$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital
Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant additions.
Tuesday, September 22, 2026
Back to today 
From X
SG on X
$ACHR buying $BA 's Wisk aero. Huge move in the eVTOL space. https://t.co/vHQ9NWLUF1
Timyan Bank Alert on X
HBT Financial to acquire Tri-County Financial in $204.6M deal $HBT $TYFG https://t.co/27xbZI2Ai5
Ian Bezek on X
@House_Stark12 Think again. Arguably the only thing $OPEN is good at is issuing new stock. https://t.co/oUX7I8I2kY
Ian Bezek on X
Embarrassing press release. $OPEN Revenues fell 44% year-over-year. And they are still budgeting $110 million for SBC in Q3 alone. Absolutely shameful behavior. https://t.co/7vZtlVVy2j
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Conference Chatter: NBT Bancorp $NBTB eyes bank M&A; Community Financial seeks insurance opportunities | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/L1NY5yUkBc
SG on X
$SB #sugar what a day! https://t.co/kWAiFObTRd https://t.co/zeODI0xbe5
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Timna on $CENX “early innings of broader FCF rebound.” “Hugely undervalued” at 1.5x their ‘27 EBITDA. $83 PT at 4x! Direction of numbers up, delta to street up, and lots of multiple rerate room imho https://t.co/8wkrmh5S83
JabroniCoin.USD on X
GS on $ACMR beat and 2026 raise. PT $164 2027 numbers and memory contribution (CXMT matter more) imho https://t.co/XXKNyhL8Gg
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 DR0 $448MALM $3.9B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 079940 $393MVVVNF $1.6B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $969MVNP $2.1B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2BCMCX $2.5B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.2B
- Forager Funds Management July 2026 BVS $960M
- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 082920 $998MVVVNF $1.6B
Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead
Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…
Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata
Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…
Undercovered Dozen: Rithm Capital, Sterling Infrastructure, Corning And More
Undercovered Dozen spotlights 12 lesser-covered stocks, including Rithm Capital, Sterling Infrastructure and Corning.
The Undercovered Dozen 
Emeth Value Capital’s Andrew Carreon on Shift4 ($FOUR)
Shift4 trades at 6.5 times EBITDA despite 11% organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases reaching a $400 million run rate as…
Copart's Return To Growth Starts Now: Adair's $1.9B Bet On ACV Auctions
Copart’s $1.9 billion ACV Auctions acquisition targets renewed growth, with EPS accretion expected by fiscal 2028 as insurance…
Robert J. Lake 2 clicks
Quick Value #331 - Corteva / Vylor Spin-Off
Corteva will spin off its Pioneer seed business, Vylor, on October 1, leaving crop protection RemainCo that could trade at 6.5-8.5x 2026…
[CoStar] Homes are different
CoStar spent more than $1 billion building Homes.com to challenge Zillow, betting seller-agent leads, proprietary listing content and…
ARKO. 3x Owner’s Earnings multiple, 21% ROCE, Founders involved and large shareholders, Stake in a public company>market cap. Superb Capital Allocators
ARKO trades at 3 times estimated 2025 owner’s earnings, while its 73.6% APC stake exceeds its $473 million market cap.
Bioventus: Cash Flow Anchors The Bull Case Beyond A Potential Sale
Bioventus uses established-product cash flow to cut debt and fund launches, while its 2030 term loan extension and lower margin support its…
Equity Eagle 
I Tested Three Cannibals Against Dillard’s. I Bought Two. (CROX, CNX, GPI)
Crocs, CNX and Group 1 are tested against Dillard’s buyback-driven share-count reduction, with Group 1 leading and CNX’s convertible notes…
TRIP · long Tripadvisor INC
Tripadvisor (TRIP) is presented as a long idea.
Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
🍔New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - Meritage Hospitality Group Inc.🍔
Meritage Hospitality, a 320-unit Wendy’s franchisee, filed Chapter 11 amid $137 million of bank debt, $391 million of leases and a…
Bumble, 2x Owner’s Earnings. Sentiment is abysmal, the founder is back. The stock could easily be a multibagger.
Bumble trades at roughly 2x owner’s earnings and 4.76x enterprise value, with Whitney Wolfe Herd’s return central to a rerating case.
Who Really Runs Crocs? The Autopsy.
Crocs CEO Andrew Rees turned around the core brand, then borrowed $2 billion for HEYDUDE, whose $737 million write-down followed wholesale…
Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop
Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…
Dhierin Bechai 1 click
QNT: The 100× Question
Quantinuum's improving logical-qubit error correction, 1,504 successful-circuit benchmark score and paid deployments at RIKEN, BMW and…
Quantum Computing: Continuing To Evolve And Transition From The Lab To Commerce
Quantum Computing, QUBT, sold its first Dirac-3 system, added a second fab through acquisition and is building photonics capabilities…
Marc Gerstein 
Research & Analysis: Ultra Clean Holdings (NASDAQ: UCTT)
Ultra Clean Holdings targets a $4 billion annualized revenue run rate by H2 2027 through manufacturing expansion and a broader…
Anterix: The Spectrum Case Is Real, But The Chart And The Insiders Say Wait
Anterix’s 900 MHz spectrum could be worth $2.5–$7 billion, versus a $1.41 billion enterprise value, but insider selling and lumpy…
The Market Auditor 2 clicksPublications we follow
Every publication on this site, hand-picked.
