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Wednesday, September 16, 2026

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$AIRS needs to refi their debt. Its a mega catalyst which we have no reason to believe won't happen. "term sheets on our desk". Been a frustrating stock and mgmt still has a lot to prove. Think they are the right team, but again, show me. GLP1 creating all sorts of new aesthetic demand. ASPS flagged lift/contour as the defining category. Facial fat grafting +39%, brow lift +29%, upper body lift +22%, arm lift +21%, neck lift +21%, thigh lift +20%, facelift +13%, breast lift +8% — broadest gains in the report, tied to post-GLP-1 skin laxity. AIRS has direct shots on goal to address much of this (not all). They also have partnered on AlloClae which looks timely. Checks here are encouraging. Minimally invasive still dominant by volume. Neuromodulators (~50%) and HA fillers (~30%) account for most non-surgical treatment volume — the space AIRS's new AlloClae partnership targets. These new pockets of growth need to offset what was a -1% lipo print in 2025 per ASPS. Still #1 by volume, though. Time to make it happen, Yogi. The opportunity is too big and timely for it to not start showing up. Start by signing those term sheets.

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Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1

Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.

GENI $1.6B
Sylence Capital 2 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

PTON $2.1B
TSOH Investment Research 2 clicks

NET Power (NPWR):

NET Power’s $1.80 shares are paired with January $2 covered calls for 40 cents as the company pivots from carbon capture to Permian…

NPWR $161M
Triple S Special Situations Investing 2 clicks

Zack Buckley on $PRTH's take private

Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…

PRTH $479M
Yet Another Value Podcast 3 clicks
HGV · long

Hilton Grand Vacations

Hilton Grand Vacations faces an inflection point in profitability growth and free cash flow generation.

HGV $2.8B
Value Investors Club

A Mexican Blue Chip Bargain

Grupo Herdez, a MXN 15.2 billion Mexican food company, pairs dominant grocery brands with McCormick, Barilla and Hormel joint ventures.

GUZOF $985M
Exploring with Alluvial Capital

Sarepta Risk and the FDA

Sarepta’s Exondys 51 approval despite a 12-patient trial frames FDA regulatory risk and a call to remove Commissioner Robert Califf.

SRPT $2.2B
John Hempton's Newsletter 1 click

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