Monday, September 21, 2026

Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO

Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.

MTN $4.9BGEO $4.1B

Ian’s Insider Corner Sep 20 7 clicks

Sep 20 WEN $1.3B

🍔New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - Meritage Hospitality Group Inc.🍔

PETITION 1 click

Sep 19 PFHO $13M

Pacific Health Care Organization - OTC:PFHO

Obscure Stocks 3 clicks

From X

@LittleOwlRes Apr 21

Little Owl Research on X

Burford’s value prop is high to these firms, and the significant supply spike puts them in a fantastic position to capitalize on the demand for cash. Additionally settlement with Argentine government seems highly likely at this point. Long $BUR

@catechwilliams Apr 9

catechwilliams on X

$NX 5% of COGS/ direct input costs sourced from China. Tariffs + zero pricing power, high fixed cost structure + only 30% GMs = 25-30% hit to EBIT. Add 4x leverage, declining volumes, ambitious mgmt guidance while integrating a large acquisition is a setup for a trainwreck.

@catechwilliams Mar 11 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$AVO calling out the fact that they have been overearning and margins reverting. “experienced normalization of our per unit avocado margins during in Q1.” Noted weak harvest anticipated in Mexcico. $CVGW will be even more adversely impacted by these factors.

@catechwilliams Mar 6

catechwilliams on X

$DAKT CEO departing, new high-quality CFO (temp) w very attractive secular tailwinds in digital display demand + activist involvement = increased likelihood of takeout. Optimal business for PE. Multiple logical strategics. +75% upside.

@catechwilliams Feb 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses

@catechwilliams Feb 11

catechwilliams on X

$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.

@CapitalVoss Jan 29 1 click

Voss Capital on X

The industrial logic for the $UNF and $CTAS merger captured in one picture. Both have been going to the Chipotle (or same strip center) near our office in Houston on the same days at the same time (the store was closed at the time this pic was taken). https://t.co/zxTIFVgn1s

@catechwilliams Dec 19

catechwilliams on X

$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s

QNT: The 100× Question

Quantinuum's improving logical-qubit error correction, 1,504 successful-circuit benchmark score and paid deployments at RIKEN, BMW and…

QNT $2B

Mispriced Assets Sep 18 3 clicks

DeFi Development: The Clarity Act Failure Tests The Solana Treasury Thesis

DeFi Development’s Solana treasury strategy faces dilution, preferred dividends and tight liquidity after a 50% rally, with $4.3 million of…

DFDV $188M

Dorine Cherop Sep 18

Research & Analysis: Ultra Clean Holdings (NASDAQ: UCTT)

Ultra Clean Holdings targets a $4 billion annualized revenue run rate by H2 2027 through manufacturing expansion and a broader…

UCTT $3.4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 18 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Cooper Companies, Sturm Ruger, Grab Holdings, Boston Omaha

Special-situations survey flags Cooper’s $3 billion buyback, Grab’s $900 million repurchase, and Beretta’s $44.80 partial tender for Sturm…

RGR $671M

Latticework by MOI Global Sep 18 1 click

House of Weichai

Weichai Power built a global engine group through Baudouin and a 46% stake in PSIX, positioning both for large-bore generator demand from…

PSIX $1.1B

Maius Partners Sep 17 2 clicks

Pioneer Bancorp Has One Too Many Red Flags

Pioneer Bancorp’s acquisitions lifted loans 13.6% and Q2 net interest margin to 4.30%, but expenses, weaker profitability ratios and a…

PBFS $434M

Crimson And Gold Research Sep 17

Power Semiconductors: The Follow-Up

STMicroelectronics, Navitas and Wolfspeed offer contrasting power-semiconductor cases tied to NVIDIA’s 800V AI data-center architecture,…

NVTS $3.1BWOLF $1.5B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 17 1 click

Diamond Estates: Research Note

Diamond Estates Wines & Spirits plans to expand grocery and export sales, invest in six brands, and improve winery operations through FY29.

LSDAF $1.2B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Sep 17 2 clicks

Progyny: Best-In-Class And Likely To Exceed Analyst Estimates In 2027

Progyny's Q2 revenue rose 11% excluding Amazon, with margin expansion and nearly 100% EPS growth guidance for 2026 supporting…

PGNY $2B

Robert J. Lake Sep 17

Vizsla Silver (VZLA)

Vizsla Silver's Panuco project in Sinaloa remains shut after nine workers were found dead, delaying construction of a fully funded 17.4 Moz…

VZLA $2B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 17 1 click

OPRX · long

Optimizerx CORP

OptimizeRx, OPRX, trades 30% below its February 2025 writeup despite becoming a stronger company.

OPRX $139M

Value Investors Club Jun 23 2 clicks

Copart 4Q26 Business Update: Thesis Shift?

Copart’s 4Q26 revenue grew 2.4% as U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5%, while a customer loss and higher yard costs pressured profits despite…

ACVA $1.8B

Speedwell Research Sep 16 1 click

LifeMD: Still Undervalued Despite Earnings Miss

LifeMD cut 2026 revenue and EBITDA guidance as subscribers fell and customer acquisition costs reached 59% of revenue, prompting a shift…

LFMD $141M

Eli Gooch Sep 16

Ethos' Biggest Distributor by Head Count Ranked It Last on Stage

Ethos relies on three carriers for 88% of revenue as TruStage payment failures triggered policy lapses and Family First Life publicly…

LIFE $2.3B

Hunterbrook Sep 15 4 clicks

Talos Energy: Mature Offshore Assets Can Fund A Longer-Lived Business

Talos Energy is raising standalone production guidance without added capex while using offshore cash flow to fund Shell acquisition and…

TALO $2.8B

Capital Connoisseur Sep 15

Alarm.com: False Alarm?

Alarm.com, founded after CEO Steve Trundle’s bad home-security experience, has fallen from $105 in 2020 to about $55, testing whether…

ALRM $2.6B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 14 1 click

CHPY: Anthropic's AI Slowdown Call Makes This 40% Yield ETF More Attractive

CHPY pairs a roughly 40% distribution rate with capped weekly upside for investors retaining semiconductor exposure amid Anthropic's AI…

CHPY

Geneva Investor Sep 14 1 click

Initiation Report

Zentek initiation report.

ZTEKF $71M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Sep 13 4 clicks

CVD Equipment Corporation (NASDAQ:CVV)

CVD Equipment is winding down manufacturing, cutting half its staff and weighing liquidation, with $23.5 million of cash and a…

CVV $30M

Obscure Stocks Sep 13 2 clicks

Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1

Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.

GENI $1.6B

Sylence Capital Sep 13 2 clicks

Monday, September 21, 2026

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