Newsletters 93
- 310 Value’s Newsletter
- Absurdly Cheap Stocks
- Altay Capital - Mostly Value Investing
- AmsterdamStocks
- Aurelion Research
- Base Hit Investing
- Bearhold Research
- Bearstone
- Behind the Balance Sheet
- Best Anchor Stocks
- Bilbel's Substack
- Bison Insights
- Brevarthan Research
- Bristlemoon Capital
- Byron Street Research
- Calvin Blissett
- Cannibal Stocks
- Capital Employed
- Capitalist Letters
- Cassandra Unchained
- Citrini Research
- Cluseau Research
- D Invests
- Daniel Romero
- Deep Value Insights
- Doomberg
- Eagle Point Capital
- Easy Value
- Emerging Moats Research
- Exploring with Alluvial Capital
- Fabricated Knowledge
- First Strike Research
- Flyover Stocks
- Global Outperformers
- Guardian Research
- Hated Moats
- Healthy Stock Picks
- HFI Research
- Hidden Gems Investing
- Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter
- Ian’s Insider Corner
- Iggy on Investing Newsletter
- Inglenook Growth
- Invariant
- Investing 501
- Irrational Analysis
- John Hempton's Newsletter
- Kairos Research
- Kakashii's Materials
- Key Context by Tae Kim
- Latticework by MOI Global
- Lewistown Capital
- Maius Partners
- MBI Deep Dives
- Mispriced Assets
- Modern Value Investing
- Monte Independent Investment Research
- Multibagger Monitor
- Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter
- Net Interest
- Nongaap Investing
- Nugget Capital Partner's Substack
- Obscure Stocks
- Open Insights
- PETITION
- Phynvesting
- Raging Bull Investments
- Rebound Capital
- Rod’s Ruminations
- ROE The Boat
- scuttleblurb
- Sector Stories
- Singularity Research
- SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets
- Sleep Well Investments
- smallvalue.
- Speedwell Memos
- Stock Thoughts
- Substack von Philipp
- Sunday's Idea Brunch
- Sylence Capital
- The Curious Compounder
- The Mikro Kap
- The Oak Bloke
- The Value Road
- Treasure Hunting
- Triple S Special Situations Investing
- TSOH Investment Research
- Underlying Value
- Value Don't Lie
- WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate”
- XIX Value
- Yet Another Value Blog
Blogs 12
Seeking Alpha 43 of 207
Albert Anthony
Andres Veurink
Bay Area Ideas
Capital Connoisseur
Deep Value Investing- Dhierin Bechai
- Equity Eagle
Eudaemon Research
Fernanda Galvez Jalil
Henrik Alex
High Alpha Professor
Investor Overview
IWA Research
Jaden Mealy
Khaveen Investments
LL Insights
Long Player- Marc Gerstein
Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT
Miletus Research
Myriam Alvarez
Petri Dish Reports
Philip Wang
Prakhar Agarwal, CFA
PV Research- Robert J. Lake
Ron Ferrie
Sam Mancini
Sharon McArd
SiliconBytes Insights
Simple Investment Ideas
Sorrento Research
Stephen Ayers
Steven Fiorillo
The Alpha Analyst
The Asian Investor
The Bullionaire
The Curious Analyst
The J Thesis
The Supercycle Investor- The Undercovered Dozen
Value Capital Research
Vishal Jadaun
X accounts we follow
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
⚽️📡
💥PETITION💥
A Capital
Adam D. Wyden
AltayCap
Bank Reg Blog
Barbarian Capital
BDC
Bill Ackman
Broken Moats
BuccoCapital Bloke
Calvin Blissett
catechwilliams
Charles Frischer
Chris Camillo
Clark Square Capital
Cluseau Investments
Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Fajasy
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
Maj Soueidan
marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
Mikro Kap David
Multiples Capital
Myles
Nat Stewart
Negligible Capital
Odd Diligence
Odd Lot Arbitrageur
PAA Research
Pernas Research
Porter Collins
Prepared Remarks
Psyop Capital
Raging Capital Ventures
Red Dog Capital
RiverRoadPartners
Rusholme Capital
Sahil Khetpal
SG
Sheel Mohnot
Tim Eriksen
Timyan Bank Alert
Todd Wenning
ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1 Main Capital
- 1851 Capital
- Advisory Research
- Aegis Value Fund
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
- Alpine Capital Research
- Alpinum Investment Management AG
- Andrew Hill Investment Advisors
- Andvari Associates
- Angel Oak Capital Advisors
- Ariel Investments
- Aristotle Funds
- Artisan Partners
- Askeladden Capital
- Asset Value Investors Ltd
- Auxier Asset Management
- Azvalor Asset Management
- Baird Equity Asset Management
- Baron Funds
