Corning.

RITM $5B

The Undercovered Dozen Sep 22

Emeth Value Capital’s Andrew Carreon on Shift4 ($FOUR)

Shift4 trades at 6.5 times EBITDA despite 11% organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases reaching a $400 million run rate as…

FOUR $2.9B

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 22 4 clicks

Copart's Return To Growth Starts Now: Adair's $1.9B Bet On ACV Auctions

Copart’s $1.9 billion ACV Auctions acquisition targets renewed growth, with EPS accretion expected by fiscal 2028 as insurance…

ACVA $1.8B

Robert J. Lake Sep 22 2 clicks

Quick Value #331 - Corteva / Vylor Spin-Off

Corteva will spin off its Pioneer seed business, Vylor, on October 1, leaving crop protection RemainCo that could trade at 6.5-8.5x 2026…

CTVA $8.4B

Value Don't Lie Sep 21 5 clicks

GLIBA · long

Liberty Capital CORP

Liberty Capital Corp, GLIBA, is pitched long following its July 2025 spinoff from Liberty Broadband.

GLIBA $924M

Value Investors Club Jun 26 2 clicks

Kronos Worldwide: Benefiting From Sulfur Shortage

Kronos Worldwide’s 27% inventory reduction added $120 million in cash inflows as chloride-based TiO₂ demand rises amid a sulfur shortage.

KRO $895M

Given Mahlangu Sep 23

[CoStar] Homes are different

CoStar spent more than $1 billion building Homes.com to challenge Zillow, betting seller-agent leads, proprietary listing content and…

ZG $6.2B

scuttleblurb Sep 21 4 clicks

ARKO. 3x Owner’s Earnings multiple, 21% ROCE, Founders involved and large shareholders, Stake in a public company>market cap. Superb Capital Allocators

ARKO trades at 3 times estimated 2025 owner’s earnings, while its 73.6% APC stake exceeds its $473 million market cap.

ARKO $453M

Calvin Blissett Sep 21 4 clicks

I Tested Three Cannibals Against Dillard’s. I Bought Two. (CROX, CNX, GPI)

Crocs, CNX and Group 1 are tested against Dillard’s buyback-driven share-count reduction, with Group 1 leading and CNX’s convertible notes…

CROX $5.7BCNX $4.7B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 20 2 clicks

Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO

Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.

MTN $5.1BGEO $4B

Ian’s Insider Corner Sep 20 9 clicks

🍔New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - Meritage Hospitality Group Inc.🍔

Meritage Hospitality, a 320-unit Wendy’s franchisee, filed Chapter 11 amid $137 million of bank debt, $391 million of leases and a…

WEN $1.2B

PETITION Sep 20 3 clicks

Bumble, 2x Owner’s Earnings. Sentiment is abysmal, the founder is back. The stock could easily be a multibagger.

Bumble trades at roughly 2x owner’s earnings and 4.76x enterprise value, with Whitney Wolfe Herd’s return central to a rerating case.

BMBL $335M

Calvin Blissett Sep 20 4 clicks

Who Really Runs Crocs? The Autopsy.

Crocs CEO Andrew Rees turned around the core brand, then borrowed $2 billion for HEYDUDE, whose $737 million write-down followed wholesale…

CROX $5.7B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 19 5 clicks

Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop

Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…

KRMN $4.3B

Dhierin Bechai Sep 19 1 click

Thursday, September 24, 2026

Prepared Remarks on X

Clark Square Capital on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Colin King on X

Maj Soueidan on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

A Capital on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 93

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 41 of 198

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors