Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
Monday, September 21, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Ian Bezek on X
What's going down faster, $OPEN's stock price or Rabois' credibility as a geopolitical analyst? https://t.co/ThqR7rsRsO
John_Hempton on X
@Wayne_Chien1 @AMCOracle It is one of 500 plus shorts. I am having a good day today. $AMC is however a loser for me
A Capital on X
@RitzerAdam @valuedontlie $KBR stupid cheap
John_Hempton on X
Apes are having a good time. $AMC is up. Hooray
Ian Bezek on X
@valuedrift I was watching this and $GEO rally for months and finally put the short on myself... absolutely silly up here.
A Capital on X
Working with Belarus? Interesting. $KYIV https://t.co/VnIEmBNVjw
A Capital on X
$KBR even cheaper now. https://t.co/TrbW3Yw5S2
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 ALM $4.1B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 9301 $3.4B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.7B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2BCMCX $2.6B
- Forager Funds Management July 2026 4733 $4B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 KXS $3.5B
Power Semiconductors: The Follow-Up
STMicroelectronics, Navitas and Wolfspeed offer contrasting power-semiconductor cases tied to NVIDIA’s 800V AI data-center architecture,…
Progyny: Best-In-Class And Likely To Exceed Analyst Estimates In 2027
Progyny's Q2 revenue rose 11% excluding Amazon, with margin expansion and nearly 100% EPS growth guidance for 2026 supporting…
Robert J. Lake 
Ethos' Biggest Distributor by Head Count Ranked It Last on Stage
Ethos relies on three carriers for 88% of revenue as TruStage payment failures triggered policy lapses and Family First Life publicly…
Alarm.com: False Alarm?
Alarm.com, founded after CEO Steve Trundle’s bad home-security experience, has fallen from $105 in 2020 to about $55, testing whether…
Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026
Oak Bloke’s 2026 picks have returned 37% in GBP, with AltynGold, Geiger Counter, Silvercorp and China-focused trusts still rated buys…
Stocks on My Radar - Consumer Edition
Crocs’ core brand surpassed $1 billion in quarterly revenue, while HEYDUDE weakness, tariffs and 2025 impairments weigh on shares trading…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)
TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…
Independence Realty Buying Centerspace: Opportunity And Implications
Independence Realty Trust is buying Centerspace in stock to create an $8.1 billion apartment REIT, targeting 5% 2027 Core FFO per-share…
Dane Bowler 
This Week in Special Situations: Signet Jewelers, Medipal Holdings, First REIT of New Jersey
Signet, Medipal and First REIT headline 27 situations spanning buybacks, activism, M&A and liquidation catalysts.
DHT Holdings: Quality Balance Sheet And Defensible Positioning
DHT Holdings' low-leverage VLCC fleet has paid 66 consecutive dividends, with charter income covering forecast costs and spot earnings…
Arizona Equity Research 
FOUR · long Shift4 Payments INC
Shift4 Payments trades at roughly 5 times a $7.50 2029 free-cash-flow-per-share estimate after stock compensation.
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol CXXIV
Rocket Lab and Firefly won access to US space contracts as AI-driven HBM demand tightens memory-chip supply through 2027.
ZhongAn Online (6060.HK): The Insurtech Everyone Gave Up On
ZhongAn Online trades at 0.57 times book after five profitable underwriting years, with a 95.8% combined ratio and ZA Bank’s first…
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
Cellebrite (CLBT) Q2'26 - Execution wobble, Forecast question mark
Cellebrite cut 2026 ARR guidance by $15 million, replaced its CEO and saw shares fall 30% as elongated sales cycles raise execution…
WillScot Q2'26: The Streak Is Over
WillScot Mobile Mini returned to revenue growth in Q2 2026, raised full-year targets and invested $114 million in fleet capacity for data…
Quick Value #326 - Shift4 Payments (FOUR)
Shift4 Payments trades at 6.9x EBITDA after a 50% five-year share decline, while leverage from acquisitions and slowing EPS growth weigh on…
Emergency Press Conference: FRMI & GRPN
Groupon reported accelerating organic revenue and record July traffic, while Fermi signed a $6.5 billion, 222 MW TensorWave data-center…
$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost
UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.
Peloton: Subscriber Squeeze
Peloton’s improved balance sheet has not stopped weak subscription trends or sharp volatility, prompting purchases near $3.70, a later…
Publications we follow
Every publication on this site, hand-picked.