- Berkshire Hathaway
- Biglari Holdings
- Bireme Capital
- BlackRock
- Blue Tower Asset Management
- Brasada Capital
- Bretton Fund
- Brighton Jones
- Bristlemoon Capital
- Broadleaf Partners
- Broyhill Asset Management
- ByteTree
- Cambiar Investors
- Cantor Fitzgerald Asset Management
- Cedar Creek Partners
- Cedar Grove Capital Management
- Chautauqua Capital Management
- Chilton Capital Management
- Choice Equities
- Claret Asset Management
- Comus Investment
- Conestoga Capital Advisors
- Confluence Investment Management
- CrossingBridge Advisors
- Crossroads Capital, LLC
- Curreen Capital
- Davenport Asset Management
- Davis Advisors Global ADR
- Davis Advisors Large Cap Value
- Davis Opportunity Fund
- Davis Real Estate Fund
- Diranko Capital
- Distillate Capital
- Dodge & Cox Stock Fund
- DoubleLine
- East 72
- Easterly Asset Management
- EdgePoint Wealth Management
- Evolve Private Wealth
- FPA Crescent Fund
- Fairlight Capital
- Fairtree Asset Management
- Fenimore Asset Management
- Fiduciary Management
- Fiera Capital
- Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
- First Eagle Investments
- Forager Funds Management
- Frank Capital Partners
- Fred Alger Management, LLC
- Gabelli Funds
- Giverny Capital
- GoodHaven Capital Management
- Grandeur Peak Global Advisors
- GreenWood Investors
- Greenhaven Road Capital
- GreensKeeper Asset Management
- Greenwood Gearhart
- Grey Owl Capital Management
- Guinness Global Investors
- Halvio Capital
- Harding Loevner
- Harry Qelm Baabsman
- Hayden Capital
- Heartland Advisors
- Highwood Value Partners
- Hinde Group
- Hoisington Investment Management
- Hood River Capital Management
- Horizon Kinetics
- Hosking Partners
- Infuse Asset Management
- Intrepid Capital
- Invenomic Capital Management
- JM Finn
- Janus Henderson Investors
- Jemekk Capital Management
- Kathmandu Capital
- Kaydan Wealth Management
- Kennedy Capital Management
- Kernow Asset Management
- Kingdom Capital Advisors
- LVS Advisory
- Langdon Equity Partners
- Lansing Street Advisors
- Latitude Investment Management
- Laughing Water Capital
- Leonard Rickey Investment Advisors
- Lindsell Train Limited
- Long Cast Advisers
- Lyrical Asset Management
- Mar Vista Investment Partners
- Maran Capital Management
- Markel Group
- Marram Investment Management
- Massif Capital
- Matrix Asset Advisors
- Matthews Asia
- McIntyre Partnerships
- Merion Road Capital
- Miller Value Partners
- Moon Capital Management
- Muhlenkamp & Company
- Myrmikan Capital, LLC
- Nelnet
- Next Century Growth Investors
- Night Watch Investment Management
- Nightview Capital
- Nixon Capital
- North Sky Capital
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory
- Oakmark Funds
- Oldfield Partners
- Ophir Asset Management
- Optimist Fund
- Orange Investment Advisors
- Palm Harbour Capital
- Palm Valley Capital
- Patient Capital Management
- Peapack Private
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V.
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd.
- Pershing Square Holdings
- Pittenger & Anderson
- Polaris Capital Management
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities
- Polen Capital U.S. Opportunistic High Yield
- Praetorian Capital
- Protean Funds
- QuantStreet Capital
- Quercus Fund
- RF Capital Management
- RGA Investment Advisors
- Regency Wealth Management
- Rewey Asset Management
- Right Tail Capital
- RiverPark Funds
- Riverwater Partners
- Robinson Capital Management
- Rowan Street Capital
- Royce Investment Partners
- Saga Partners
- SaltLight Capital
- Sequoia Fund
- Shelton Capital Management
- Smead Capital Management
- Sound Shore Management
- Southeastern Asset Management
- SouthernSun Asset Management
- Stone Sentinel Capital
- Stonehearth Capital Management
- Summers Value Partners
- Sustainable Growth Advisers
- TIFF Investment Management
- The London Company
- Third Avenue Management
- Troy Asset Management
- Tweedy, Browne
- Upslope Capital Management
- Vision Capital Fund
- Vltava Fund
- Vulcan Value Partners
- Warden Capital
- Wealthspire Advisors
- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- White Brook Capital
- White Falcon Capital Management
Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
