Thursday, September 10, 2026

Celsius: The Pepsi Put

Celsius holds 20% of the U.S. energy-drink market and 40% of sugar-free sales, but its $1.65 billion Alani acquisition complicates PepsiCo's brand strategy.

CELH $7.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 7 7 clicks

Sep 7 ONON $9.9B

On Holding $ONON: I Bought the Shoes First, Then the Stock

Substack von Philipp 5 clicks

Sep 4 RYN $6B

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

The Value Road 27 clicks

From X

@HaydenCapital Jul 28

Fred Liu on X

What a story... Zhang Junjie was orphaned at 10 and homeless, to illiterate at 17, to Billionaire by 32. I first tried Chagee in Shenzhen last year, and then again at their first US-outpost (Los Angeles). It's a great product, and their "Guochao" branding on point (modernized traditional Chinese aesthetic). From Haidilao & Tai Er, to Luckin, HeyTea, and now Chagee entering the US, pretty excited to watch US consumers finally be introduced to upscale Chinese F&B brands (please, no more Panda Express...). $CHA

@rusholmecapital Jul 9 1 click

Rusholme Capital on X

(Late) Q2'25 Update New: $META, $STN.TO, $FTT.TO, $CVG.TO, $GDI.TO, $VCI.V, $IOT.V Sold: $KNSL, $CJT.TO, $RPI.UN, $MRD.TO, $HMM.A, $FORA.TO, $THNC.TO, $BRM.V Q2: 6.6% vs 10.6% for SPX ITD (Jan '21): +165% vs +68% Fairly happy with how the portfolio is positioned 👇 https://t.co/FPQbbegoEQ

@catechwilliams Jul 7 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$INGM Massive cyber & ransomware attack. All systems over the weekend. Still can’t fulfill orders after 4 days. Customers moving to competitors (as reported on Reddit). Likely permanent damage & customer losses. Ransomware payment due. Compounded by a major IT upgrade now needed. https://t.co/kQFbwFvcLA

@catechwilliams Jun 10 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$PRIM $500M new project broke ground. Not deep on the name but this is a pretty massive program for $PRIM and does not appear anyone noticed. "430-megawatt development from Arevon Energy, an offshoot of utility and energy contractor Primoris Services Corp" https://t.co/1egNflZ1X8

@DOMOCAPITAL May 27

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

$PBI short interest https://t.co/FO86LLy82E

@catechwilliams May 22 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$PLUS Accelerating decline: Networking -37% (largest category), Product sales -18%, zero margin/ low quality Professional services now 15% of sales. Cut FY2026 top and bottom-line guide by 7% w further cuts almost certain to come. Trading at 14x 2026 guidance vs peers at 6-8x.

@catechwilliams May 9 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$ACA Levered roll-up (4x levered) hodgepodge of low-quality cap intensive commodity businesses w struggling end-markets (sub-scale aggregates, building products, ag). Negative organic growth w unrealistic guidance. Forced to sell an asset to avoid covenant breach. 30x P/E

@catechwilliams Feb 28 3 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $7.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 5 clicks

Lumen Technologies - Accumulate $6-$8.30; STP<$6; PT >$12 - Q2 FY12/26 & Outlook

Lumen is shedding consumer lines for data-center services; $9.2 billion of deferred revenue, up 72%, supports its enterprise order book…

LUMN $6.7B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 1

MDA Space: Houston, We Have a New Position

MDA Space is added to the Aurelion Index after hiring engineers, signing large contracts and expanding facilities; the thesis cites…

MDA $5.2B

Aurelion Research Sep 1 5 clicks

Cleveland-Cliffs: 2027 Could Be A Very Big Year

Cleveland-Cliffs' 2027 upside depends on contract resets and Stelco earnings, while management directs free cash flow to deleveraging…

CLF $6.9B

The Bullionaire Sep 1 1 click

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…

WAY $4.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 31 5 clicks

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

BHVN 2026-08-27

Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels

Biohaven’s $795 million global opakalim licensing deal with SK Biopharmaceuticals boosts cash, lowers R&D spending and extends its funding…

BHVN $2.1B

Edmund Ingham Aug 27 1 click

Miami International Holdings (MIAX)

Miami International Holdings, the No. 4 options exchange with 17% share, trades at 12x forward EBITDA despite 35% revenue growth, 54%…

MIAX $3.8B

Sylence Capital Aug 27 1 click

TPC 2026-08-27

Tutor Perini: Q2 2026 Made My Strong Buy Case Stronger

Tutor Perini’s Q2 revenue rose 19% to $1.64 billion as higher-margin megaprojects lifted construction income 54%, prompting higher 2026 EPS…

TPC $4.5B

The Curious Analyst Aug 27

Quick Value #328 - Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)

Cal-Maine, the largest U.S. egg producer, trades at 1.6x book versus a 2.1x 20-year median, with net cash and investments equal to 23% of…

CALM $3.4B

Value Don't Lie Aug 25

MGRC · long

Mcgrath Rentcorp

McGrath RentCorp's conservatively financed hard assets, pricing growth and a struggling competitor, WSC, underpin the long thesis.

MGRC $2.7B

Value Investors Club Jun 10 2 clicks

Scholar Rock: Manufacturing Noise Obscures A Muscle-Targeted Franchise

Scholar Rock’s apitegromab could become the first muscle-targeted SMA therapy by September 2026, but manufacturing setbacks and a…

SRRK $6.2B

Equity Eagle Sep 7

Planet Fitness: The $10 Gym That Grew Into a Franchise Machine

Planet Fitness runs 2,930 clubs and 21.5 million memberships through an asset-light franchise model funded by $15 monthly dues, royalties…

PLNT $3.2B

Open Insights Aug 23

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 12 clicks

What Top Funds are Buying & Selling

June 2026 13F filings show Baupost doubling Genuine Parts ahead of its 2027 split and Ratan Capital making Silicon Motion its largest…

SIMO $9.6B

Rebound Capital Aug 20

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

SA 2026-08-20

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…

SA $3.5B

Redfern Research Aug 20

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.5B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

ZETA 2026-08-19

Zeta Global's AI Story Just Became Measurable (Rating Downgrade)

Zeta Global’s Athena AI superusers grow four times faster, while comprehensive adopters generate 70% of revenue.

ZETA $7.5B

Alpha Line Aug 19 1 click

WD #354: Colombia Earthquake, Software, CIB/AVAL/NU Earnings

Colombia’s earthquake frames risks for Tecnoglass as Grupo Aval, Bancolombia and Nu report strong earnings, including Nu’s 67% EPS growth.

AVAL $6B

Ian’s Insider Corner Aug 16

Thursday, September 10, 2026

Fred Liu on X

Rusholme Capital on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

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