Newsletters 89
- 310 Value’s Newsletter
- Altay Capital - Mostly Value Investing
- AmsterdamStocks
- Aurelion Research
- Base Hit Investing
- Bearhold Research
- Bearstone
- Behind the Balance Sheet
- Best Anchor Stocks
- Bilbel's Substack
- Bison Insights
- Brevarthan Research
- Bristlemoon Capital
- Byron Street Research
- Calvin Blissett
- Cannibal Stocks
- Capital Employed
- Capitalist Letters
- Cassandra Unchained
- Citrini Research
- Cluseau Research
- D Invests
- Daniel Romero
- Deep Value Insights
- Doomberg
- Eagle Point Capital
- Easy Value
- Exploring with Alluvial Capital
- Fabricated Knowledge
- First Strike Research
- Flyover Stocks
- Global Outperformers
- Guardian Research
- Hated Moats
- Healthy Stock Picks
- HFI Research
- Hidden Gems Investing
- Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter
- Ian’s Insider Corner
- Iggy on Investing Newsletter
- Inglenook Growth
- Invariant
- Investing 501
- Irrational Analysis
- John Hempton's Newsletter
- Kairos Research
- Kakashii's Materials
- Key Context by Tae Kim
- Latticework by MOI Global
- Lewistown Capital
- Maius Partners
- MBI Deep Dives
- Mispriced Assets
- Modern Value Investing
- Monte Independent Investment Research
- Multibagger Monitor
- Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter
- Net Interest
- Nongaap Investing
- Nugget Capital Partner's Substack
- Obscure Stocks
- Open Insights
- PETITION
- Phynvesting
- Raging Bull Investments
- Rebound Capital
- Rod’s Ruminations
- scuttleblurb
- Sector Stories
- Singularity Research
- SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets
- Sleep Well Investments
- smallvalue.
- Speedwell Memos
- Stock Thoughts
- Substack von Philipp
- Sunday's Idea Brunch
- Sylence Capital
- The Curious Compounder
- The Mikro Kap
- The Oak Bloke
- The Value Road
- Treasure Hunting
- Triple S Special Situations Investing
- TSOH Investment Research
- Underlying Value
- Value Don't Lie
- XIX Value
- Yet Another Value Blog
Blogs 12
Seeking Alpha 29 of 156
Andres Veurink
Bay Area Ideas
Capital Connoisseur
Dhierin Bechai
Equity Eagle
Eudaemon Research
High Alpha Professor
Investor Overview
IWA Research
Jaden Mealy
LL Insights
Marc Gerstein
Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT
Miletus Research
Myriam Alvarez
Petri Dish Reports
Philip Wang
Prakhar Agarwal, CFA
PV Research- Robert J. Lake
Sam Mancini
Sharon McArd
SiliconBytes Insights
Simple Investment Ideas
Steven Fiorillo
The Bullionaire
The Curious Analyst
The Undercovered Dozen
Value Capital Research
X accounts we follow
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
⚽️📡
💥PETITION💥
A Capital
AltayCap
Bank Reg Blog
Barbarian Capital
BDC
Bill Ackman
Broken Moats
BuccoCapital Bloke
catechwilliams
Charles Frischer
Chris Camillo
Clark Square Capital
Cluseau Investments
Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
Maj Soueidan
marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
Mikro Kap David
Multiples Capital
Myles
Nat Stewart
Negligible Capital
Odd Lot Arbitrageur
PAA Research
Pernas Research
Porter Collins
Prepared Remarks
Psyop Capital
Raging Capital Ventures
Red Dog Capital
RiverRoadPartners
Rusholme Capital
Sahil Khetpal
SG
Tim Eriksen
Timyan Bank Alert
Todd Wenning
ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
- Alpinum Investment Management AG
- Ariel Investments
- Artisan Partners
- Askeladden Capital
- Asset Value Investors Ltd
- Baron Funds
- Berkshire Hathaway
- Biglari Holdings
- Bireme Capital
- Bristlemoon Capital
- Broyhill Asset Management
- Cantor Fitzgerald Asset Management
- Cedar Creek Partners
- Choice Equities
- Confluence Investment Management
- CrossingBridge Advisors
- Crossroads Capital, LLC
- Distillate Capital
- Dodge & Cox Stock Fund
- Donville Kent Asset Management Inc.
- FPA Crescent Fund
- First Eagle Investments
- Forager Funds Management
- Fred Alger Management, LLC
- Giverny Capital
- Grandeur Peak Global Advisors
- Greenhaven Road Capital
- GreensKeeper Asset Management
- Grey Owl Capital Management
- Halvio Capital
- Hayden Capital
- Heartland Advisors
- Hoisington Investment Management
- Horizon Kinetics
- Intrepid Capital
- Invenomic Capital Management
- Janus Henderson Investors
- Kaydan Wealth Management
- Kernow Asset Management
- LVS Advisory
- Laughing Water Capital
- Lindsell Train Limited
- Macro Ops
- Maran Capital Management
- Markel Group
- Massif Capital
- McIntyre Partnerships
- Merion Road Capital
- Myrmikan Capital, LLC
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory
- Oakmark Funds
- Palm Harbour Capital
- Palm Valley Capital
- Patient Capital Management
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V.
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd.
- Pershing Square Holdings
- Polaris Capital Management
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities
- Polen Capital U.S. Opportunistic High Yield
- Praetorian Capital
- Protean Funds
- RGA Investment Advisors
- Rowan Street Capital
- Royce Investment Partners
- Sequoia Fund
- Southeastern Asset Management
- Third Avenue Management
- Tweedy, Browne
- Upslope Capital Management
- Vulcan Value Partners
- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- White Falcon Capital Management
Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
