Saturday, September 5, 2026

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

Broadcom’s FY2028 revenue estimate rose from $162 billion to about $270 billion and EPS from $17.60 to $30, while the stock remained flat…

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…

AVGO $1.7T

SA Simple Investment Ideas Sep 4 4 clicks

[scuttleslops] VEEV, CRM, WDAY, SNPS, NVDA

Veeva targets CRM share gains from Salesforce migration delays while Falcon agentic labor expands its reach into life-sciences safety,…

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…

NFLX $511B

SA The Curious Analyst Sep 3 3 clicks

A Busted Businesses or a Cyclical Bottom?

Two U.S. protein-snacking companies lost $6 billion in market value as impairments, inventory growth and margin pressure test whether the…

Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal

Chevron committed $7 billion to expand Venezuelan output as record U.S. production and elevated oil prices lifted Q2 earnings.

CVX $412B

SA Bay Area Ideas Sep 2 4 clicks

PLAB · long

Photronics INC

Brookfield's New Lawsuit

Brookfield faces whistleblower allegations over its VC funds; $569 million of Q1 buybacks challenges claims that $8 million of remaining…

When extend and pretend is a virtue

Upstart says longer repayment terms lifted Q1 debt-settlement acceptances 50%, but does not disclose delinquency changes or the number of…

Hallador's "Beautiful, Clean Coal": Near Term Catalyst w/ 200% Upside ($HNRG)

Hallador Energy's Merom plant cleared a MISO review, setting up a potential data-center PPA that could transform the coal miner into a…

Brookfield Corp. - Get a Buck for Fifty Cents

Brookfield Corp. trades at 13.2x 2025 distributable earnings and $45.97 against management’s $91.76 sum-of-the-parts Plan Value, discounted…

Comeback Season: Evolv Eyes Positive FCF, 40% ARR Growth, and Reputational Revival in '25 ($EVLV)

Evolv ($EVLV) targets positive free cash flow and 40% ARR growth in 2025 as delayed filings, an FTC resolution, and leadership changes seek…

Dun & Bradstreet: Strategic Process Wrapping Up, Cheap Valuation

Dun & Bradstreet’s strategic process is wrapping up as the company trades at a cheap valuation.

CNK Buyback, Special Situation Review, and Some Thoughts on Theaters

Cinemark’s $200 million buyback anchors a review of theater cost structures, MCS and a completed Fairfax preferred-share special situation.

CYD and H22 Results First Take:

CYD’s FY24 earnings miss reflected ¥200m of one-offs; adjusted net income reached roughly ¥430m and operating cash flow rose 40%.

Insureco w/ Potential Strat Alts Announcement Soon + 100% Upside on Buyout ($TIPT)

Tiptree ($TIPT) is positioned around a potential Fortegra sale announcement; Fortegra generates substantially all revenue.