Copart 4Q26 Business Update: Thesis Shift?
Copart’s 4Q26 revenue grew 2.4% as U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5%, while a customer loss and higher yard costs pressured profits despite international growth.
Wednesday, September 16, 2026
Back to today 
From X
catechwilliams on X
$YOU Delta just significantly expanded its Digital ID program. This service is free, more efficient than Clear and now available in Clear's core markets. Other majors will have to follow in order to compete on service. Seems like this could kill $YOU in pretty short order. https://t.co/tgfebZZCWK
catechwilliams on X
$YOU sales growth in light blue, Members in orange vs QTD web traffic. Dotted section is Q4 w consensus sales and member growth. https://t.co/NcihE7pbyD
catechwilliams on X
$YOU Clear supervisor at JFK said they’ve experienced “a surge in new sign-ups from pre-Thanksgiving through the Christmas travel period.” Similarweb web traffic to their site shows a large acceleration in visits as well suggesting a potentially large Q4 earnings beat.
catechwilliams on X
$OXM Very strong holiday selling season based on credit card data & other trackers for core Tommy Bahama and Lilly Pulitzer brands w very minimal promotion or discounts vs modest consensus growth expectations. Stock at 9x EPS, will be providing prelim numbers at ICR in 2 weeks.
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT Just announced a substantial new project win. Estimated to be $25M in revenue to Daktronics. Yankees, Dodgers, Cubs are among those exploring potential upgrades for next season, all of which are exisiting customers. https://t.co/dcn6TcQNr4
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT Another strong result: sales grew 6%, $0.27 EPS (ex non-cash convert expense) brings LTM to nearly $1.40 or 8x EPS. Don't see a lot of growing, industry leaders w strong FCF profiles at that multiple. No banks cover it, that will change soon. CFO at 2 conferences this week.
catechwilliams on X
$DKNG Basically just said at the Craig Hallum Conference they are going to miss Q4 guidance. CEO: "literally had the worst stretch of the year, the last few weeks...sometimes that happens where you issue your guidance...So we'll see."
catechwilliams on X
$DAKT Perhaps the most attractive long I’ve seen in years. Dominant \position in a category growing >20%. Major business overhaul taking hold after years of underperformance. Stock trades at 7x EPS/ 13% FCF yield due to low awareness of these structural improvements (see below)..
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $458MALM $4B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $78B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.6B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 NXT $12B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 4549 $503M9301 $3.4B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1.1BVNP $1.9B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.3B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2.1BCMCX $2.5B
Dassault Aviation: Rafale Upside Makes This A Strong Buy
Dassault Aviation reported 46% first-half sales growth and a €45.4 billion backlog, with Rafale F5 demand offsetting Falcon 10X delays and…
Dhierin Bechai 1 click
Adobe 3Q26 Update
Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth slowed to 9.3% excluding Semrush.
[scuttleslops] Amazon grocery, John Deere and AI, picks and pans in P&C Insurance, Copart earnings and the ACV acquisition
Amazon’s refrigerated same-day network has lifted monthly perishable customers roughly 50%, using grocery frequency to deepen loyalty and…
Cestrian Rating Actions - Week Ending 11 September 2026
Cestrian initiated Joby Aviation at Accumulate and upgraded Applied Materials and Broadcom to Accumulate for the week ended 11 September…
T1 Energy: G2_Austin Can Change Profits From 2027
T1 Energy’s G2_Austin factory is expected to lift margins and add vertical integration from 2027, but requires substantial financing that…
Investor Overview 
Adobe 3Q26 Update: Nothing Broken, Nothing Explained
Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth was about 9.3% excluding Semrush.
Alarm.com: False Alarm?
Alarm.com, founded after CEO Steve Trundle’s bad home-security experience, has fallen from $105 in 2020 to about $55, testing whether…
Barnes & Noble Education: Improving Fundamentals
Barnes & Noble Education is shifting from campus bookstore retail toward recurring-revenue infrastructure for inclusive-access course…
Given Mahlangu 2 clicks
Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1
Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.
Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026
Oak Bloke’s 2026 picks have returned 37% in GBP, with AltynGold, Geiger Counter, Silvercorp and China-focused trusts still rated buys…
GTLB · long Gitlab INC
Undercovered Dozen: Ares Capital, Grab, Lenovo, Rigetti And More
Undercovered Dozen profiles 12 lesser-covered stocks, including Ares Capital, Grab, Lenovo and Rigetti.
Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis
Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…
Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound
Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…
The Five Deals That Made Apollo
Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)
TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…
Independence Realty Buying Centerspace: Opportunity And Implications
Independence Realty Trust is buying Centerspace in stock to create an $8.1 billion apartment REIT, targeting 5% 2027 Core FFO per-share…
Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage
Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…
NewtekOne: Pivot Towards Holding Guaranteed Loans A Good Strategy
NewtekOne’s bank conversion and retention of SBA-guaranteed loans target recurring income, while a 6% yield and book-value valuation…
Stephen Nemo 
Sofwave Medical: Lifting Skin While the Beauty Sector Sags
Sofwave Medical grew Q2 revenue 43% as recurring usage fees reached 46% of sales for its non-invasive ultrasound skin-tightening devices.
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